I am not Al Gore Climate change is not real Bush 2000 #StopTheStealButIts2000 I did not invent the internet I love Florida

WVU
Coming soon: The Happy Warrior. An electoral alternate history.
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Was expecting a blue bias about this much with Marist. Is consistent with my thought that there's about a 2% delta between Brown and Acton.
OHIO POLL By NPR/Marist (A) SENATE 🟦 Sherrod Brown: 51% πŸŸ₯ Jon Husted (i): 43% β€”β€” GOVERNOR 🟦 Amy Acton: 50% πŸŸ₯ Vivek Ramaswamy: 44% 9/24-27| RV maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
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10/10 election nerd tweet but Peltola-Sullivan gonna be interesting in 2026.
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Absolutely not. Fuck off, don't give this guy money. He can't win.
UT-02 POLL - Crosby (Dem) internal 🟦 Peter Crosby: 35% πŸŸ₯ Blake Moore: 32% 9/21-23 | 657 LV petercrosbyforcongress.org/p…
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Underestimate Shawn Fluharty at your own peril. He's popular in Wheeling. Fluharty won by 15% in 2024 even as Trump won his district by 13%. He's a force to be reckoned with.
Replying to @ChazNuttycombe
The map stopped populating new responses at N=120, took us a bit to try and get it to populate the new responses as they came in. But this looks like a race.
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Side note but it's insane how sparsely populated eastern (and southern) Marshall County is. You leave Moundsville and it's just nothing.
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Thinking about trying for my polisci doctorate at UVA in a couple years; @LarrySabato @JMilesColeman should I?
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You may not know that Hitler's "Final Solution" wasn't actually its full name. The full name was the "Final Solution to the Jewish Question".
This week, @christopherrufo tackle the Indian Question. Among other things, this episode cuts to the heart of longstanding foundational political disputes that are simply unreconcilable, but which can longer be brushed aside. Namely that some people (perhaps most people) prefer to live in a homogenous society, and as America tips toward a majority-minority country, that fundamental preference is under threat. For a long time, liberals, who have more cosmopolitan preferences, have been able to pathologize the desire for homogeneity and subdue any explicit political effort to maintain a white majority in the country. A great many conservatives are no longer willing to be silent on this question. They are going to actively assert their preferences, and Indians, while relatively small in total number are nonetheless the fasting growing foreign born demographic in the country and the most conspicuous element of the 21st century mass immigration regime, and are therefore the inevitable flashpoint for this debate. *This episode we also took input from our Indian/South Asian friends @balajis, @razibkhan, @Indian_Bronson, and a secret 4th Indian.
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Rahm Emanuel will be the Mike Bloomberg of 2028, guaranteed.
Underestimate @RahmEmanuel at your own risk. He knows how to win. He knows how to fight. And he knows how to message. And no one will out work him. Regardless of whether he wins the Democratic nomination in 2028 he will make an impact on the race. You can be sure of that. Don't take your eyes off of him. At the minimum, learn from him. Rahm Emanuel Makes His 2026 Play nytimes.com/2026/09/26/us/po…
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Rough predictions for the Senate elections by congressional district
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#NJ07: Lean D -> Likely D I've been on the verge of this for a while, this is just the (pretty damn heavy) straw that broke the camel's back.
Moderator: We are winning the war in Iran? Tom Kean: *thumbs up* Yes, we are. [audience laughs]
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Rough estimates for the gubernatorial elections by congressional district
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Yeah I'm close to moving Nebraska Senate to Likely R
Yeah Osborn keeps having gaffes and it's slowly ruining his chance of winning, there's so many "Democrat Dan Osborn" ads here
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Guy that went to GMU
GM everyone! It’s a GREAT day to be a MOUNTAINEER!! LETS GO!!!!πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯
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lol
Allow me to 𝗣π—₯π—’π—π—˜π—–π—§ π—œπ—‘π—§π—’ π—§π—›π—˜ 𝗙𝗨𝗧𝗨π—₯π—˜ for a moment. It is five months from now, and the midterms are really heating up. The Iranian war is long over. Gas prices are near $2 a gallon. Inflation is falling due to lower fuel costs. Wages are rising. People are enjoying their tax refunds. Crime is disappearing. Manufacturing jobs are exploding. The border is secure. President Trump just held a wildly successful GOP convention. Democrats had no competing convention. Eric Swalwell has been naming names to stay out of prison. The MAGA base is excited and motivated. The Democrats still have no agenda. Now tell me again how the Democrats are going to win the midterms?
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The timeline where Trump dies in office, Vance becomes president and slows the turbofucking of the country, and Rubio is the nominee, is the only one where this happens. Not likely though.
Tell me with a straight face republicans are netting two seats from this map
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That horrible black number for Abdul indicates that Stevens voters backing Rogers is definitely a real thing, but probably won't be enough for him to win
Michigan NYT/Siena poll 18-29: πŸ”΅ Benson 60-16 / πŸ”΅ Abdul 82-11 30-44: πŸ”΅ Benson 50-37 / πŸ”΅ Abdul 57-36 45-64: πŸ”΄ James 51-43 / πŸ”΄ Rogers 55-39 65+: πŸ”΅ Benson 51-47 / πŸ”΄ Rogers 51-46 White: πŸ”΄ James 48-45 / πŸ”΄ Rogers 49-47 Black: πŸ”΅ Benson 92-1 / πŸ”΅ Abdul 76-13
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Hard not to call Sherrod Brown at least a slight favorite to return to the Senate
OHIO SENATE POLLING (Aug-Sep) πŸ”΅ Fox News - Brown +8 πŸ”΅ Insider Adv. - Brown +5 πŸ”΅ Abacus Data - Brown +5 πŸ”΅ Tulchin (D) - Brown +4 πŸ”΅ Wedgewood- Brown +4 πŸ”΅ Trafalgar - Brown +4 πŸ”΅ Rasmussen - Brown +3 πŸ”΅ BGSU/YouGov - Brown +3 πŸ”΅ Quantus - Brown +0.5
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Kind of crazy that the consensus on Kansas became Lean R in like a week
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This sentiment among Democrats that you can have Democratic majorities and keep your local moderate Republican is a disease. There are no good Republicans. Vote them all out.
NYT/Siena poll | 9/15-9/22 LV (Maine surveyed) What is your preference for the outcome of this year’s US Senate elections? 🟦Democratic control 55% πŸŸ₯Republican control 43% β€”β€” US Senate Maine 2026 πŸŸ₯Susan Collins 49% (incumbent) 🟦Troy Jackson 46%
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