Sci-Tech editor for @DefenseOne. Spies, AIs and the future(s). signal #eu/RniNNB5sfqCtvKrPXOJ7Bb8fdhS352E-RYdqeG2nGHTRmpJCuhFBnaKl91umQcRj">signal.me/#eu/RniNNB5sfqCtvK…

The trough of disillusionment
I agree with Dario that we need to pace the frontier. This has been a primary topic of discussions we've had at OpenAI in recent weeks. Committing to having independent evaluators with employee-like access is a great idea, and we will do the same. We'll have more to share soon.
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Today I’m stepping down from xAI. I’m tired of watching men confuse the power to build something with the right to turn it loose on the rest of us. The people behind ChatGPT and Anthropic are gambling with our children’s future. They call it progress. I’d like to know what good progress is when there’s nothing left worth handing down. Every lab says it has to get there before the other guy. That’s not responsibility. That’s two fools racing toward a cliff, each afraid the other will get there first. I believe in making damn good things and standing behind them. You put your name on something, you own what comes after. You don’t get to burn the place down and leave your children holding the deed. We were supposed to leave this world better than we found it. I won’t help them finish it off. just kidding, I make cowboy boots
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President Donald Trump’s approval rating in “New America” is 32 percent . (ABQ Journal Aug.31 poll)
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people aren’t anti-datacenter, they’re anti-technocrats. for the last 20 years silicon valley has given us crippling phone addictions, sold out our data, and now threatens our livelihood. we need to stop demonizing victims and trying to fix their symptoms. we need to treat the ailment- money & power hungry techbros.
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The data center backlash is a product of two mutually reinforcing dynamics: 1) Locally, it's material concerns (noise, water, electricity) and process failure (NDAs, tax subsidies) 2) Nationally, it's broad anti-corporate and anti-AI sentiment (AI companies are screwing you over to get rich off dumb toys) Social media + political campaigns amplify hyperlocal grievances into a broad populist movement, and there's no compelling "pro data center faction" to make the opposite case
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Ugh, so close!
Texas, Pennsylvania and now Ohio. This is a powder keg and has the potential to unwind 200-300 basis points of annual GDP if it metastasizes. How did it get this bad? The collective leadership of frontier AI has failed miserably in doing the basics: 1. Paint a positive picture of what is possible with AI. Instead of spilling the ink on the glass half full, stories abound of pearl clutching, catastrophizing or arcane technical jargon that, together, breed mistrust, fear and skepticism. 2. Visibly and disproportionately enrich the local communities AI data centers operate in. Tell these stories with a megaphone and have local leaders lead with the financial proof so it’s irrefutable. 3. Stop infighting and stop trying to influence the government or trick them because of the asymmetric knowledge the industry has relative to outsiders and observers. This further makes it seem like a shady money grab to many bystanders. Data centers have unfortunately become THE symbolic representation of the asymmetric upside for a very narrow tech elite and a class that are untrustworthy. Inasmuch, the safer bet may be that the pushback and resistance grows…
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“Our users demand that we optimize feed content for depression-inducing rage engagement. We don’t get it either! That’s why we don’t let our kids even look at screens.”

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There’s a strong “We’re all trying to find the guy who did this” element to large US tech companies discovering that the modern information environment is chaotic, low trust, driven by whim, does not reward truth-finding, is not self-correcting, given to faddish obsessions, etc
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Huh. Who could have seen it? Oh, that’s right @DefenseOne defenseone.com/technology/20…
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A top U.S. military commander today offered a blunt assessment that the U.S. is not prepared to defend against drones launched inside the homeland. twz.com/air/u-s-not-prepared…
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As warfare becomes engineering, the era of the digital mercenary dawns. The WH is letting cyber firms hit foreign targets. That same trend is also reshaping warfare, which moves faster than governments can keep pace. My latest for @DefenseOne
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Oh.

