IMHO #GAGOV being a tossup is an indictment on both candidates KLB: sharing a ticket with a strong Dem senate incumbent in the best year imaginable RJ: hasn’t really moved the needle in a historically red state despite spending a gazillion dollars

Sep 25, 2026 · 7:15 PM UTC

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Replying to @NilesGApol
The Gazallion dollars is accounting for a 10 point delta lol.
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Still a MOE race in a red state lol
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Replying to @NilesGApol @ATPMstealsO2
It might be the battle of mid or we’re just an evenly split state.
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Replying to @NilesGApol
Genuinely since his primary I knew he was fried
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Replying to @NilesGApol
Also just feels like where the state is at
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Replying to @NilesGApol
i would have started to believe rick has a chance but i live in one of the areas that is REALLY relying on ppl not voting for KLB to help Jackson and gas just went up another 10 cents so yeah that's not happening
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Replying to @NilesGApol
It's crazy that the Democratic Lt Gov candidate has a better shot than she does
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Replying to @NilesGApol
My very outsider take is KLB wins by 1/2 percent in a mammoth national blue wave. Plus 12-15 dem. Hong would have won Wisconsin by about the same 1/2 but Crowley will win by 5-7.
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Replying to @NilesGApol
Hasn't the polling average shifted slightly to Jackson? I realize it's all MoE movement and easily average. But MAYBE he's created teeny space? I hope not, but am bracing.
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Replying to @NilesGApol
No one is immune to diminishing returns
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