Bloomberg @opinion contributing columnist; @MSNOWNews contributor; @thedispatch contributing writer; Author “IN TRUMP'S SHADOW" via @twelvebooks
Washington, D.C.
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Thrilled to announce "In Trump's Shadow," my first book — on 2024 & Trump's generational impact on GOP. Special thanks for bringing it to life go to my editor @skdesmond1973, my agents @matt_latimer & @keithurbahn + everyone at @JavelinDC. Pre-order: amzn.to/3ACBxr4 =>
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Texas: From GOP ATM to cash sinkhole in one cycle =>
🚨☀️AM: NEWS: TEXAS PAC, the Senate GOP-linked group, could reach $200M in spending in Texas.
GOP private polls mirror the public polls and have Paxton down.
SLF “hopes and expects that other partners will help carry the load during the final stretch in Texas.”
AKA they want Trump to get off the sidelines and spend tens of millions for Paxton, trumps’s hand picked candidate in the lone star state.
link.punchbowl.news/click/47…
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David M. Drucker retweeted
Crypto and AI super PACs are spending hundreds of millions on the midterms. But they don’t agree on outcomes or candidates, @DavidMDrucker says bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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David M. Drucker retweeted
The voters who’ll decide just how big the blue wave this fall, writes @Redistrict, are the “doubly disenchanted” - frustrated with Trump’s handling of economy, but still not sold on Dems. Here are the key things to know about this critical group of voters.
cookpolitical.com/analysis/n…
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David M. Drucker retweeted
I wrote a big piece today about how to tell what polls are real and how to figure out what private polls are saying. From this tweet, it's very clear that Roger Marshall's internal polls aren't looking great right now bencjacobs.substack.com/p/th…
When ICE operates in Kansas, it needs to coordinate with our local law enforcement. Our sheriffs and police know these communities better than anyone, and working together keeps officers and residents safe.
I’m closely following what’s happening in SW Kansas and have been in direct contact with Secretary Mullin and local law enforcement as ICE executes warrants in order to keep Kansans safe.
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Dems finished afloat in ‘22 because they won Indies by 2 pts. If Rs stay afloat in ‘26 it’s likely the structural advantage of the map because it’s getting late early (to borrow a Yogi Berra phrase) and Indy opinion looks baked. =>
News: NRSC chair Tim Scott just gave a presentation to Senate Republicans with the message they are still in it despite deteriorating environment
-He told them “we’re in the fight for our lives with a record number of toss-up races” but said their situation could be like 2022 was for Senate Dems, when Biden was unpopular and Dems lost the House but held the Senate
- He said the GOP’s coordinated spending is making up for Dems’ huge candidate fundraising advantages. Seriously LOOK at this chart in six key races, Republican candidates would be getting massively outspent otherwise
- Said future NRSC spending will focus on New Hampshire and Michigan and GOP-held seats in Maine, Iowa, Ohio, Texas, and Alaska and told red state Rs to run like they are behind
- Shared polling showing GOP enthusiasm up 20 percent in past 2 months
semafor.com/article/09/23/20…
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David M. Drucker retweeted
The magnitude of the impending "blue wave" may not be as big as some are predicting — or hoping, @DavidMDrucker says bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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There are times when I cover an issue in politics/culture on the ground that is seen so wildly different than what either polling shows, social media dictates or the manufactured fear demands it should be .
AI/data power centers is one of them
The story: open.substack.com/pub/salena…
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Polls may foreshadow but should be viewed as campaign scoreboards. IE: just because one college football team is losing to another college football team 23 - 3 to begin Q4, the game’s not over & the team trailing hasn’t yet lost & might yet win — however unlikely it seems.
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NEW: Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-FL) just rolled out a straight to camera ad breaking with Trump.
"Mr. President, some of your immigration enforcement efforts have gone too far....The same Hispanics who helped you get to the White House in 2024 feel betrayed today"
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“We don’t want to get ahead ourselves … I’m not comfortable with a lead if they’re at 46% or 47%. Get up there at 49% and 50%. That’s what I look for.” - @JohnAnzo =>
Political conditions are looking a lot like they did before previous Democratic waves. But the party still has to go through deep-red territory, @DavidMDrucker says bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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“The diagnostics are very good … We win when they lose, and they’re losing spectacularly. Trump and the Republicans keep giving us gift after gift after gift.” - @JohnAnzo
Political conditions are looking a lot like they did before previous Democratic waves. But the party still has to go through deep-red territory, @DavidMDrucker says bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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David M. Drucker retweeted
Political conditions are looking a lot like they did before previous Democratic waves. But the party still has to go through deep-red territory, @DavidMDrucker says bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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David M. Drucker retweeted
For all the people poo-pooing the Dems current lead in the Generic Ballot as a psy-op, here’s the generic ballot from 2018 - which is probably the most relevant analog to this year. On Sept 16th of that year, Dems had an 8.3 lead. Final result was D+8.4. They won 41 house seats - but the GOP picked up 2 Senate seats.
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David M. Drucker retweeted
EXCLUSIVE: “We’re standing there with our eyes closed and getting punched in the face.”
@CBSNews obtains verified photos showing destruction of buildings, vehicles and aircraft at U.S. positions in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.
cbsnews.com/news/new-photos-…
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David M. Drucker retweeted
I wrote about how the most important part of the Macklemore drama came after: how Pink and Robert Kraft refused to let Macklemore & co lie about their actual objections and arguments, as if this happened bc he simply spoke the words ‘free Palestine’ commentary.org/seth-mandel/t…
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The most effective way to win a reprieve - public praise and private pleas (especially w/ the added sweetener of ‘these are your voters.’) =>
WSJ editorial board FOIAs emails showing Sen. Katie Britt’s office privately seeking Trump tariff exemptions for Alabama — while she’s publicly praising the tariffs. wsj.com/opinion/katie-britt-…
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