Associate Professor | Author of the Spiegel bestseller "Wenn China angreift" (C.H.Beck, 2026) and "Germany and China" (2024) | Views my own | RTs ≠ endorsements

兄弟爬山,各自努力
In der Taiwan-Straße wird auch über Deutschlands Zukunft entschieden. Bei Markus Lanz erkläre ich, warum. #WennChinaAngreift
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
(1) FAZ: "Tatsächlich meidet die Trump-Regierung die #Taiwan-Frage und schiebt eine Entscheidung über einen Rüstungsdeal im Umfang von 14 Milliarden Dollar mit Taipeh auf. Offenbar nimmt der Präsident die Warnung Xis ernst,falsche Handhabungen im Umgang mit der Insel seien..."/2
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
FAZ: "Xi wird bei seinem Besuch von Trump umschmeichelt.Doch das verdeckt nur den Machtkonflikt."
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Xi is an imperialist leader. For him, subjugating Taiwan is what subjugating Ukraine is for Putin: non-negotiable. In Ukraine's case, Western deterrence failed. The West must learn from this failure and do better on Taiwan.
I remember covering then–Vice President Joe Biden’s first visit to China in 2011. His host was then–Vice President Xi Jinping, who was tasked with arranging the trip. When Washington offered several possible dates in July and August, Xi is said to have personally chosen Aug. 17. The choice of date was meant to send a message. On Aug. 17, 1982, the United States under Ronald Reagan and China under Deng Xiaoping issued the Third Communiqué, in which Washington stated that it did not seek to pursue a long-term policy of arms sales to Taiwan. Taiwan arms sales were clearly an important issue for Xi even then. Forty-four years is indeed a long time. But whether it is time for the United States to end arms sales to Taiwan should not depend on how many years have passed. It depends on how confident Washington can be that peace across the Taiwan Strait will endure.
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
“Advocates of détente misunderstand both the state of US-China relations today and Xi’s global aspirations” giftarticle.ft.com/giftartic…
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
“I've interviewed President Trump about his relationship with Xi Jinping. President Trump thinks they are friends. He thinks they really like each other. And he thinks that this friendship can get all sorts of things for him and for the United States. He thinks that President Xi is not going to attack Taiwan, because he wouldn't do that to his friend Donald Trump. That's how trump really thinks about it.” “Trump is also not a China hawk. In his first term, he had a lot of China hawks around, Pompeo and Pence and these kinds of guys. Not not so much anymore. And what Trump believes is that the U.S. and China should have sort of an agreement to sort of divvy up the world - spheres of influence - and then just sort of get along as much as possible. That's also what XI jinping believes.” “Now, the problem, of course, is that the on the Chinese side, they're doing a lot of things that threaten our national security, our public health, our prosperity. Then why the praise? Well, because Trump is not a China hawk. He doesn't really care about that kind of stuff. He thinks it's about business. It's about investment. It's about keeping the relationship in check so that he can pursue his other adventures, like in Iran, et cetera.” “And you could say that plays into XI Jinping’s hands. Because if you think about the things that are really threatening us. China's expanding militarily. They're interfering in democracies. They're stealing our intellectual property. They're providing intelligence to the Iranians to kill Americans in the Middle East. It's really hard to address those things when the main goal of your policy is just to keep everything copacetic.”
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
"Seizing Taiwan would not be enough to shift the regional military balance in Beijing's favor, nor would holding Taiwan give China launchpad for further expansion." Both of these assertions are 100% false. asia.nikkei.com/opinion/the-…
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
If Trump is right that “whoever wins AI, wins,” then the pot odds on Taiwan may be getting too good for Xi Jinping to pass up. My latest in @WSJopinion on why Taiwan’s defense is now at the core of our national security, economic, and AI strategies. wsj.com/opinion/ai-and-the-g…
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Replying to @AMFChina
Prof Fulda, this new paper may be of interest to you. egrowfoundation.org/research…
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Trump’s Endgame Is Surrender - He seems to hope to slip away without Americans noticing the magnitude of this defeat. theatlantic.com/internationa…
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
There is something so unAmerican and so disturbing about an American president demeaning and poking fun at a fellow American president in the presence of a communist leader, while the previous president is battling cancer. It’s just so sickening.