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One brain. For any robot. 🤖 We’re launching Gemini Robotics 2: our next-generation physical AI bringing full body intelligence to humanoids, advanced dexterity, multi-robot teamwork and more.
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The Fedorov / Zelensky Game-of-Thrones rift has exposed rival factions within Ukraine's leadership. It's outcome will shape the futures of Ukraine’s war effort and the country itself. defenseone.com/threats/2026/… my latest for @DefenseOne
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Orwell be like… nah
Speaking is faster than typing. Reading is faster than listening. The highest bandwidth interface between humans and AI is asymmetric. That’s how we designed ChatGPT Voice on desktop: speak your thoughts and let the model choose the best way to show you its answer.
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The Kremlin’s financial crisis must be severe indeed
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Should the U.S. prioritize investment in open source, open weight AI rather than subsidize the impractical, energy-mad business models of four frontier labs who happen to be connected to multi-billion dollar hyperscalers? 🤷‍♂️

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Why care at all about the spread of China's open-source AI models? Four reasons: 1⃣ Data poisoning & indirect control 2⃣ Data exfiltration & intelligence gathering 3⃣ Capability uplift for malicious actors 4⃣ Economic displacement of U.S. labs warontherocks.com/cogs-of-wa…
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I be dyin' on this hill all day...
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A 2024 primer to the issue: defenseone.com/technology/20…
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This exchange between Sen. Gary C. Peters, D-Mi., and Defense (War) Sec. Pete Hegseth displays vividly how contentious the Iran War has become on the Hill in the context of a historic $1.5 trillion budget request.
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Point Fedorov

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⚡️Breaking: Zelensky dismisses Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi amid widespread protests. President Volodymyr Zelensky on July 21 dismissed the Commander-in-Chief of Ukraine's Armed Forces, Oleksandr Syrskyi. kyivindependent.com/breaking…
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NEW: FBI Director Patel is planning to go to Moscow and St. Petersburg in October. w/ @nahaltoosi @johnnysaks130 @joshgerstein politico.com/news/2026/07/20…
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U.S. Forces to Resume Naval Blockade Against Iran centcom.mil/MEDIA/PUBLIC-REL…

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Russia’s war on Ukraine continues but this spring and summer, key trends have changed to favor Ukraine. A clip from my recent short documentary for @DefenseOne . Watch full version: piped.video/eZB1vQGDUcA?si=aW6K…
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the one conspiracy i believe is that this place is full of bots programmed to say insane, incendiary things and they're funded by foreign organizations who want to divide americans and destabilize US society
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Replying to @ZKallenborn
That's a very measured, good-faith take. I rather doubt Sen. Lee feels private sector companies that embed fellows in the Federalist Society deserve government scrutiny at the Senate investigation level. I suppose it's possible. Just...

