Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/2/2026 #Dow E-mini broke to new intermediate term low as did the Russell 2000. Underlying core remains negative as the bifurcation between tech stocks and the rest of the market continues. Current Positions: #Soybeans November 2026 - Can be long on a new contract high. Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raised stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Exited 1/3rd position on Monday morning on a Time Stop since it failed to meet its objective. Now hold 1/3rd position. #Heating #Oil November 2026 Futures - Can be long exited 1/3rd using an aggressive short term stop on the open on Buy Signal from 09/02/26 reducing size of position to 2/3rds and from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal exiting 1/3rd and still holding 1/3rd. Stops on both trades are at breakeven on remaining positions in both buy alerts. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Now holding 1/3rd position in each buy signal. #E-Mini Russell 2000 December. Exited on the open for the 09/26/26 sell signal for a Can be short. Can lower stop on 09/10/26 sell signal to 2934.70 intraday. Still holding full position. 10 Year #Treasury #Note December futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert. Switching to December contract. Substantial down day today as interest rates trend higher and bonds go lower. Exited 1/3rd of position upon hitting profit objective. Still holding 2/3rd position with stop moved to breakeven on an intraday basis.

Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/23/2026 One of the most selective rallies going on in the history of the stock market. I expect the BIG MONEY is looking for a shake out here before buying. Seasonality remains positive, but the average stock is not showing anything at the moment. Good time to be an observer and avoid FOMO. Patience is needed to pick your spot. #COPPER and #GOLD have bullish BLAST OFF readings. Need a TMA entry point for both metals. It has more than a little bit crazy trying to figure out this huge divergence between tech and the rest of market. When in doubt, I fall back and tell myself to only take TMA trades in the direction to the All Market Index. That direction remains on a sell signal. Current Positions: #Soybeans November 2026 - Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raise stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Exited 1/3rd position on Monday morning on a Time Stop since it failed to meet its objective. Will now hold 1/3rd position after closing 1/3rd position on Monday morning open. #Heating #Oil November 2026 Futures - Can be long exited 1/3rd using an aggressive short term stop on the open on Buy Signal from 09/02/26 reducing size of position to 2/3rds and from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal exiting 1/3rd and still holding 1/3rd. Stops on both trades are at breakeven on remaining positions in both buy alerts. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Now holding 1/3rd position in each buy signal. #E-Mini Russell 2000 December. Exited on the open for the 09/26/26 sell signal for a Can be short. Can lower stop on 09/10/26 sell signal to 2934.70 intraday. Still holding full position. 10 Year #Treasury #Note October futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert. Will move protective stop to breakeven. Huge down day today as interest rates accelerate higher and bonds go lower.

Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/22/2026 Stock market continues to generate weak signals outside of tech and even some of those are seemingly dead. I expect the BIG MONEY is looking for a shake out here before buying. Seasonality remains positive, but the average stock is not showing anything at the moment. Good time to be an observer and avoid FOMO. Patience is needed to pick your spot. Current Positions: #Soybeans November 2026 - Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raise stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Exited 1/3rd position on Monday morning on a Time Stop since it failed to meet its objective. Will now hold 1/3rd position after closing 1/3rd position on Monday morning open. #Heating #Oil November 2026 Futures - Can be long exited 1/3rd using an aggressive short term stop on the open on Buy Signal from 09/02/26 reducing size of position to 2/3rds and from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal exiting 1/3rd and still holding 1/3rd. Stops on both trades are at breakeven on remaining positions in both buy alerts. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Now holding 1/3rd position in each buy signal. #E-Mini Russell 2000 December. Exited on the open for the 09/26/26 sell signal for a minor profit. Can lower stop on 09/10/26 sell signal to 2934.70 intraday. 10 Year #Treasury #Note October futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert. Will move protective stop to breakeven.

Today’s most impressive action came from $MAGS. These Magnificent 7 had a powerhouse bullish profile today. What is being seen today may be a blow off run in a select few stocks heavily weighted in the indexes. Worth noting the $DJIA AND the Russell 2000 barely budged. I am not overly surprised that the seasonal pattern did not play out to early October. There was too much bearishness and too much money wanting to buy even if it was picked over merchandise. I will check the reading from my All Market Index in the morning, but I expect this move today was too narrowly focused to generate a buy signal at this time.

Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/21/2026 Strong upside action generated Momentum Timing Buy signals in both the $SPX and the $Nasdaq 100 e-mini. Meanwhile, the Russell 2000 and the $Dow mini stayed well contained below their 50 day moving averages both on a minor up day. I believe all most all of the upside action was generated by the $MAG 7. A few high tech stocks in my Hot 100 Chartbook generated impressive buy signals as well. Non. High tech names showed zero strength. I am monitoring BIG MONEY to see if it steps in and buys. Will check today’s numbers and report in the morning if the All Market Index generated a buy signal. Current Positions: #CC Cocoa December Futures.. Exited final 1/3rd position on the open. Exited with profit on short term stop, long term stop and profit objective from the 06/22/26 buy signal. #Soybeans November 2026 - Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raise stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Exited 1/3rd position on Monday morning on a Time Stop since it failed to meet its objective. Will now hold 1/3rd position after closing 1/3rd position on Monday morning open. #Heating #Oil November 2026 Futures - Can be long exiting 1/3rd using an aggressive short term stop on the open on Buy Signal from 09/02/26 reducing size of position to 2/3rds and from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal exiting 1/3rd and still holding 1/3rd. Stops on both trades are at breakeven on remaining positions in both buy alerts. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Bring both positions to break even from 08/31/26 and 09/03/26. Took 1/3rd profit in each position upon hitting price objective. Exited today on the open another 1/3rd of the position from the 08/31/26 buy signal and the 09/03/26 buy signal using an aggressive short term stop. Now holding 1/3rd position from 08/31/26 and 09/03/26 with a long term trailing stop. #E-Mini Russell 2000 December. Can be short from both the 09/26 and 09/10/26 sell alerts Can lower stop on 09/10/26 sell signal to 2934.70 intraday. Can exit the entire position from 09/26/26 on open. 10 Year #Treasury #Note October futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert. Will move protective stop to breakeven.

Fed follows interest rates set by the market. The Fed does not lead. Traders focus so much wasted energy on following Fed moves. It is nothing more than noise. The Fed has been rendered irrelevant. Federal Deficits on the order of $2 Trillion per year makes the Fed unable to control interest rate or even get close to its beloved (and irrational) 2% inflation rate. So here is the bottom line: Trade stocks/ Trade Commodities!. Forget the Fed. I use TMA. PERIOD. No Fed nonsense. If there is anything coming from the Fed useful to monitor is liquidity it creates available to buy stocks. M2 money supply has been the market’s golden goose creating all the liquidity. If the fed does not really move the market, then all I really need to know is in the behavior of individual stocks and commodities that may or may not reflect what the Fed is doing. Know your buy rules, know your sell rules, know your position sizing. Follow your rules. Currently all of my open trades are profitable. Does that mean I haven’t had losses. Oh yes I have. I take my losses quickly before being able to do damage to my account. I report every trade here. The real market wizardry found here is in cutting losses. And unfortunately I have not found a money machine that is a 100% winner. So the adages Gunner Senior learned 60 years ago apply just as equally today as they did then. “Let your profits run and cut your losses short” Sterling advice. Often quoted, rarely followed. The Market Wizard books reveal the real secret of wizardly. I will repeat what that magic elixir is “Let your profits run and cut your losses short. And cut those losses means cutting losses 100% of the time with no ifs, ands, or buts. Can I say it any more strongly? Ignore the Fed and trade the markets using sterling trading tactics.

Here is a chart that Terry published and doubled his subscribers and had 144k views. This incredible number of views tells me people are very much interested in getting their bearish opinion confirmed by bearish signals. I am still on a SELL SIGNAL. However the incredible response to this post tells me to be on guard for a major stock market reversal to the upside. Remember in the twilight zone of the stock market, up is down and down is up. Sentiment is down, market is likely to double cross very soon to the upside. My All Market Index will be the confirmation. Stay Tuned!

Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/18/2026 The All Market Accumulation Distribution Index generated its latest sell signals on 09/09/26 and 09/10/26. I am monitoring BIG MONEY to see if it steps in and buys. Not so far. Selling is still outpacing buying. Seasonal weakness into September time frame combined with a bearish mid term election cycle adds weight to the current negative outlook on stocks. Looking further out into October, expect a bull market rally to new highs. Current Positions: #CC Cocoa December Futures.. Will exit final 1/3rd on Monday opening following the drop below the long term stop. Exiting with profit on short term stop, long term stop and profit objective from the 06/22/26 buy signal. #Soybeans November 2026 - Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raise stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Still holding 2/3rds position. Will exit 1/3rd position on Monday morning on a Time Stop since it failed to meet its objective. Will now hold 1/3rd position after closing 1/3rd position on Monday morning open. #Heating #Oil November 2026 Futures - Can be long on New Buy Signal from 09/02/26 with full position. Holding 2/3rds position from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal. Exited 1/3rd at profit objective. Bring stops to breakeven on both trades. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Bring both positions to break even from 08/31/26 and 09/03/26. Took 1/3rd profit in each position upon hitting price objective. Now will exit another 1/3rd of the position from the 08/31/26 buy signal and the 09/03/26 buy signal using an aggressive short term stop. Will hold 1/3rd position from each buy signal. #E-Mini Russell 2000 December. Can now be short from both the 09/26 and 09/10/26 sell alerts Switching to December contract. See the revised positioning details for the December contract in separate post. Can lower stop on 09/10/26 to the low of the day at 2941.60. 10 Year #Treasury #Note October futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert. Will move protective stop to breakeven.

Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/17/2026 The All Market Accumulation Distribution Index generated its latest sell signals on 09/09/26 and 09/10/26. Yesterday’s figures will be available later today. Seasonal weakness into September time frame combined with a bearish mid term election cycle adds weight to the current negative outlook on stocks. Looking further out into October, expect a bull market rally to new highs. Current Positions: #CC Cocoa December Futures - Can be long. Holding 1/3rd position from 06/22/26 buy signal. Can be long from 08/18/26 buy alert. Exited 1/3rd of position from 08/18/26 buy alert. Exited final 2/3rds of 08/18/26 buy alert at a protective intraday stop. #Soybeans November 2026 - Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raise stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Still holding 2/3rds position. #Heating #Oil November 2026 Futures - Can be long on New Buy Signal from 09/02/26 with full position. Holding 2/3rds position from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal. Exited 1/3rd at profit objective. Bring stops to breakeven on both trades. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Bring both positions to break even from 08/31/26 and 09/03/26. Took 1/3rd profit in each position upon hitting price objective. Now will be holding 2/3rds position in both buy signals. #E-Mini Russell 2000 September. Can now be short from both the 09/26 and 09/10/26 sell alerts Switching to December contract. See the revised positioning details for the December contract in separate post. 10 Year #Treasury #Note October futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert. Will move protective stop to breakeven.

I still expect the midterm election seasonal cycle still to play out with a low in early October. Right now my All Market Index says the big money has not stepped in to buy. It is hard to conceive of a huge down draft here, but stocks will remain under pressure until we see a BIG MONEY buy signal from the All Market Index

Some solid assumptions. I particularly like the idea that uncertainty is usually resolved in the direction of the time frame one is looking at by the next higher time frame. My Blast Off Indicator is based, in part, upon this idea. It looks at the momentum of weekly and monthly momentum action to see if a signal on the daily level is likely to succeed. In other words, do the weekly and monthly charts support a TMA signal to either go short or go long. A TMA trade on the daily bar gains more credibility when Blast Off is bullish.

Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/16/2026 Fed follows interest rates set by the market. The Fed does not lead. Traders focus so much wasted energy on following Fed moves. It is nothing more than noise. Trade stocks. I use TMA. PERIOD. No Fed nonsense. If there is anything coming from the Fed useful to monitor is liquidity it creates available to buy stocks. M2 money supply has been the market’s golden goose creating all the liquidity. If the fed does move the market, then all I really need to know is in the behavior of individual stocks and commodities that may or may not reflect what the Fed is doing. Know your buy rules, know your sell rules, know your position sizing. Follow your rules. Currently all of my open trades are profitable. Does that mean I haven’t had losses. Oh yes I have. I report every trade here. The real market wizardry found here is in cutting losses. And unfortunately I have not found a money machine that is a 100% winner. So the adages Gunner Senior learned 60 years ago apply just as equally today as they did then. “Let your profits run and cut your losses short” Sterling advice. Often quoted, rarely followed. The All Market Accumulation Distribution Index generated its latest sell signals on 09/09/26 and 09/10/26 Seasonal weakness into September time frame combined with a bearish mid term election cycle adds weight to the current negative outlook on stocks. Looking further out into October, expect a bull market rally to new highs. Current Positions: #CC Cocoa December Futures - Can be long. Holding 1/3rd position from 06/22/26 buy signal. Can be long from 08/18/26 buy alert. Exited 1/3rd of position from 08/18/26 buy alert. Will now hold 2/3rds of a position. #Soybeans November 2026 - Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raise stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Still holding 2/3rds position. #Heating #Oil November 2026 Futures - Can be long on New Buy Signal from 09/02/26 with full position. Holding 2/3rds position from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal. Exited 1/3rd at profit objective. Bring stops to breakeven on both trades. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Bring both positions to break even from 08/31/26 and 09/03/26. Took 1/3rd profit in each position upon hitting price objective. Now will be holding 2/3rds position in both buy signals. #E-Mini Russell 2000 September. Can now be short from both the 09/26 and 09/10/26 sell alerts Switching to December contract. See the revised positioning details for the December contract in separate post. 10 Year #Treasury #Note October futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert. Will move protective stop to breakeven.

