Thinking of switching my AI coding subscription, I need some real advice -Codex Plus ($20) -Claude Pro ($20) -Cursor Premium ($30) -Gemini AI Pro ($20) Which gives you the best value for money?

what's your early feedback on Gemini 4 Argon? where should we improve? we take your input seriously.

You’ve put 20% of your equity in an LLC. Whether it serves the public good remains to be seen.

Incredible Elon! This will be the largest philanthropic gift in history! 70 M accounts - every citizen under 18 & every child born forevermore now has a free, lifetime investment acct making them an owner in the upside of America & our greatest companies! 🇺🇸🚀🤍@TrumpAccounts @InvestAmerica24

Stocks I own that i believe are undervalued or at generational bottoms: $TSLA $uber $NU $hood $dash $AMZN $PONY $WRD $FIG $BIDU $AMZN $lcid $xyz $hhh Privates: @zipline @micro1 @Hello_GoAI @AskTaxGPT @goautolane @Superhuman @calm

Car people, I need your help. I’m buying a new car. Budget around $60K, willing to stretch to $80K for something I really love. I prefer a fully loaded good car over an entry-level luxury car. Current garage: 2010 BMW M3 (never selling it) and my third Subaru Outback (son is inheriting it). So no trade-in. Leaning electric, possibly Tesla. I want power, safety, comfort, great range, and never having to stop for gas again. I’ll be driving SF to Santa Barbara regularly when my son starts college next year. What should I be looking at?

We don’t have months anymore. We have days. If we lose Texas, we lose America. Join us in the fight today, and vote tomorrow.

Not even the Bush family supports you, why should we?

My heart goes out to everyone affected by the protests. I’d love nothing more than to see better living conditions, more opportunity, and, plainly, more peace and harmony. I don’t endorse violence or destruction. But while those acts dominate the headlines, perhaps there’s something else worth considering: What are the majority of peaceful protesters so upset about? My heart goes out to them as well, most of whom are peaceful and genuinely want a better life, like we all do. We can disagree about how to get there, but one of the things traveling and living abroad has taught me is, we’re mostly all the same and want the same things in life. So, is it really fair to say this is all just “a bunch of angry, lazy socialists who don’t want to work”? Perhaps there’s something more. If you talk to the locals, as I have in France earlier this month, and now Italy where I am today, most share the same concerns: deteriorating education, high rents, high fuel/gas prices, and overall cost cost of living due to inflation. One girl in France put it particularly well to me: “Our education is deteriorating while the government is busy funding wars.” It’s sad to see people feel that the system no longer works for them. And this isn’t unique to Europe. You can feel it, hear it, and see it in the United States, too. What if many of these problems are connected by a common thread: money? Our monetary system has profound consequences for how wealth is distributed and long term, how people behave. Expanding the money supply increases the cost of living. Those who hold cash and depend on wages struggle to keep up, while people who own scarce assets may benefit from rising prices. Americans love to dunk on Europeans for being “socialist” but perhaps there’s nothing more socialist about a society than having the money by centrally controlled and influenced by government. That happens around the world, as every major country is on a “fiat” standard, which means, money issued by the government that has no intrinsic value. Over time, the structure of the monetary system influences who gets ahead, who falls behind, and how much economic pressure ordinary people experience. These pressures can feed social unrest, particularly when people lose faith that hard work will lead to a better life. We’ve seen versions of this throughout history and we’re seeing it now. Ray Dalio has studied the rise and decline of empires and monetary systems. Neil Howe’s The Fourth Turning explores recurring generational patterns. The concept of “elite overproduction” from Peter Turchin (popularized by Prof Jiang) examines what happens when competition for status and opportunity intensifies. These cycles happen predictability, like clockwork and have been for centuries. The issue is they are the long arch of history. Although predictable, they happen but once in a lifetime. The older generation passes away and the new one inherits a broken system while never experiencing the lessons from the past. By then, the reset happened so long ago that the system doesn't work anymore. Here’s what I think about daily and have been pondering since I began studying monetary history. History suggests that major systems often don’t change until the pressure becomes impossible to ignore. Sometimes that change is peaceful. Studying the work of Dalio taught me most of the time it isn’t. People say I’m cavalier about this; it’s the opposite. I’m extremely worried that it gets worse, far worse, before it gets better. Economic crises, political upheaval, and social conflict can reinforce one another before a new order emerges. The unsettling thing is how slowly these patterns develop, and how quickly they can accelerate once they reach a breaking point. As they say, Gradually, then Suddenly. I hope we can learn from history before things get worse. But it seems we shouldn’t rely on mere hope alone as a strategy. The question is whether we can change the incentives that produce these outcomes. I’ve explored this in my series The Future of Money, particularly A Brief History of Money and The World on a Bitcoin Standard, both of which are on my site, for free. I believe Bitcoin offers an interesting potential part of the solution. Why? Because money shapes incentives. As Munger reflects, “show me the incentives and I’ll show you the outcome.” A monetary system that allows governments to expand the money supply can use it to fund wars, genocide, or anything they want really. The government spends with relatively no consequence and ordinary people pay the price. It’s tragic. Worse, those costs can be difficult for ordinary people to see or challenge directly. Bitcoin introduces a different model: a monetary asset with a predetermined and fixed supply that no government can manipulate. So instead of using voting for politicians who promise peace and deliver war, we'd have to fund the war directly. That could only happen if war was truly valued by the people, which most of the time it isn’t. This is why 2,000,000 people protested in Italy and across Europe a year ago, which of course got no media attention, but was far greater in magnitude than the protests happening now. War and the aftermath is so unpopular that the right in the U.S. won in part on promising to avoid it, and will lose the mid terms in part because they didn’t. So the question becomes: What if financing war became harder to conceal, harder to sustain, and more costly to future generations? What if governments had fewer ways to shift the costs of today’s decisions onto tomorrow’s citizens? Perhaps one way to encourage peace is to change the incentives around war itself. We can’t eliminate all human conflict. But we can make the worst of it much more expensive, so much so that perhaps there’s very little will for it and certainly none to sustain it. (Wars are often popular in the very beginning, but quickly fall out of favor, yet they last for decades. US/Iraq being a clear example). After all, if we want different outcomes, shouldn’t we examine the incentives producing the current ones? The fourth turning postulates we’re heading into Winter, the most challenging season. But Winter never lasts forever and is always followed by Spring. The sooner we understand why it came, the better our chances of building something stronger when the flowers arrive. Love you all. 🙌🙏

