Read it and weep. Westpac's own economist admits rates and electricity prices don't respond to the OCR, then recommends hiking the OCR anyway. That's not a plan, it's a ritual.
Here's what actually happens. Mortgage holders get squeezed. Renters get squeezed as landlords pass on higher costs. Construction and retail workers lose shifts and jobs. Meanwhile bondholders collect fatter interest payments, funded in large part by the government itself. You've just built a machine that transfers income from people with debt to people with assets, and called it fighting inflation.
Ranchhod even admits the real driver is council infrastructure spend and cost-plus pricing in uncompetitive sectors. None of that gets fixed by making a first home buyer's mortgage more expensive. It just adds insult to injury.
Call it what it is. An uncomfortable but necessary trade-off, where the discomfort is yours and the necessity is the bondholders'.
The Reserve Bank will need to raise OCR by more than it assumed, Westpac senior economist Satish Ranchhod says, due to 'ongoing sizable increases' in administered prices
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