Half bar owner, half bitcoiner, half mathematician. I’m very good at one of these

Raleigh, NC
Take a moment and reconnect to the soul of Bitcoin 🎵 When the Cypriots were losing faith That’s when I learned about the blockchain I still remember how it all changed When Satoshi said… Don’t you worry Don’t you worry, child Bitcoin has got a plan for you 🎵
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Hot take - We’ve seen peak SHA-256 Bitcoin mining Maybe not. But have you ever looked at hash rate in log scale
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"Esa es ciertamente una visión del mundo, pero está completamente en desacuerdo con la visión del mundo subyacente de Bitcoin, que es que los usuarios del dinero deberían tener la capacidad de asegurar los medios de su propia red monetaria como ellos vean conveniente. Y desde esta visión del mundo, los mineros entonces no son una cuestión amoral de presupuesto de seguridad, sino en cambio una cuestión de seguridad impulsada por los usuarios, donde los “flujos de caja” de las operaciones no se derivan de las recompensas de bloque, sino más bien de la solidez monetaria del protocolo que ellos hacen cumplir. Las recompensas de bloque son simplemente una pequeña solución técnica de señoreaje para el arranque de la red. Y es a esta luz que Andreas Antonopoulos explicó tan poética y famosamente la necesidad y, igualmente importante, la capacidad de la red para hacer un hard fork a un nuevo proof of work si tal circunstancia surge requiriendo que se ejecute tal opción nuclear."
The “security budget” idea suggests that miners need a cash flow incentive to support their role as a double spend protector. The logic here assumes miners are not also the users of Bitcoin as money, and instead are simply using their skill to acquire microchip and electricity contracts at size, as the highest bidder, regardless of the users purpose for the silicon and electrons. This worldview can be seen in all aspects of the fiat world, for example where children are treated as wards of the state and should learn the ways of the world not by their mother and father but instead by state sanctioned strangers of a public school system that assume people can just be programmed to do whatever the state thinks is best for them rather than what would actually be best for the children. And what is best is obviously teaching them (1) securing the means of production of the necessities of life for themselves and their community (ie food water shelter energy and fixed supply money) and (2) securing the means to fulfill their biological necessities (procreation). Instead these things are after thoughts because the state and its corporate interests need instead obedient tax cattle and mindless wage slaves, respectively. That is certainly one world view, but it is entirely at odds with the underlying world view of Bitcoin, which is that the users of money aught to have the ability to secure the means of their own monetary network as they see fit. And from this world view miners then are not an amoral security budget question but instead are a user driven security question, where the “cash flows” of operations is not derived from block rewards but rather from the monetary soundness of the protocol they enforce. The block rewards are simply a small technical seigniorage solution for the networks bootstrapping. And it is in this light that Andreas Antonopoulos so poetically and famously explained the necessity and equally important the capability of the network to hard fork into a new proof of work should such a circumstance arise requiring such a nuclear option to be executed. Hard fork Creasy explains the current mental state of the sha256’ers perfectly: “The emotional and physical investment in btc for years on end will not allow most to see the truth of how bitcoin just defended itself against centralization and executed its only path out of it via monetary maxis.” And in a recent video post you, JD, illuminated the community sentiment that supports this pow fork, and I’m paraphrasing, your video was fantastic, but if I could distill it down to three primary themes: (1) we are not here to negotiate, we are here to complete the task of building Bitcoin, a user based monetary network, regardless of the personal sacrifice required because (2) our eyes are wide open, we fully understand the job which we have taken upon which is the up ending of the fiat worldview, to supplant it with a righteous and just new means of cultural order, thus, obviously, we are going to therefore piss off the most powerful people in the most privileged positions of power as we completely undermine their way of business, namely the disjointed amoral business of treating people as objects for the purpose of generating cash flows for themselves through rent seeking via idea monopolization by the brutal and immoral means of violent coercion, and misguided high time preferenced stupidity. And finally because (3) the cost of building good things requires self sacrifice, that the quality of the goodness built is equal to the courageousness applied. And let me tell you something, my brothers, we’ve got a global legion of the most courageous and morally based people on the planet at our sides in this fight, and we won’t quit until the job is done. Strength and Honor. 🧡🫡
