onchain native. RWAs, stablecoins, positive sum games. Founder @estateprotocol | alien of extraordinary ability

New York City
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Great talking to Jackson from @TheStreet Roundtable at Ondo Summit about @EstateProtocol and what we’re doing
📽️ WATCH: Estate Protocol CEO Parv Prabhakar says tokenizing only 10% of the U.S. real estate unlocks $7 trillion in liquidity. Interview by Jackson H. @EstateProtocol
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i live in new york but i’m based everywhere
if i hear one more time “where are you based?”, i might loose it
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what happens to math money when math gets automated?
Today I call upon the blockchain industry to calmly begin planning for "bunker mode". My personal recommendation is to set in motion a controlled mass migration of assets to fresh addresses, i.e. addresses whose pubkeys remain hidden behind a hash. Holders, starting with large and sophisticated ones, should consider moving the bulk of their funds to addresses that have never signed a transaction. And when they do sign one, they should also move remaining funds to a new address (possibly generated from the same seed phrase). Don't rush. While I believe there is cause for action a rushed migration would do more harm than good. Don't panic either. Moving assets to protected addresses is a simple, preventative step which does not require new cryptography or new wallets. IMO it is now reasonable to brace for the possibility that ECDSA breaks before qday, in the worst case in months not years. By "break" I mean fast private key recovery (e.g. in one week) on available hardware (e.g. a large GPU cluster). Recent days have been humbling for human mathematical intuition. Long-held, unquestioned hypotheses have fallen. This includes the n log(n) bound for integer multiplication and the 3SUM conjecture. In hindsight, May's unexpected disproof of the Erdős unit distance conjecture was our warning shot. Yesterday's OpenAI drop made it clear that mathematical superintelligence is upon us. They say there are weeks where decades happen. We are about to live through weeks where centuries of mathematical progress happen. Could our magic 64-byte ECDSA signatures be too good to be true? Was it just security through obscurity all this time? Elliptic curves feel especially vulnerable to superintelligence. Curves carry rich structure, with room for fancy tricks like Schoof, Frobenius, pairings. (By contrast, hashes are designed to minimise algebraic structure.) Separately, as Ewin Tang can attest, an efficient quantum algorithm sometimes foreshadows an efficient classical one. We should be open to the possibility of a classical counterpart to Shor that breaks elliptic curves and RSA at once. Also noteworthy is the striking under-representation of cryptographic breakthroughs among the 722 mathematical results OpenAI published. I've witnessed first-hand the US government censoring academic quantum cryptanalysis results. Backroom interventionism is my base case. I urge large, sophisticated actors to lead by example. Project11's "risq list" (bitcoin-risq-list.projecteleven[.]com) is a great tracker of exposed BTC pubkeys. Binance, Bitbank, Robinhood, Bitfinex, and Tether have an opportunity to harden their cold storage. Next month I'll address institutions in London in a live Q&A (forum.ethereuminstitutional[.]org/london-2026). Again, please do not rush. Wallets holding under 50 BTC enjoy partial cover from "Satoshi's shield", i.e. his 20K exposed addresses that hold 50 BTC each. Load-bearing signers like oracles and L2 security councils should consider rotating ECDSA pubkeys with every signed message and/or multi-signing with a hash-based schemes like SPHINCS. Exiting bunker mode safely will require post-AI cryptography. My inclination is to go all-in on hash-based cryptography and avoid structured mathematical assumptions entirely, whether from curves, lattices, or isogenies. A single battle-tested hash (e.g. from the SHA or BLAKE families) yields plausible post-AI security. The Ethereum roadmap on strawmap[.]org fully embraces hash-based cryptography with end-to-end formal verification as a response to the quantum threat. Those timelines must now be revisited and accelerated in light of mathematical superintelligence. I'll be pushing for maximum defensive acceleration.
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2023 was the best Token2049
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remember when the hottest rivalry in crypto was @Optimism vs @Arbitrum? clear win in design choices and winning (and keeping) the right partners
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starting a monkey brokering business sourcing from the global south and selling to chinese and american labs 50%+ margins, massive TAM who wants in?
In case you missed it, monkeys are now a bottleneck. Large contract research organizations — including WuXi AppTec, Pharmaron Beijing, and Joinn Laboratories — run their own breeding farms specifically to guarantee access for themselves and their clients. Joinn Laboratories issued a profit alert in July, flagging up to 13-fold jump in net profit for the first half of the year — driven largely by the rising market value of "biological assets" - their monkeys.
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bitrepo is one of the coolest new products i’ve seen come out of crypto
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for the average person, this makes life significantly more difficult but you’re not an average person
If you’re younger than 45, this is the first time in your life that you’re experiencing a real rising interest rate environment. The last time this happened was 1960 - 1980. This fundamentally changes the physics of the game in a way many won’t be prepared for.
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Absolute legend
HERO PILOT, Captain Smit Machchar, stabbed mid-flight on flydubai FZ1073, reportedly FOUGHT OFF the co-pilot and helped save 174 people. One year ago he talked about how people often don't treat the cabin crew properly. "When things are going wrong, you need them." WATCH:
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This is the best way forward Govt can create a zk proof issuance portal. Call it zkGOV Connect wallet, submit KYC once, wallet’s now verified Prove to an RWA issuer or trading venue your wallet is registered with the govt, trade permissioned assets freely In case of compliance issues, regulators would reach out to zkGOV directly MUCH lower cost of issuance, lower liability, deeper liquidity pools, and less sanctions evasion Make it happen already!