T-Bonds - 30 year breaking down (higher yields). Now 5.36% On Monthly chart, T-Bonds have a long-term price projection off the 03/31/26 sell signal of 85.40625. Imagine the head winds for stocks as the 2020's decade wraps up. Severe potential stock market weakness based upon the decade pattern comes in 2028-2032.

$SNDK - Big Money is selling Big Tech.

Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/15/2026 The All Market Accumulation Distribution Index generated its latest sell signals on 09/09/26 and 09/10/26 Seasonal weakness into September time frame combined with a bearish mid term election cycle adds weight to the current negative outlook on stocks. Looking further out into October, expect a bull market rally to new highs. Current Positions: #CC Cocoa December Futures - Can be long. Holding 1/3rd position from 06/22/26 buy signal. Can be long from 08/18/26 buy alert. Exited 1/3rd of position from 08/18/26 buy alert. Will now hold 2/3rds of a position. #Soybeans November 2026 - Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raise stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Still holding 2/3rds position. #Heating #Oil November 2026 Futures - Can be long on New Buy Signal from 09/02/26 with full position. Holding 2/3rds position from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal. Exited 1/3rd at profit objective. Bring stops to breakeven on both trades. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Bring both positions to break even from 08/31/26 and 09/03/26. Took 1/3rd profit in each position upon hitting price objective. Now will be holding 2/3rds position in both buy signals. #E-Mini Russell 2000 September. Can now be short from both the 09/26 and 09/10/26 sell alerts Switching to December contract. See the revised positioning details for the December contract in separate post. #Bitcoin September 2026 Futures - Will cancel buy stop. 10 Year #Treasury #Note October futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert.

E-Mini Russell 2000 December - Switching from September to December contract, Revised positioning data below for both positions

Position Summary/Market Commentary 09/14/2026 The All Market Accumulation Distribution Index generated its latest sell signals on 09/09/26 and 09/10/26 Seasonal weakness into September time frame combined with a bearish mid term election cycle adds weight to the current negative outlook on stocks. Looking further out into October, expect a bull market rally to new highs. Current Positions: #CC Cocoa December Futures - Can be long. Holding 1/3rd position from 06/22/26 buy signal. Can be long from 08/18/26 buy alert. Exited 1/3rd of position from 08/18/26 buy alert. Will now hold 2/3rds of a position. $CGNRF ($LBCMF) - Exited final 2/3rds of position on a protective stop for a loss. Copper rolling over and breaking down. #Cotton #FUTURES - Exited final 1/3rd on open for a profit when fell below long-term trailing stop on Friday. Overall trade profitable on each 1/3rd exit including profit objective and short term trailing stop. $GDXJ - Exited final 1/3rd from 08/19/26 at a protective stop today. #Soybeans November 2026 - Buy Signal from 08/27/26 triggered. Can be long. Raise stop to breakeven. Exited 1/3rd position after dropping below the aggressive trailing stop. Still holding 2/3rds position. #Heating #Oil December 2026 Futures - Can be long on New Buy Signal from 09/02/26 with full position. Holding 2/3rds position from Long from 08/28/26 buy signal. Exited 1/3rd at profit objective. Bring stops to breakeven on both trades. #Crude #Oil E-Mini October 2026 - Can be long from 08/31/26 buy signal and can be long from 09/03/26. Bring both positions to break even from 08/31/26 and 09/03/26. Took 1/3rd profit in each position upon hitting price objective. Now will be holding 2/3rds position in both buy signals. #E-Mini Russell 2000 September. Can go short and can be short. Entered on Sell Alert (09/09/26). 09/10/26 generated another sell alert and will add to short position. See separate post for shorting details. #Bitcoin September 2026 Futures - Can go long on buy trigger. Main Trend Index has moved above zero. Momentum is fading here but can still go long. See positioning details in another post. 10 Year #Treasury #Note October futures Can be short from 09/09/26 Sell Alert.

Do you think traders were bullish at those buy signals and took advantage of what was in front of them? I am reminded of @WalterDeemer who famously said “When the time comes to buy, you won’t want to”. I can guarantee you 95% of traders would hesitate to buy those signals. Why? Here is what I have heard at such moments: “The market is too volatile” “I think it is a fake rally” “It is just too scary to buy” FYI - These are not made up signals, these are real and I saw each and every one of them unfold in real time.