The White House
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
I probably have a slightly different view than both @RushDoshi and @JacquelineNDeal but what I like is a clear debate. The old way had major problems; we won't do it better without thought. And debate crystallizes ideas.
I’m usually not attacked for being naive on China. But I believe strongly in sending students, with appropriate protections, to China. I was one of these students. I cannot see why our piece should be controversial, but realize there are some who believe all exchanges should be halted. I am not among them. Here is our argument: -Longstanding federal programs that encourage US students to learn about China — like Fulbright, CLS, and Boren — should be funded by the US government. We had similar exchanges with the Soviets, and of course with China, in the past. - Given growing risks to students in China, those participating in these programs must be protected from harassment or threats of arbitrary detention, which are growing, and which are why these programs were difficult to renew in the past. - But there is a way out. Summits provide an opportunity to achieve commitments that protect these programs and their students. Trump should (1) elevate these programs into leader-level deliverables, and (2) reach formal (or, more likely, informal) agreements to insulate them from politics. The former sends a signal not to touch these programs and the latter sustains it. - As part of this effort, Min Zin and other scholars and students arbitrarily detained or exit banned by China must be released. - We did not write this in the piece, but obviously these efforts should be accompanied by proper orientation and training for students before they visit China. That was also the case for these programs in the past. It is more criticism now. We have done all this before. It has worked before too. Leader-level recognition of certain programs in China can provide protection. The US desperately needs China expertise. After a surge among millennials, what expertise we did have faces a cliff as students lose interest in and opportunities for studying China and Chinese. That is a problem.
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Replying to @AMFChina
"Schauen Sie doch mal, ob Sie etwas Spannendes finden, was Sie uns mitbringen können." Chinesische Spionage an deutschen Unis fängt oft unscheinbar an. zeit.de/2026/40/forschungssi…
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
“Der Abfluss sicherheitsrelevanter Erkenntnisse am Forschungszentrum CISPA ist laut Ergebnissen der Sonderprüfung jederzeit möglich gewesen. Ob es dazu kam, könne derzeit weder bestätigt noch ausgeschlossen werden” 🇩🇪 🇨🇳 bundestag.de/presse/hib/kurz…
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Macron is right.
Macron: I do not believe Putin when he says he wants peace. That was not true before. I do not believe him when he says Russia has no aggressive intent toward Europe. That is not true either. 1/
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
Hard to watch Xi get such a warm reception from Trump. Human rights was once a deep divide between the US and China. Now, the two leaders seem to agree on one thing: not talking about it. My heart aches for the persecuted people in China who increasingly have no one to turn to.
President Donald J. Trump and First Lady Melania Trump greet President Xi Jinping of China and Madame Peng Liyuan upon their arrival in Washington, D.C., ahead of the state visit at the White House.
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
‼️ The Chinese government has taken possession of potentially sensitive F-35 stealth aircraft parts that were inexplicably diverted to Hong Kong while being sent to the US from Australia ‼️ UPS was shipping a cockpit canopy and weapons-bay door from an Australian military F-35 that was being sent to the US for inspection and possible repair or disposal in late May. The shipment stopped in South Korea before being diverted to Hong Kong for reasons that remain unclear. It is also unclear whether the diversion was deliberate or accidental. Chinese authorities later took possession of the components and haven’t returned them. The Lockheed Martin components were coated with radar-absorbing material used to reduce the F-35’s radar signature. The Pentagon said it’s working with US authorities and industry partners to recover the components and investigate how the shipment was diverted. UPS reported the diversion to the State Department office responsible for enforcing defense export controls. Australia is separately reviewing its role in the shipment. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
