For my degen #packers fans out there 🎰 Love the 3:1 risk to reward set up in gambling/trading any time I can get the odds in my favor 👇 This solid idea by @guyincornfields below offers the same currently on @RobinhoodApp -> if Jonnu Smith can get over a measly 15 yards:

Other #algo pick let’s see if we can cash at least one of two degen picks tonight since we got some fun money to play with. 🎰🎲 Never good to put all your eggs in one basket I have learned or it can go rotten… Watson anytime TD tonight pays .62 on the dollar ($1) if it hits

Tucker Kraft and Christan Watson have been Green Bays go to guys the last couple years, but vs Cover 3 and 4 which Atlanta plays consistently at a top 7 rate last year, and so far this year, around 63%, Watson is the clear go to guy, Per @FantasyPtsData Watson vs all Coverages 25/26 In 13 Games 19.1% TGT Share 2.55 YPRR 0.24 TPRR 34.1% Air Yards 10TDs Watson vs Cover 3/4 22.3% TGT Share 3.78 YPRR 0.28 TPRR 39.2% Air Yards 3TDs Kraft vs all coverages 25/26 In 10 Games 15.6% TGT Share 2.41 YPRR 0.21 TPRR 11.0 AY Share 6TDs Kraft vs Cover 3/4 12.5% TGT Share 2.16 YPRR 0.18 TPRR 9.3% AY Share 1TD Important to point out that while it's very early in the season through 2 games Watson also crushes Golden in production vs Cover 3/4 Watson 34% TGT, 7.11 YPRR👀 Golden 17.4% TGT, 1.58 YPRR Could be the Christian Watson show on TNF

Jonnu Smith is my play for TNF. Last week, he was shut out against a solid Jets defense that has been good against tight ends this year. The week before, though, against Minnesota, Jonnu had 2 catches for 50 yards. I’m looking for the bounce back Thursday night. The Packers’ OL is extremely banged up coming into this game, which could mean their tight ends need to help more in protection. Jonnu is by far the worst blocker of the Packers’ TE group, so on passing downs, he should be the one most likely to run routes. Through two weeks, Green Bay ranks 7th in 12-personnel usage (2 TE, 1 RB) and 7th in 13-personnel usage (3 TE, 1 RB). On top of that, WR3 Jayden Reed has been ruled out, which should create additional opportunities in the passing game. Receiving Yards Ladder Over 7.5: -110 DK 20+: +360 FD 30+: +950 CZR 40+: 13/1 DK 50+: 21/1 DK 60+: 31/1 DK If you want to get crazy, ATD is 7/1, and 2 TDs is as high as 100/1. *** Unit Sizing Some of you have asked about unit sizes. Generally, when laddering a play, you want to reduce your unit size as you move up the ladder because the probability decreases as the yardage threshold increases. For example, on a 5 step ladder, you might do: 1.00U 0.50U 0.25U 0.15U 0.10U