Hedge funds don't die from bad returns. The CEO of a $6B quant fund that's compounded 20% a year for 20 years explains what actually kills them:
"Investment funds don't really die because of poor returns. If they're down, they're down. Most funds, given the appropriate amount of time, should be able to recover."
"The reason funds really die is a couple of things happen. Markets go against them, returns drop, and investors run for the doors."
"There are many things a manager has control over. You can control your strategy. You can control the terms on which you raise funds. The one thing you can't control is redemptions."
"Once you've taken in money and set your redemption terms, when that notice comes in, it's an obligation. There's no negotiation."
"No matter what the market circumstances are, no matter how inappropriate it is for your strategy to sell those assets, you have to do it to raise money."
"So by locking people up — making sure every single one of them invests for the long term — we're eradicating the risk of a run on the fund."
Every manager stress-tests the portfolio. Very few stress-tests the shareholder register. The run, not the drawdown, is the extinction event.
Inside the $6B quant fund that turned down a shot at $20B to keep control — early investors who stayed in day one are up almost 40x.
Suhaimi Zainul-Abidin — CEO @ Quantedge, Asia's top quant hedge fund, CEO since 2018
"We're trying to beat the markets. 20% annualized returns — if you can do it for 10 years, well done. If you can do it for 20, that's what we've done. But we're going to do it for 50."
We cover:
- Why Quantedge turned down a straight shot at $20B AUM — and the redemption structure they built instead
- The real edge left in investing isn't information, it's running 300+ markets to drive idiosyncratic risk near zero
- Their hard rule: if you can't explain a strategy in plain English, it doesn't belong in the model
- Why they refuse to launch a "lower-vol" product for allocators, even though it's the easiest AUM they'd ever raise
- The behavioral-bias thesis behind two decades of 20% annualized returns
- "Class Q" — the internal share class that's turned early investors' money into almost 40x, with one brutal catch: it's permanent capital
- Why Quantedge hires almost exclusively straight out of school and turns away experienced PMs
- His path from law partner to hedge fund CEO — and the one skill that made the jump possible
- The real reason funds die (hint: it's rarely the returns)
Thanks to Suhaimi Zainul-Abidin for coming on Odds on Open!
Highlights:
00:00 Intro
01:08 Founding Quantedge: two guys, $3M, and a Bloomberg machine
03:07 What makes an investment strategy robust across regimes
06:31 The real edge: it's not information, it's diversification across 300 markets
10:59 Scaling from $3M to $6B without chasing allocator money
15:00 Why they turned down the "dial down the risk" pitch from allocators
18:00 Running 25% vol with conviction — and why it's not a black box
20:33 How the research process evolved over 20 years
24:00 Trading on narratives vs. noise — why they stay distanced from the news
27:47 Is generative AI signal or noise for a quant shop?
31:09 Why Quantedge hires only fresh grads — never mid-career PMs
35:47 The two-pronged mission: compound for 50 years, then do good
38:28 From law partner to hedge fund CEO
49:32 Capital consolidation — why the big funds keep winning
55:04 The #1 mistake that kills emerging managers
59:03 Why fixed-term lockups saved the fund — even though it cost them a shot at $20B AUM
1:05:00 Class Q: the almost-40x share class only insiders get
1:07:26 Why 200 CVs come in for every open seat
1:14:44 Balancing meritocracy with actually caring about people
1:19:17 Final advice: patience, conviction, and playing the long game