🚨 Sensitive F-35 fighter jet technology was unexpectedly diverted to Hong Kong this summer, sparking an inquiry on Capitol Hill and raising the possibility that China could have access to key components of the highly classified weapon system. A shipment of F-35 parts bound for the US for repairs was rerouted as it transited the Pacific Ocean from Australia. The Pentagon confirmed the disappearance of some components. The parts, which an intermediary was transporting on behalf of F-35 manufacturer Lockheed Martin, instead wound up in Hong Kong. It’s not clear why the equipment was rerouted or who has possession of it now. The incident, which has not been previously reported, triggered an ongoing series of briefings for congressional staff on key national security committees. State Department and Pentagon officials first briefed staff in June, and multiple additional briefings are expected in the coming weeks. The shipment included one of the jet’s canopies, which covers the cockpit and contains stealth technology that only the US and its allies have access to. An adversary could study the parts and potentially reverse-engineer the prized technology if it had one of the canopies. The Pentagon’s F-35 Joint Program Office said in a statement it was “aware of a shipment issue of unserviceable F-35 Lightning II components.” The office is working with US authorities and industry partners to retrieve these components, investigate the incident, and place safeguards to avoid a future occurrence. The shipment’s unexpected diversion to Hong Kong, a special administrative region of China, would have brought it into Beijing’s sphere of influence. China has already engaged in widespread espionage on secret Pentagon programs, including the F-35. “It’s no secret that China has been aggressively trying to get F-35 data through electronic espionage, among other means. But even if they already had specifications or other data about the part, possessing a real one can give them even more to go on and can verify or refine whatever they already had learned.” The F-35 supply chain is a vast, global operation that relies on facilities across multiple countries to move and repair parts. And while there are Australian maintenance depots for the jet, none are yet capable of repairing canopies. F-35 manufacturer Lockheed Martin manages the program’s overall supply chain and uses commercial shipping providers to transport parts. The canopy, a critical component of the F-35’s stealth capabilities, is an acrylic bubble that tops the cockpit and is coated with a thin layer of transparent radar absorbent material that helps hide the plane from enemy radar. That layer of stealth protection can degrade over time, prompting the repair or replacement of canopies among the more than 1,300 fighter jets that have been produced for the US and its allies. The F-35 program, which includes the US and other nations such as the UK, Australia, Denmark, Norway and Poland, has a unique way of managing the flow of aircraft parts. Countries have access to a shared pool of spare parts stored around the globe that the Defense Department owns until the parts are on the fighter jet. Although the Defense Department has stepped up oversight of the F-35 supply chain in recent years, it does not account for spare parts in the pool — Lockheed does. A Government Accountability Office report from 2023 found that more than 1 million F-35 spare parts have gone missing in the past five years. The watchdog agency concluded the department hasn’t been able to review spare part losses worth tens of millions of dollars because Lockheed controls the information. “The F-35 Joint Program Office does not track or enter these spare parts into an accountable property system of record that would enable it to capture and store real-time changes to property records. The prime contractors maintain this information.” politico.com/news/2026/09/18…
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
It is difficult to watch American service members kneeling to sweep a red carpet as Xi Jinping looks on. Those who serve our country deserve to be treated with more respect especially in front of the leader of the Chinese Communist Party.
Chinese officials look on as some final adjustments to the red carpet are made for President Xi.
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
The title from which Xi Jinping derives his authority is "General Secretary." Calling him "President" is both inaccurate and it lends an undeserved veneer of democratic legitimacy. @donaldcclarke @isaacstonefish @USCC_GOV have all made that same argument.
This. Too many folks have forgotten history. The Party predates the PRC. It founded the PRC, and it still rules the PRC. The state serves the Party and not the other way around. General Secretary Xi.
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Andreas Fulda 🇺🇦 🇹🇼 retweeted
China told Trump, in writing, what he's not allowed to negotiate on before they've even sat down. China's ambassador published an op-ed in the Communist Party's own newspaper today, ahead of Xi's Washington visit this week. His message: Taiwan, human rights, China's political system, and China's "development rights" are red lines Washington cannot cross. He also accused the U.S. of "fabricating pretexts," national security concerns, trade imbalances, forced labor findings, to justify constraining China. Real findings on real abuses, dismissed in a single sentence as excuses. These same four red lines were first laid out to Biden back in 2024. Beijing isn't updating its position for Trump. It's repeating it, publicly, days before the summit, specifically so any concession Trump makes gets read as Washington backing down, not Beijing compromising. You don't publish your negotiating terms in state media before a meeting if you expect to actually negotiate. You publish them to make sure the other side walks in already losing. reuters.com/world/china/chin…
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