🚨 LATEST: SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce says zero-knowledge proofs could verify compliance without collecting users’ personal data. She warns current KYC/AML practices create “data haystacks.”
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nyc is crazy cuz you’d randomly come across people posting videos of the building you used to live in because the most powerful people in the world are hanging around right there
狙っていたトランプ大統領の車列(国連ビル入り)を激写できて感無量です。
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So now that we know 1. SEC wants issuer consent and permissioned access 2. Issuers go through the brain damage of tokenization mostly to increase distribution, similar to tbill distribution with stablecoins 3. Distribution gains will mostly come from non-US markets as most US persons already have access. Participants can think of a coherent market structure, probably with regulated onshore access points with offshore distribution, with space in between for bridges. onchain eurodollars are evolving into onchain eurostocks
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if issuers can object, most versions of tokenized equities cannot be traded on TSVs native tokenization is the way
Pending the details, the conditions for how a Tokenized Securities Venue will work are great (below, from Chair Atkins statement, you can read here sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-st…): - Sanctions Compliance: A TSV must be a U.S. person and comply with economic and trade sanctions programs administered and enforced by the Office of Foreign Assets Control. - Permissioned Access: A TSV must set standards of access to allow only certain participants to trade tokenized NMS stock on the TSV. - No Synthetics: TSVs can trade tokenized NMS stocks that are tokenized by, or on behalf of, the issuer of the underlying NMS stock or a security tokenized by a third party that is unaffiliated with the issuer of the underlying NMS stock. Such tokenized NMS stock must provide holders with the same rights and privileges as the traditional securities, including rights to receive dividends and exercise voting rights. - Issuers Can Object: Issuers must have the opportunity to object and prevent their security from trading on a TSV.
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Parv retweeted
The ARC launch proves that companies should hire more crypto/CT natives that understand culture. Many such cases.
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crypto neobanks are an obvious upgrade over the tradfi experience and would thus be adopted widely it’s also the perfect distribution channel for RWAs so they’d end up partnering with issuers the right partnerships there is what would make or break issuers onchain
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like @akshaybd has been saying, the biggest opportunity in tokenized equities is bringing foreign equity access for US capital that’s highly competitive and likely to adapt fast but the lowest lift version of this is US equity access to asian/middle eastern capital, which is what’s being delivered rn issuers know this, but for some reason the vast majority of pairing seems to be with $USDC when crypto eurodollar holdings are dominated by $USDT why are we not lowering friction for the actual buyers of these tokens?
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flows coming into crypto this bull cycle are institution led, which means unlike previous times, it’s also bullish for RWA adoption
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Parv retweeted
Did you guys read Ender's Game? Because this is right out of Ender’s Game, except the kids in Battle School are Chinese state researchers, the “simulations” are real influence ops, and the Formics (aliens) are.... us. In Orson Scott Card’s novel, Ender Wiggin spends years inside elaborate digital simulated arenas, commanding fleets, testing strategies, iterating tactics against an enemy he never truly meets - essentially playing video games and being tested against other players. Every variable is controlled, every response measured, every weakness probed until victory is inevitable. There's a twist at the end which I won't ruin for those who haven't read it. This is what the Chinese are doing now to the West. They scraped 171 million open X posts, inferred age, race, ideology, party, gender resentment, election skepticism - modeling the whole American psyche essentially - and spun up a million-agent digital twin of the US electorate. They can dial up synthetic Pennsylvania voters, feed them a tax-and-redistribution message, watch the reaction in multi-round conversations, refine it, and measure swing-state impact with claimed 47-of-51 accuracy. They model Trump’s “dependable right-wing base.” They map MAGA content and influencer networks. Their own documents call it “cognitive-domain confrontation and guidance.” Parts of the system are already being used by the PLA and intelligence units. Guys, are you paying attention yet? They are playing Sims with the American population!!! LOL WE are the NPCs. This is completely an asymmetrical war as we have no reciprocal capability whatsoever. China is a black box thanks to The Great Firewall and total data sovereignty. We cannot access a corpus of ordinary Chinese citizens for any American lab to scrape. We cannot build a million-agent model of the Chinese public. We cannot test messages on synthetic Shanghainese factory workers or Chengdu nationalists. We cannot A/B test narratives about Taiwan, the economy, or Party legitimacy and watch the simulated reaction in real time. We do not even know what the average Chinese person thinks because they've been cut off from our information platforms. We live in a glass house while they live in a fortress. Every American rant, every demographic signal, every cultural fracture is harvested, modeled, and weaponized. Meanwhile, their population remains opaque, unmodeled, and unreachable. Beijing now possesses a live, continuously updated war-game of the American mind. We possess nothing comparable about theirs. A whole new level of Unrestricted Warfare has been unlocked. We are really not ready for this
EXCLUSIVE: Chinese Institutions Are Building AI Models Of American Voters—And Testing Political Messages On Them. Fudan used 171 MILLION X posts to create a million-account “voter pool.” A government-linked team tested a campaign message on synthetic Pennsylvania voters. 🧵
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As a fourth cycler, a few reminders for everyone this bull market - 1. don’t use (too much) leverage 2. $btc dominance can go way up and wreck alts before the real pump 3. if you have conviction, don’t wait for a red day. things can go up 50% in a day and then do it again the next day and the day after 4. don’t chase high beta narratives unless you’re prepared to lose that money 5. don’t forget to make friends along the way
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boots on the ground at the fed NOW
Reporter on Bond Market: The yields have come back up since then. Have you talked to Bessent about another type of intervention.? Trump: The ultimate intervention is our military. And if we have to use that, we will.
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