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BITO, the first bitcoin futures ETF, started trading on the NYSE in October 2021. Since then we’ve seen the worst 5-year performance in history. There are not enough cows on earth to produce the amount of bullshit required to say “Wall Street is good for bitcoin”
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The BlackRock-Strategy Security Consortium in two years… “We’ve identified the 21M cap as a threat to Bitcoin security”
BlackRock flagged Bitcoin miners as a risk factor in IBIT's 10-K. The filing says lower block rewards "could result in less of an incentive for miners," which puts network security in question. Every halving cuts the subsidy that pays for Bitcoin's security. The operators still running afterward are the ones whose power costs work at the smaller reward, so hashrate ends up wherever energy is cheap and reliable. An IBIT share tracks the price of Bitcoin and adds nothing to the hashrate protecting it. A hosted miner adds hashrate and sends the Bitcoin it produces to a wallet its owner controls. We run 4+ EH/s across 9 owned Iowa sites at 95%+ uptime, on power rates we locked in before the last halving. BlackRock's lawyers are asking who keeps hashing when the reward shrinks again. We've planned the business around that question since 2021.
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Simple Steve 🌌 retweeted
Absolutely beyond parody. Dartmouth’s provost has been turning in 70-100-percent AI-written work (in academic journals, newspapers, and even in email correspondence!) since LLMs came out, the student paper reports. He even used AI to write an op-ed about how universities are dealing with AI cheating.
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Simple Steve 🌌 retweeted
modern mathematical writing is a lot like HTML or javascript. it's not particularly hard, it's just a new and rather annoying language in which to say obvious things. Luckily, LLMs can oneshot mathspeak as easily as they can oneshot building pretty websites
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Simple Steve 🌌 retweeted
This is verifiably false, but even if it were true you are overlooking the fact that because everything is open source the community can fix it.. unlike the proprietary gear you sell where users have to just hope the centralized Chinese developers will do something.
The Bitaxe Naja Duo & @hammerminer Thor P2 both run the same chips, but Naja Duo draws 43% more power at the wall than advertised, landing its real efficiency right where the Thor P2 already was. Measured fairly, the Thor P2 wins where it counts 🏆 🔌240W PSU ❄️~2x the cooling 📡WiFi + Ethernet 💡ARGB fan 🛡️2x the warranty Full breakdown 🔗 altairtech.io/bitaxe-naja-du…
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Pick your clown world 2.90M BTC 👉 Coinbase SEC filing 0.94M BTC 👉 Coinbase on Glassnode Or maybe it's both of them
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Glassnode regularly says its “Coinbase entity” exchange-balance label includes Coinbase Custody, including BTC held there for spot ETFs. For example here research.glassnode.com/the-w…
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But even if we grant that Glassnode's estimates are known to be way off (like double or half), why then do we take seriously their reporting of exchange inflow and outflows. It's a clown show one way or the other.
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Simple Steve 🌌 retweeted
Neoxa Exchange will support the upcoming soft fork for $XBT! Please keep that in mind when mining to Neoxa Exchange. Coinbase maturity will increase when the soft fork goes live.
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Simple Steve 🌌 retweeted
No one cried for the chess players or Go players or Poker players. But dear god the mathematical gods should not be messed with.
Mathematician Terence Tao: "we have to slow down AI. the pace is insane, and there's no reason to be this fast — no reason at all" It's amazing how willing we are to change everything without any idea what happens afterward These are extremely nonlinear dynamics
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Simple Steve 🌌 retweeted
Dear users, We got this wrong, and you were right to call it out. The intent was to protect traders from ending up stuck with tainted coins - but we shipped it without warning and explained it poorly after the fact. That's on us. It's disabled now. If it comes back in any form, it'll be clearly disclosed beforehand, and it won't cost you the flexibility you came to Hodl Hodl for. More soon.
