The Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up five to 15 seats, resulting in Democrats holding 220 to 230 seats in 2027.
The voters who’ll decide just how big the blue wave this fall, writes @Redistrict, are the “doubly disenchanted” - frustrated with Trump’s handling of economy, but still not sold on Dems. Here are the key things to know about this critical group of voters.
cookpolitical.com/analysis/n…
The Cook Political Report is moving 15 House races, all in Democrats' direction, as the worsening political environment for Republicans has made the GOP's chances of keeping control of the chamber almost impossible.
Read @ercovey's overview here:
cookpolitical.com/analysis/h…
Of all the electoral subgroups to watch with less than 40 days until November 3, one matters more than any other: the voters who disapprove of President Trump's job performance but aren't yet sold on voting for a Democrat.
Read @Redistrict's latest:
cookpolitical.com/analysis/n…
New @CookPolitical: with less than 40 days to go, the most critical voters are the "doubly disenchanted" - the ~17% of Trump disapprovers who aren't (yet) in the Dem column. The critical pain point for them? Energy/gas prices. My full analysis: cookpolitical.com/analysis/n…
Our current outlook for the Senate predicts Democrats could net between one and five Senate seats come Election Day. But where could those gains come from among our Toss Up column?
Read @JessicaTaylor for a quick recap of each contest.
cookpolitical.com/analysis/s…
Our current outlook for the Senate predicts Democrats could net between one and five Senate seats come Election Day. But where could those gains come from among our Toss Up column?
Read @JessicaTaylor for a quick recap of each contest.
cookpolitical.com/analysis/s…
Can the deluge of cash help R’s w/ GOTV in red SEN states? As the late @posglen would say: “can’t win on turnout if you’re losing on message.” The top issue in this election is cost of living and R’s don’t have an effective message for it.
cookpolitical.com/analysis/n…
NEW Senate outlook from the Cook Political Report: our current range of possible outcomes we see is Democrats netting between one and five seats; they must net four to win back control.
Read the full analysis from @JessicaTaylor:
cookpolitical.com/analysis/s…
We are also moving three Senate races in the direction of Democrats:
->Georgia: Lean D to Likely D
-> Kansas: Likely R to Lean R
-> South Carolina: Solid R to Likely R
cookpolitical.com/ratings/se…
NEW this morning from @CookPolitical — with under 6 weeks to go, our revised Senate outlook. Dems poised to pick up b 1-5seats. We are moving three ratings:
#GASen from Lean D to Likely D
#KSSen from Likely R to Lean R
#SCSen from Solid R to Likely R
cookpolitical.com/analysis/s…
The economic consequences of Trump's sweeping tariffs and the Iran war have done the one thing all the controversies of his first term were never able to do: splinter his coalition and sink his approval ratings.
Read @amyewalter's latest column:
cookpolitical.com/analysis/n…