My personal trading journey & insights │ Not Financial Advice │ Using The AI Terminal to catch big regime shifts 👉 @AionAnalytics
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Here are some of our testimonials
Along with the most up to date video of Aion: nitter.net/tradableastro/status/2…
And a walkthrough of the platform:
nitter.net/deepinference/status/2…
For more testimonials 🧵
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Tradable Astronaut retweeted
Everyone near the highs is pointing at breadth this weekend. Breadth will improve, the rest of the market will catch up, the highs will hold.
Here's a quote worth remembering before the week begins.
"If everyone is thinking alike, somebody isn't thinking."
You're all breadth experts now. Fine. Try this one on.
What if the handful of names holding this index up are the next thing to bleed out?
Indices a rounding error from the highs, average stock still in drawdown, crash probability elevated and climbing, quarter-end liquidity doing a lot of the lifting, yields at levels the tape hasn't had to digest in years, and oil moving everything on a headline.
Take the leaders out of the picture and there is very little underneath.
September has three sessions left. October starts Thursday.
I'm not going to dance around the data.
Let's get into it. 🧵
Our internal Crash Probability model on the S&P went from 4% to 15% in three weeks. Half the index is in a bear market from its highs. Eight models, zero bullish. Timestamped so we can grade it together over the next 20 trading days.
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“if you're early it is useless”
Getting close to October
just some clarity post here for everyone
October expectation from my opinions & research is $SPY 5%ish drawdown and $QQQ 7-10% by end of oct around 18-22nd and put in the floor there for a choppy uptrend into eoy
Buying that dip with both hands
$SPY $730-$735 if it gets there
$QQQ $680-$690 (more volatile ik, maybe even $700)
These are my own rough estimates from what i am seeing so please take it with a grain of salt and DYOR.
Things can change and moves can extend due to panic and things unravel / accelerate.
Indices can visit near ATHs/make new AThs but i will be more risk off as i stated earlier this week, near interim tops high beta names can be explosive so i may play some things with small size. Weird market we have been in for a while.
I will take advantage of oct to sell puts on names i want along with taking some put debits when the time is right, if you're early it is useless.
Markets tend to extend both ways so if we get there, things accelerate the models wont flinch until it starts to see a flip, it is better to be patient than to be early
Looking for model consensus flips, extreme measures hitting, heatmaps starting to flip and macro regime to shift
These are some of the things i look for along with analogues/quant tab that has the built in indicators as well
Can eat my alive in the comments, but that is my thesis and i believe big in "avoid ruin at all costs", so when these bigger windows for pain open up i take them seriously.
Hope this helps and if you want to eat me alive in the comments that also works
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Tradable Astronaut retweeted
Our internal Crash Probability model on the S&P went from 4% to 15% in three weeks. Half the index is in a bear market from its highs. Eight models, zero bullish. Timestamped so we can grade it together over the next 20 trading days.
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Tradable Astronaut retweeted
On March 4 I ran $NVDA through the Monte Carlo in the Aion Terminal. It was trading at 180. The median path said 213 in three months.
I just went back and checked. June 4, three months to the day, it traded at 213.
Not close to it. At it.
That same terminal is pointed at the S&P right now, and it does not like what it sees. My second article is out, and pinned to my profile.
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Tradable Astronaut retweeted
For the people that get mouthy because my market views don’t agree with yours:
Deep Inference isn’t looking for your approval.
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$GLND found at $1.35 now at $4.69 in a few days
Great work by @DeepInference
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just some clarity post here for everyone
October expectation from my opinions & research is $SPY 5%ish drawdown and $QQQ 7-10% by end of oct around 18-22nd and put in the floor there for a choppy uptrend into eoy
Buying that dip with both hands
$SPY $730-$735 if it gets there
$QQQ $680-$690 (more volatile ik, maybe even $700)
These are my own rough estimates from what i am seeing so please take it with a grain of salt and DYOR.
Things can change and moves can extend due to panic and things unravel / accelerate.
Indices can visit near ATHs/make new AThs but i will be more risk off as i stated earlier this week, near interim tops high beta names can be explosive so i may play some things with small size. Weird market we have been in for a while.
I will take advantage of oct to sell puts on names i want along with taking some put debits when the time is right, if you're early it is useless.
Markets tend to extend both ways so if we get there, things accelerate the models wont flinch until it starts to see a flip, it is better to be patient than to be early
Looking for model consensus flips, extreme measures hitting, heatmaps starting to flip and macro regime to shift
These are some of the things i look for along with analogues/quant tab that has the built in indicators as well
Can eat my alive in the comments, but that is my thesis and i believe big in "avoid ruin at all costs", so when these bigger windows for pain open up i take them seriously.
Hope this helps and if you want to eat me alive in the comments that also works
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Tradable Astronaut retweeted
Y'all should have some PTSD from the last time he posted this.
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January is more fucked than anything we’ve seen in 2026
What a wild year it’s been and will continue to be
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Tradable Astronaut retweeted
The market has a window for one more move higher into the end of this week.
After that I am not carrying real size on the risk on side anymore. October is coming, and the same machine that dated the September pocket to the day has already dated the next one.
Here is the window and here is the deadline 🧵
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Tradable Astronaut retweeted
Let’s make this simple in terms of bigger picture for everyone
Ugly October into mid-late month, then generational bull run into year end
$SPY $QQQ
My favorite traders are split right now headed into october
Bullish
@NickSchmidt
@1ChartMaster
@TheProfInvestor
Bearish
@DeepInference
@TradableAstro
@BeardoTrader
@daggercapital
What side is everyone else leaning towards headed into Q4?
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