Judgment into capital & content | Bitcoin, AI, and the digital civilization

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True wealth: 1.Mission that motivates you 2.Good quality of sleep 3.Unlimited time spent at the gym 4.Good relationships with family & friends In general, follow good energy.
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I can’t belive they’ve acquired 175,166 more BTC this year. Alone. Where are those MSTR bears who said Saylor is going down after selling ~6,000 BTC. MSTR is an easy investment of this upcoming decade when it comes to equity. Of course, just hold BTC if you want.
New ATH: 847,666 BTC YTD Acquired: 175,166 BTC
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If you want to make money, go to USA 🇺🇸
The world’s 10 richest people are all American.
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앞으로 일하는 주체는 점점 사람이 아니라 로봇과 AI가 된다. 그들이 서로 돈을 주고받을 때 필요한 건 신원 확인 없이, 누구의 허락도 없이, 멈추지 않고 흐르는 돈이다. 지금 그 조건을 채우는 건 비트코인뿐이다. 그래서 비트코인을 갖는다는 건 기계가 일하는 경제에서 쓰일 연료를 미리 들고 있는 것이다.
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인간의 몫은 기계가 못 하는 창의적인 판단, 그리고 로봇과 함께하는 물리적인 일에 남는다.
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Bitcoin is hard to understand because many people don’t have desire to understand the essence of what money is. Real estate is easy to understand because many people have desire to own a house so they can raise a family and “feel safe.”
Ask your parents what a house cost in 1985. Now imagine your grandchildren asking what a Bitcoin cost in 2026. That conversation is coming. Make sure you have a good answer. bitcoin:native
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Metaplanet looks cheap. It will come back strong.
The best trade I did in 2022 was start buying the Grayscale Bitcoin ETC at a 50% discount to NAV, equivalence of buying bitcoin at $8,000 - 8,500. It was becoming highly probable that there would be a moment where either the SEC approved ETFs or a redemption at par could happen. A similar situation is starting to present in Metaplanet: 0.87x EV mNAV (or buying bitcoin for $73,080) just when they are about to launch prefs in the US which has helped Strive achieve a 1.5x EV mNAV in the same environment. I think both companies can viably see a 3x mNAV (even higher) with continuing strong execution in a more violent bull run. NFA. Obviously, Strive have the ball right now, and Metaplanet playing catch up, Strive can keep accreting more value while Metaplanet are stuck here, so I am not suggesting a l/s trade. Just highlighting Metaplanet looking cheap.
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This is why I invest in Bitcoin treasury companies over Bitcoin ETFs.
A Bitcoin treasury company is not an ETF with a CEO. It's for Bitcoiners and allocators who want a company that measures success in one number: Bitcoin per share. It has tools an ETF doesn't: – sell shares at a premium – buy back at a discount – access unique liability structures But what most people underestimate is the cash flow and equity value these companies can build on top of their balance sheet. That's the real edge in the next phase. Grow Bitcoin per share faster than holding can, or don't exist.
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Billy Jo retweeted
30 years ago folks told me the internet was dumb because it was just a faster way to send mail. 15 years ago folks told me bitcoin was dumb because it was just for buying drugs on the darknet. Today folks tell me agentic AI is dumb because it's just for vibe coding apps.
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Billy Jo retweeted
We are still early.
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Starting your own business while working a full-time job is the safest path to wealth. And learning about prudent investing & tax-saving accounts is another one that few pay attention to.