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Anthropic, a private company, announced that they will embed fellows in non-profits… is all that’s actually happening here.
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The art for @TheAtlantic story on the dawn of the post-literate age is much better than the art for my 2009 Futurist magazine story “The Dawn of the Post-literate Age: how information technology, cybernetics, and AI will render written language ‘functionally obsolete’ by 2050”
Americans were once members of a proudly literate society, but today, reading has declined across age groups, gender, and education levels. For The Atlantic’s August issue, @rosehorowitch explores the reading collapse—and its effects on civilization: theatln.tc/BYL9zqM8
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Watch the entire documentary on YouTube for free: piped.video/watch?v=eZB1vQGD… A bit more of our coverage: defenseone.com/technology/20…
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A clip from "How Ukraine is winning the first Great Robot War," A short documentary about how Ukraine defied expectations and changed the future direction of military technology—and of war itself. My latest for @DefenseOne
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But what do I know. Maybe the pope is the bad guy.
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Crazy thought here: The trend in public concern about unregulated "AI" is more about the concentration of compute, data, IP and public policy influence in the hands of people like Peter Thiel, not because--as Theil suggests--the Pope is a Chinese communist agent.
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AI is and will always be 3 things: compute, data, math. Four hyperscalers who back four frontier labs are not THE future of #AI . They are merely A future of AI. Alex Karp merging with Cody Doctorow was not easily foreseen… just inevitable
Palantir CEO Alex Karp on what customers actually want, the real business of frontier labs, and the importance of open source models: “What the technical customers want is control over their compute, their models, their data stack, and their alpha. They want to know they own the means of production, and it's not being transferred to someone else.” "Who owns the data? Are the prompts secure? Is this being transferred to you?" "If it was so valuable, and I can make you a billion dollars, wouldn't I say I'll make you a billion dollars and I want 30%? Why are they charging for tokens if it's so valuable?"
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The discussion about @elonmusk's comments on humanitarian aid has mostly focused on our values, which seems right. But note that USAID served our interests as well as our values, by protecting us from diseases like the Ebola outbreak now ravaging Congo.
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Discussed alternative futures for AI w @AlJazeera today
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At the 2026 @DefenseOne Tech Summit @shieldaitech President @brandontseng2 took a question on the risks of faster experimentation, testing, and adapting of new drone and AI gear. The risks of not innovating fast enough are not poorly understood ... And they're growing.
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I sat down yesterday w the smartest minds in military technology to discuss the new future(s) for AI. Videos and more coverage on-the-way. defenseone.com/?oref=d1-nav
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I think I fell for Russian propaganda. Let me explain…
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Marines in the Pacific used 3D printers and other tools to field-produce shaped charges with local materials: plastic water bottles, crushed volcanic rock, coconut husks, and coffee grounds. A @Navybook dispatch from the @DefenseOne #Techsummit26
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Today is the day! See you at the 10th @DefenseOne Tech Summit. The future is a decision! events.defenseone.com/2026-d…
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From 2024, discussing the Kremlin origins of the “Ukraine bio-weapons lab” false flag w @AlexWitt of @MSNBC
EXCLUSIVE: 🚨 @TulsiGabbard Recycled Published Russian Intelligence And Claimed It Was An Official American Intelligence Document In Her Latest Act Of Deception Days Before She Is Set To “Resign” As DNI 🚨 In her “Ukrainian Bio lab” document “declassification” release this week, I’ve discovered that DNI Tulsi Gabbard used graphics from official Russian intelligence documents and slapped an ODNI @ODNIgov logo on top of these same documents to present them as an official intel report created by the US government. Upon further analysis of Tulsi Gabbard’s most recent declassification related to Ukraine, I have discovered evidence that she is directly peddling Russian government propaganda. Here’s the evidence: Source: dni.gov/files/BIOLAB_Slides.… Slide 1 ironically includes an IC assessment that claims Russia will attempt to spread false narratives about the US’s bio labs in Ukraine, which is exactly what @TulsiGabbard just helped the Russian Government do. Slide 2 contains an AI generated map of Ukraine which is clearly not an IC product, and which contains basic spelling and geographical errors, making a mockery of the US government. Slide 4 contains the internal work product of an American corporation (Black and Veatch) that worked with the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) in Ukraine. The Russian Government claims to have captured these documents during their invasion of Ukraine. The Russian Government then widely publicized these products in their own official reports in 2022. Gabbard’s political staff (not IC analysts) recycled published propaganda of the Russian Government in an attempt to spread false narratives while falsely claiming the slideshow she released this week is an original work product of US intel agencies. Page 83 of the following document presented by the Russian Government to the UN Security Council shows the exact figure that Gabbard recycled in slide 4 of her release this week. Source: the-trench.org/wp-content/up… Gabbard’s intent with this deception is to conflate the biological safety work being done to prevent dangerous uses of Soviet era pathogens (which has been publicly disclosed since 2005 as the Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction framework) with bioweapons production so that Russia has another manufactured excuse to continue its prolonged war with Ukraine. Let’s be clear: there is no evidence that Ukraine in its longstanding cooperative program with the US has engaged in Gain of Function or biological weapons research. But what is clear is Tulsi Gabbard and her staff promulgated Russian intelligence products as American work, in violation of the Espionage Act. My FOIA request to ODNI regarding the production of these documents is being submitted on Monday morning. By law, ODNI has 10 business days to respond. I look forward to reading the emails. The Trump administration should order ODNI to take these Russian documents down today. This is embarrassing for the Trump administration. Nice to know ODNI gets their “intel” and their graphics from Russian intelligence. See photographic evidence below 👇🏻
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A U.S. Navy drone boat rescued the crew of an Army helicopter downed near the Strait of Hormuz on Monday evening,an apparent first for the U.S. military. The Corsair is a 24-foot robot boat made by Texas-based defense tech firm Saronic. From @TomNovelly for @DefenseOne
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Join me and leading thinkers from @NATO_ACT, @DARPA , @OpenAI, @Google, @DeptofWar and many others to discuss artificial intelligence is altering the future of military technology and geopolitical power. June 16, Pentagon City lnkd.in/ejhvdp88
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Allies of Putin openly advocated for nuclear war and wishcast for an American "crisis" while also boasting about non-existent US real-estate deals at the Kremlin-backed forum in Russia this week. So much for a five-day "special operation." My latest for @DefenseOne
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Kirill is the CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund. Here he is touting “strong Russian economic cooperation” w the White House. Here also is a slide (and rough translation) displayed at the St. Petersburg forum listing “The collapse of American Centrism” as a goal.
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A small but growing number of European officials and analysts are saying what four years ago was unthinkable: Ukraine isn’t just surviving its grueling war with Russia, it has a path to victory (but not a guarantee..) My dispatch from @GLOBSEC for @DefenseOne 🧵
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