If you're planning to vote Democrat, and you're doing it sincerely, because you genuinely want a fairer country, cheaper homes, better schools, and a future for your kids, this post is for you. I'm not here to insult you. I'm here to show you something nobody inside the system will ever tell you. Give me two minutes.
Why do people keep defending a system they know doesn't work?
You've seen it a hundred times. A program fails, its budget doubles, the problem gets worse, and the people in charge ask for more. Nobody inside seems surprised. That's because, for them, the system isn't failing. It's working exactly as designed. Just not for you.
To understand it, forget ideology. Follow the incentives.
A politician's horizon is the next election. Two years, four years, six at most. His reward comes from promising: free tuition, cancelled debt, guaranteed housing, a green transition paid for by someone else. The bill arrives in ten, twenty, thirty years. By then he's retired, writing his memoir, giving paid speeches. He collects the applause today. You pay the invoice tomorrow. Any system where the person who makes the promise never pays for breaking it will produce endless broken promises. That isn't a moral failure. It's a mathematical certainty.
A bureaucrat is rewarded for the size of his budget and his team, not for solving the problem. If he solves it, his department shrinks. If it gets worse, he asks for more money, and he usually gets it. Failure is literally funded.
Then add the mega-donors. Foundations like those of Bill Gates or George Soros spend billions shaping policy: global health priorities, criminal justice, education, elections. You don't need to imagine a secret meeting. That's the point. No conspiracy is required, only incentives. The foundations fund the causes, the politicians adopt them, the agencies execute them. And when it goes wrong, who pays? Not the foundation. Not the politician. The neighborhood where the policy was tested. The billionaire never lives inside his own experiment.
The Austrian economists understood this a century ago. Mises showed that a state can't allocate capital properly because it has no prices, no profit and loss, no signal telling it when it's wrong. Hayek showed that no planner can ever know what millions of people know. When an entrepreneur misallocates capital, he goes bankrupt. When a state does, it raises taxes, prints money, or borrows from your children. Error is never punished, so it never stops.
And that's where the cycle locks in. When capital is allocated by politics instead of markets, the most profitable skill is no longer building. It's lobbying. Getting close to the money. Writing the rule that crushes your competitor. Corruption stops being a bug and becomes the business model. Every round creates more people who depend on it and will defend it. That's why the system protects itself even when everyone knows it's broken. Too many livelihoods depend on the lie.
Meanwhile, Europe's fashionable economists offer the opposite diagnosis. Thomas Piketty and Gabriel Zucman tell us the problem is that the state doesn't take enough: more wealth taxes, more redistribution, more state. France has been running that experiment for fifty years. The result is one of the highest tax burdens in the developed world, record debt, and capital and talent leaving the country every year.
History shows how this movie ends. Debt piles up until it can no longer be repaid. Currencies get debased. Then comes the reset, and it is rarely peaceful. Rome debased its coins for generations before it collapsed. Weimar's hyperinflation came just before the darkest chapter of the 20th century. Empires that can't stop spending don't reform gently. They break.
We are approaching the end of that cycle. America now spends more on interest on its debt than on its military. Read that sentence twice.
The good news is that the ending isn't written yet. You can still choose builders over promisers. You can still demand that the people who make decisions live with their consequences. You can still ask for less state, not more.
Wake up. The people selling you the dream will never be the ones paying for it.
I’m French. I want to talk to Americans who are about to vote Democrat. Not to insult you. To warn you.
I come from your future.
In France we did everything your progressive politicians promise. Free healthcare, free college, generous welfare, strong unions, heavy regulation, high taxes on the rich, a state that takes care of everything. Public spending close to 57% of GDP, one of the highest on the planet. On paper, it’s the dream.
Here’s what it looks like from the inside. France hasn’t passed a balanced budget since 1974. Our debt is above 3,300 billion euros. Interest on that debt is becoming one of the biggest items in the national budget. Our hospitals are collapsing despite record funding. Our schools rank lower every year. Young people with degrees can’t afford an apartment in the city they were born in. Our best engineers leave for London, Zurich and San Francisco. And the rich you wanted to tax? They left too, and took the jobs with them.
The promise was protection. The result is stagnation.
The worst part is that nobody in France voted for decline. Every single step sounded generous, compassionate, reasonable. One more program. One more regulation. One more tax to fund it. Each step alone makes sense. Fifty years of them, and you wake up in a country that can no longer build a nuclear plant on time or keep its streets safe.
I love America because it’s the one place on earth where people still believe they can build something from nothing. I came to Silicon Valley as a self-taught kid and it changed my life. That spirit is the most precious thing your country has.
Before you vote, ask yourself one question: is the program you’re voting for making America more like America, or more like France?
Trust me. You don’t want to be France.