People will congratulate you for getting a: - $500K mortgage to buy a house - $50K loan to get married - $70K loan to buy a car - $200K student loan But the moment you tell them that you're buying investments or starting your own business, they start asking you: - "What if it doesn't work out?" - "Are you sure?" - "Isn't that too risky?" - "Will you lose your money?" Think about that
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Don’t bet against Metaplanet. You need 3 lenses at once: how business gets done in Asia (especially Japan), Bitcoin, and Western capital markets. Miss one and the stock looks dumb. One tell: Japan wants STRC-like high-yield preferreds more than the West does. Metaplanet is built for that demand
Overseas investors dumping Metaplanet on recent management comp issues made the classic mistake of viewing a Tokyo-listed asset through a standard Western lens. To foreign investors, it might not look like good corporate governance. To domestic Japanese capital, Metaplanet stock is an economic life raft. Japan’s debt-to-GDP is above 260%. The BoJ is boxed in, real yields are deeply negative, and holding cash in yen guarantees steady purchasing power destruction. Here is Metaplanet's structural moat: - Regulatory Monopoly: Zero spot ETFs approved (earliest in 2028), no liquid domestic alternatives. Even MSTR cannot crack this market due to regulatory hurdles, language barriers, and domestic brokerage integration etc. - Execution Moat: An insurmountable 43,000 BTC head start backed by an 8-quarter track record of income generation with imminent US & Japan prefs. The ONLY multi-jurisdiction treasury company in the world. The ONLY treasury company owns a Type I securities subsidiary. - The Capital Arbitrage: Japan is the world's second-largest developed capital market, sitting on trillions of yen in 0% bank deposits starving for yield. While US peers have to offer punitive 12%+ coupons to compete for Wall Street credit, Metaplanet can tap domestic Japanese liquidity at an ultra-low 5%–6% cost of capital. - The Tax Shield: Spot Bitcoin in Japan is taxed as miscellaneous income up to 55%. Holding Metaplanet stocks is taxed at 20% (and 0% inside a tax-free NISA account). There is literally no real competitor in sight that can replicate this setup in Japan. There is no "Japanese SATA vs STRC" scenario. Western capital traded the governance noise and panic-sold at 0.8x mNAV. Domestic capital is buying the only regulated escape hatch from sovereign debasement. Do you really believe a quasi-monopoly in Japan can stay at sub 1x mNAV for long? Thinking about a few generational companies selling at screaming price in 2022 - $APP, $PLTR, $RKLB, you have another one here. #Metaplanet $3350 $MPJPY $DN3
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Billy Jo retweeted
$STRC is a passenger jet. $BTC is a fighter jet. $MSTR is a rocket ship. Buckle up.
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This is why I am a big supporter of Bitcoin. Many people can’t have access to S&P500 index funds. Imagine how much wealth will pour into Bitcoin from both the developing and developed world. The kids around the world are digital natives and never saw the world without Bitcoin.
Anyone in the world can buy Bitcoin as long as they have a phone and internet 70%+ of the world doesnt have access to the S&P 500 This is one of the biggest reasons why Bitcoin will outperform over the next few decades
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I'd like to think of a bitcoin treasury company as a vehicle. Since we are in a bitcoin accumulation phase, investors are valuing the rate at which bitcoin is accumulated for shareholders. The reason I think of them as vehicles is because depending on the state of the vehicle and whether it is moving or parked, the value will change. Parked Vehicle = mNAV 1 and below. Moving Vehicle = mNAV above 1 The parked vehicle is a stalled car while paying for parking until it gets moving again. There are corporate costs, interest payments, dividends etc. The moving vehicle is moving at a speed which I'd measure as BTC Yield. However, since this metric is rearview mirror looking I can only use that as a reference. If this vehicle is moving "fast" with BTC yield each week or month or year. If the vehicle is achieving a BTC yield of 10% per week, the investor is essentially gaining an increase of its bitcoin stack at 10% per week. Would you as an investor be willing to pay a premium of 1.1x mNAV for this vehicle performance? If it maintains this level of mNAV by the end of week, you could get off the vehicle and the result would be a 10% growth in your bitcoin stack. If the mNAV compresses back to 1 by the end of the week (the vehicle parks), you'd be breakeven on your investment. What if the vehicle is running so smoothly that it's not going to park for a year? What would be an appropriate mNAV? Something to think about. 😊
Replying to @UncleDividends
Honestly I don’t know the “ideal” mNAV. Theoretical mNAV looks like ~1 if all they do is hold bitcoin. Over long-run, I suspect it drifts toward 1 as BTC treasury companies slow accumulation. At that point they start acting like a spot Bitcoin ETF: tight to NAV, almost no fee, plus corporate risk. What do you think?
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I wrote this after seeing too many young investors in Korea focus on buying a piece of real estate in Seoul. Think big. Your money can work something bettet than a piece of concrete structure that at best appreciates like S&P500…in KRW.
Portable + liquid > immovable + illiquid. Same rule for income: money you can earn anytime, anywhere is worth 10× more than money locked to a time and place. Optimize for optionality. Be time- and location-free.
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Metaplanet’s pullback flushed the weak hands. Strong hands are what’s left. One lesson from the last Bitcoin treasury bear market: don’t buy at 2x mNAV. As @_Checkmatey_ says, mNAV tends to mean-revert toward 1. So the inverse holds too — don’t sell when it’s below 1. Out of emotion.
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Portable + liquid > immovable + illiquid. Same rule for income: money you can earn anytime, anywhere is worth 10× more than money locked to a time and place. Optimize for optionality. Be time- and location-free.
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