Depends who you assume is designing I guess.

Just like Gemini 😭❤️

have you tried Gemini 4 Argon ?

just got the weekly status report from the team

Bravo

Premise: Incentives drive all human behavior. The corollary: How to destroy a country: A vast social security and support system that serves as a magnet for those who would rather not work. An open immigration policy that does not screen immigrants to determine their ability and willingness to provide for themselves and their families. An open immigration policy that does not screen for political and/or religious ideologies that are a threat to the country. Economic incentives large enough to incentivize immigrants on the state dole to have large numbers of children, but insufficient for educated and economically productive mothers to be able to quit to raise a family. The declining fertility of the most educated and productive women due to their delay to begin a family as a result of their desire and/or need to advance their careers, among other reasons, to live a life they deem consistent with their educational achievements and/or to repay their student debts. Amnesty programs that give citizenship and voting power to illegal immigrants without consideration of their economic productivity or their threat to the country due to their religious or political ideologies. The changing demographics and increased population due to the above factors. The state responding to protests by increasing social support. The continued failure to punish and hold accountable violent and looting rioters. Government managed by a massive and growing unelected bureaucracy. Government fraud, waste, and abuse contributed to ballooning budgets. Anti-business legislation that makes it difficult for businesses to compete in a global marketplace being disrupted by AI, including restrictions on firing even poorly performing employees. Overly burdensome, globally uncompetitive, corporate taxation. Continuous increases in personal taxes to raise funds to provide for the rapidly growing welfare state. The substantial majority of the tax burden levied on a small percentage of the population. A growing percentage of the electorate paying no taxes and receiving welfare. The introduction or threat of a wealth tax including the taxation of unrealized gains, i.e., taxes on paper wealth. The flight of the most productive business builders and highest taxpayers to lower tax countries with lesser security concerns. A growing percentage of the electorate voting for candidates that support increased welfare and laws favorable to, and/or that match the cultural and ideological needs and desires of a growing unproductive immigrant population. The rapid rise in anti-semitism and inadequate efforts to address this hatred. Increased borrowing by the state to fund the growing social burden. Higher sovereign interest rates due to all of the above. The resulting need to reduce expenditures to make the math work. Increasingly violent protests that make life less livable for the productive and law abiding citizens leading to their accelerated departure. And so on…

There are certain decisions that will go down as history-defining moments. This is one of them. It's a terrible misjudgment of Putin, who has made it clear he wants to destroy the West. We shouldn't help him do it.

Helping Putin in Ukraine is reckless. He would not stop with Ukraine and our NATO allies would be next. Putin is fanatically committed to restoring Russia’s glory days, calling the collapse of the Soviet Union “the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century” and claiming Russia was "robbed" in the breakup.

Arm the Iranian people!  ASAP!

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