If you want to see how the ~$155
$NEAR base case is constructed.
Assumptions:
- 16B agents by 2030
- 2% utilizing NEAR's AI infra (intents, compute, etc)
- Avg agent does 1k onchain tx
- Near capturing 30bps on those tx
The biggest wakeup items for me:
1. For some reason, I still just viewed near as pure infra, but the team is shipping a ton of products (intents, ironclaw, etc) and that means fees behind blockspace (I knew this already but have been skeptical of the amount they could charge)
2. Inflation still sucks (5%), but is going to be pulled down to 2.5% cap.
3. 100% circulating supply
Honestly though, if there is one chain positioned to captured the coveted "AI chain" I don't see how it's not them at this point. Not only has Ilya been very thoughtful in the technical build out (anticipating both AI, privacy and crosschain interop for literal years) but he also has the easy executive summary pitch of having helped create LLMs.
I don't have a NEAR position yet having mostly gone hard in ZEC+HYPE, but this reflection session is going to change that for me.