Tech guy, developer, and degenerate. Full time prediction market trader📈 Part time online shitposter 📉

Following the Michigan drama last night, Kalshi has now filed a regulatory notice stating trades in any combo market that had "WMU yes" as a leg are subject to cancellation Maybe I don't have to kick myself for sitting out last night 🤷‍♂️
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Interesting to note, nothing regarding combos involving spreads, totals, or even Michigan Yes as a leg has been mentioned yet. Most combos with Michigan Yes seemed to have paid out already as well
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The stream returns TODAY 5 PM ET with special guest @Foster - The state of mentions - What will NFL be like? - NFL Survivor? - Midterms?
The PMT stream will be entering its first-ever 2-week hiatus as we head to Europe for our honeymoon. When we’re back: midterms, NFL, CFB, and a potential move out of New York. Stay tuned.
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As many know, Kalshi recently removed mention markets for all sports games If you don't trade mentions, you might not care. But I noticed that NFL game volume is down over 99% since the last game with a matching mention The numbers speak for themselves here. We need them back.
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Missing out on almost $500 million in volume per game, means they may sacrifice over $130 billion in volume this season just in the regular season from this And I haven't even started digging into NFL viewership numbers but I wouldn't be surprised if I find a similar trend..
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Hi all. Been a while since I've had a chance to post here, and Kalshi has been a bit slow for me for the last few months anyways, but that ends today thanks to Graham Platner's withdrawal a few minutes ago. Yes, it's real.
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We are so up right now..
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Foster retweeted
I lost betting on 2nd half overs in the CLE-NY game last night. Kalshi argued that 2nd half only includes regulation time, even though their full rules state overtime points are included unless explicitly excluded, and every sportsbook I know includes OT in 2H lines. Seem fair?
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This one got me too, a full reading of the rules seems very solid that 2H includes overtime per contract and NBA's official rules. Market obviously was confusing to people so it sucks to see losses but really feel like the that should be asking for a refund shouldn't be the ones that read the contract vs the market maker who didn't and got paid out fully😢
Pretty frustrated with @KalshiSports handling of a contract issue on last nights 2H NBA Cavs vs Knicks game. This is a specific discussion over @Kalshi 's contract and rule variable language differences among props, leading traders to believe they are trading different outcomes.
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Foster retweeted
Locksy reflects on a tweet he made when his Kalshi account was negative, after hitting $100K profit. "That shows you if you just dedicate yourself to something, you can achieve it."
remember this. rock bottom. when i am one of the most profitable prediction market traders with all my plays public.. remember you were here.
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🚨🚨🚨THE @catboyautist INTERVIEW🚨🚨🚨 TONIGHT - 5PM ET THE MOST REQUESTED INTERVIEW OF ALL TIME THE #1 MENTION MARKET TRADER IN THE WORLD OVER $1.2M IN PROFITS POTENTIAL FACE REVEAL???
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Been a minute since I was up here😁
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Not what I was expecting
Looks like we might be getting a surprise Trump announcement today. Expected to go live soon from the Oval Office. @PredMTrader WE'RE SAVED
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Looks like we might be getting a surprise Trump announcement today. Expected to go live soon from the Oval Office. @PredMTrader WE'RE SAVED
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Two days in a row of closed press Trump.. What is he hiding?🤨
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Trump’s Wednesday address was our biggest mention market ever - over $60K on the line It also turned into our biggest win ever Full stream highlights
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Super fun market on Trump's address. Ended up +$8k across both markets. I feel like I handicapped it well, just didn't size up enough, especially on the on the cheap yesses I really liked like "Moon" and "BHO" Also, over 18m volume. Insane..
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Foster retweeted
Generational wealth could be made tonight! nitter.net/i/spaces/1qGvvkWXzopGB
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