ANTHROPIC CO-FOUNDER TELLS THE IMF THE SINGULARITY HAS ALREADY BEGUN
"I believe that this year, we've gained convincing evidence that it has now begun"
"a point where our models must be discarded and a new reality rules"
"the singularity is here"
at least this time Clark shares his definition of what "singularity" means, and even by this definition I'm not sure we are there yet. AI is clearly speeding up progress dramatically in some areas, but it is still uneven, with plenty of bottlenecks preventing broad, self-sustaining acceleration
even the recent math progress still looks more like a massive speed-up of technical work than completely new theories or brilliant conceptual breakthroughs. so if you ask me, the singularity is not here yet, but the current pace may already be enough to create massive social and technological turbulence