This might be the year everything changes, as those who don't count joules and radiative fluxes are too starting to feel the heat from reducing air-pollution. Many great scientists have tried to inform on this in the past decades (e.g. James Hansen, James Lovelock, Paul Crutzen and Veerabhadran Ramanathan). Policy makers and media have paid very little attention so far. This was the reason for me to start using my largely dormant Twitter account 3.5 years ago. To create awareness about rapid warming from rapidly reducing air pollution. There's mainly been a small crowd of 'climate doomers' and slightly anoyed climate scientists to interact with. In the past months this changed, as the additional accumulating heat is starting to surface. My amount of followers has tripled, the graphs we make receive millions of views and media around the world are paying attention. This is bigger than any one of us. We need specialized scientists to assess what this means for changes to monsoon systems, others that look at how ocean and atmospheric currents (might) change and how that could impact melting ice and sea level rise. We need politicians, legal experts and social scientists to learn what is at stake and debate the effects of unintentional and intentional emissions on climate, not just health and the environment. There are no easy choices in this. How much warming will the world except? And how fast can the rate of warming be until we are unable to adapt? When will we learn how high our dikes really need to be? How extreme will droughts get? How many people will lose their homes and need to move to greener pastures? Be it a locally overflowing refugee camp or to another country? Will we have the stability of global governance to face these accumulating challenges? Uncertainties are very large, which might be the main problem. We don't know how bad it will get, and anyone who tells you one way or another is lying. The precautionary principle tells us we have the duty to act. For ourselves, for our children and for strangers we will never meet. We are the most adaptable species known to ever have existed. I believe that with a more thorough understanding of our planet, humanity could become a beneficial force to life on Earth. If we soon aquire collective will to do so.

Wow, just wow. The 2026 Pacific hurricane season east of the IDL is now ranked #2 & not far from surpassing 1992. Now I want to be clear that this does not mean we will surpass 300 ACE points, but the fact is that we might pass 1992 in ACE points at this rate on a given day due to 3 hurricanes churning at the same time, with 2 of them now being major. With Nolo forecasted to become a major in a few days, it would not shock me if we get to 300 ACE in the next week or two. Fun fact: We have been accumulating around 10-15 ACE points per day since September 21st. Running the calculations shows that we should reach 300 ACE in about 8-12 days (October 2-6) and break the all-time record by October 10th due to a 90% AOI in the EPAC that looks to become a hurricane in the next 5-8 days.

The combination of sea level rise, a super El Niño and a storm surge will hit Baja California hard.

This is so bad.. Down is up and up is down.

The graph shows forcing. Which is mainly CO₂ and methane during the negative period (what we in Europe call the Weichselian glaciation). This is the imbalance:

If you wish to use your eyes to read the study this graph is based on, you'll find it here: academic.oup.com/oocc/articl…

"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." George Orwell, 1984.

It's the rate of change that poses such a threat

Here we go.. More rapid 🌀 intensification. "In the eastern North Pacific south of Mexico, Hurricane Polo has rapidly intensified from a tropical depression to a major hurricane in just over a day and continues to barrel toward category 5 strength." Dr Kim Wood

Definitely time to start testing .“So once this El Niño passes… the ocean ecosystem… may stay in a new state.” Plus, the next series of challenges will be even worse. Tempus fugit.

Climate Chat is now live!

Breaking News! Code FUBAR!!! Yesterday's Nino 3.4 sea-surface temperature anomaly (preliminary) was a record 3.047°C above the 1991-2020 baseline, beating the previous record of 3.034°C set on November 19, 2015. It will take about 2 weeks to verify. Stay tuned!

Extreme weather during summer 2026 is estimated to have cost the EU 180 billion Euros But still governments refuse to acknowledge the scale of the threat and turn away from any serious, effective, action Hard to comprehend really theguardian.com/environment/…