my AI <> crypto thesis is increasingly skewed towards a market for inference
models are commoditizing so the gap between them is narrowing, open-source is getting better, and apps increasingly route between multiple models rather than depend on just one
that changes where value can accrue
if intelligence becomes abundant, the scarce commodity then becomes access and execution, who serves the inference, at what price, with what latency, capacity and privacy guarantees
today, that market is fragmented across closed APIs, GPU networks, credits and idle capacity. there is essentially no common pricing, liquidity or settlement
so i see three layers emerging:
1) decentralized intelligence,
$TAO, markets for producing intelligence
2) private inference,
$VVV,
$ROUTER,
$POD, accessing intelligence without sharing data
3) inference markets,
$ORBIO,
$MANY,
@idleaixyz, markets for pricing, routing, settling and eventually trading intelligence itself
i am most intrigued by the last category.
so while agents become the dominant buyers of that commodity, they won’t care which LLM serves the request, they will want to optimize for price, quality, latency, privacy and availability.
that pushes inference from just fixed-price APIs → competitive markets.
and if inference becomes a commodity, the largest opportunity may not be another AI model.
it may be the market infrastructure where intelligence gets priced and traded.
below are some projects and tokens that i believe will lead thier category.
1) Decentralized AI Networks
$TAO /
@opentensor
AI incentive network prices useful intelligence. Specialized subnets compete to produce work someone will pay for;
$TAO is the scarce root asset that decides which of those markets get emissions.
$DOT /
@usedotai
The private inference layer where users buy uncensored, no-retention inference on Base;
$DOT is the credit and burn rail sitting in front of that demand.
2) Inference Markets / Exchanges
@idleaixyz (something in 24hrs)
Worth to keep watch, early waitlist phase though they teased something in another 24hrs. AI inference do not have a place to trade and a price on them. IMO Idle is the first of its kind to have an NYSE for intelligence; both pricing inference credits and allow people to trade.
$ORBIO /
@orbiodotso
Turns inference into a credit you can stake into, spend, and resell. Leading the inference capital markets on RH.
$MANY /
@manyways_rh
An onchain OpenRouter: one balance, many models, compare-and-route. It will wins if agents standardize on one RHC endpoint.
3) Private / Permissionless AI
$VVV /
@AskVenice
This is the reference for private inference. Models already commoditize; while Venice prices the right to ask without handing the prompt to a lab. Usage is real enough that CT now quotes daily token volume, not just the ticker.
$ROUTER /
@SolRouterAI
Solana’s attempt at a $VVV-like private inference layer: decentralized model access, censorship resistance, and an actual team that has been building before the narrative arrived.
$POD /
@dphnAI
Uncensored models plus a peer-to-pool GPU network. Venice needed models that would actually answer so Dolphin supplied them, then tried to own the inference rail those models run on. Token thesis only works if network revenue keeps buying
$POD.
$CEST /
@CestusNetwork
Permissionless GPU mesh for open-model inference. The product pitch is around a no lab owns the servers. The debate is around the relaunch story.
$MINI /
@miniroutersh
A cheaper Solana router competing for the same private-inference order flow as ROUTER. The bet here is in same category, much smaller cap, and some debates that the sites look related.
$OPAN /
@Opanarchyai
This is more of a robotics bet. It has an open robotics stack (library, sim, training) with a private inference layer for machines that cannot leak their context. The bet is physical AI will need a private brain, not another chat frontend.
$DARK /
@darkwoodslabs
On RH chain, no-account, no-log private lab, uncensored models, usage buyback, stake-for-USDG. a few days old, NVDA-paired launch, narrative should push it much higher. Think of it as RH chain privacy-AI option.
$AILE /
@AileLabs
Rents idle seats Claude, Codex, leftover API keys, because closed weights cannot be served by a DePIN cluster. Its the Airbnb for subscriptions for AI models, USDC settlement on Solana.