A quick update on platform security 🛡️ We've rolled out enhanced bitcoin security scoring across the platform. This is NOT a KYC/AML process. What changed is technical: Incoming bitcoin is now checked for serious red flags before a contract settles. If a bitcoin comes back with a genuinely bad score, we won't let that contract go through. No one wants to end up holding coins they can't move or cash out later - that's the scenario we're closing off. Most trades are unaffected. This only stops the rare, clearly problematic cases - and it protects both sides of every trade. We'll keep refining this to keep the platform safe without changing what makes it work.
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Bitcoin is a savings technology. There’s speculation that this technology will grow in adoption. That’s why its value increases more than simply keeping up with inflation. But it’s still ultimately a savings technology
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Simple Steve 🌌 retweeted
Replying to @kinetic_finance
Bitcoin is on a need to know basis.
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Simple Steve 🌌 retweeted
@SteveSimple @cguida6 @LukeDashjr @GrassFedBitcoin @oomahq @mattkratter *** The 2010 getwork / 2012 Stratum split allowed hardware mining work without a local transaction list. This PR draft specifies a flag-day on the Blake chain so that type of work is no longer valid (e.g. kills compact SV1). Remote hashing without transaction list is no longer valid work. Remote hashing with transaction list is now valid and expensive in proportion to distance. Spec only, no consensus code yet. github.com/bitcoinknots/bitc…
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American male liberation movement: Our Halloween costume ideas are superior. The lame couples-costume ideas came from the enemy. We avoided fights saying, “I’m not dressing up this year. Halloween is a kids thing.” Stop this. Order the 14th-century plague doctor costume now.
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Full reversal of institutional ergonomics here Institutions - desk is fixed, chair rolls to desk Me - I sit perfectly relaxed, desk rolls to me
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The reason XBT should lengthen the coinbase maturity is not because of a reaction to Alpha Pool. It’s to better align the time preferences of those making decisions on consensus rule changes. This requires some background. For five years now we’ve wondered if mining is even profitable - Fees have disappeared - Anyone who’s bought mining equipment wishes they bought coins instead - 99% of coins have been mined - The bitaxe community sees profit as missing the point - We wonder if the only “profitable” corporate miners are those propped up by fiat funding - MARA bailed even with fiat funding. Things were different a decade ago. Clearly mining profitably part of Satoshi’s incentive model. What’s changed? Fees have disappeared due to a growth of trust in second layers and institutional paper. Sure Liquid failed but that’s small in comparison to the trend. Demand for on-chain monetary txs has dropped which has incentives arbitrary data storage. All this on top of the fact that the mining reward is a small fraction of what it used to be. Did speculation build up mining infrastructure far larger than it reasonably should have? Yes it probably overshot, but that doesn’t affect the underlying dynamic. The main issue is that miners (in aggregate) now have a shorter timescale view of what success means, compared to the hodler-node runner community (in aggregate) Sure industrial miners have large up front costs they don’t want to waste. But the monthly cash flow compared to electricity costs is their main game. Also mining hardware is dead after 5 years. The hodler/node runners are in this for life. This is world changing, forever money to them. It’s personal. It’s the only thing they trust for their retirement. These two communities are strange bed fellows to come together consensus rule changes. The reason XBT should lengthen the coinbase maturity is not because of a reaction to Alpha Pool. It’s something much deeper. Requiring a longer time before a coinbase reward becomes spendable explicitly makes the miner or pool operator think about a time in the future. Imagine coinbase maturity is lengthened to one year. The miner or pool operator is at least incentivized to care if the coin is operational a year from now. Sure that might make them struggle to meet monthly electricity bills. But only if they aren’t playing the reserve game. Feature not a bug. Perhaps that will decrease demand for mining, but I don’t think that is as important as aligning the time preferences of those trying to agree on consensus rules. TLDR - Increasing the coinbase maturity is software change that attempts to more align the time preference of miners (in aggregate) with the time preference of node-running holders (in aggregate) so that when it comes to consensus rule changes, the community is comparatively more on the same page.
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