It's time for an AI Solarium Project.
Why? Current "AI safety" debates straw man against just two outcomes:
(i) a ground stop or pause on research/ development (as if stopping will somehow allow us to imagine all possible end-states and engineer to them),
or
(ii) acceleration, because "China"
Reality: It is unmistakably clear that we are climbing the escalation ladder
I am not sure there is a single example of humans understanding that a scientific possibility exists and not working to see if it is possible. From weapons of maximum power to medical breakthroughs to information superhighways and attention algorithms, if you can dream it, someone is working it.
A Solarium Project gives America the best chance at controlling the outcome, leveraging the incentives of the market without sacrificing our future.
What is a Solarium Project: Project Solarium was a top-secret national security exercise convened by President Eisenhower to create America's Cold War strategy against Soviet expansionism. The project used 3 independent task forces to test competing policy options and present their paths to the NSC.
How it Would Work: The CEOs of the three biggest AI labs,
@sama,
@elonmusk and
@DarioAmodei would accept commissions or otherwise be brought in for up to 24 months under Direct Hiring Authority. They would each draft 100 colleagues / teammates to bring with them. Each would be physically separated and forbidden from collaboration... perhaps at the original Manhattan Project sites (perhaps Los Alamos, Oak Ridge, and Hanford as a callback).
Under the umbrella of secrecy, and with a classified (but sufficiently large) budget, they would be encouraged to accelerate to build the most capable AIs imaginable. They would not know the approaches / strategies the others are pursuing. They would have access to data that no one else has. The commercial benefit (to prevent VCs from crying bloody murder) would be their home offices retaining commercial rights to any/ all technologies they develop when declassified.
Opposition:
- "Regulatory Capture." Nope. This is about scientific leadership. Strip away the commercial considerations, which are arguably slowing progress at all 3 major labs.
- Civilian Control of Technical Architecture: in America, civilian control of technical experts is something of a democratic ideal. Civilians control the military. Generalists run great companies. There's a difference between technical experts controlling their development trajectory and their obligation to communicate implications to others.
- Resources: Commercial firms have been able to attract private capital. That could continue under this framework, given the commercial rights.
- Is this nationalizing OpenAI, Anthropic, XAI, or any other commercial entity. No. It's giving the top experts in the world the protection and resourcing they need to go as fast as humanly possible without recklessly endangering our nation - and therefore - humanity.
This is about as far from my free market priors as I'd hope to go, but "societal conversations" simply don't occur on their own, and I'm fairly confident we can pull this off without sacrificing economic progress.