IMO both sides of that chat have entrenched long ago, are optimising for different priorities, and ultimately talking past each other
- "decrease" wants to fix the curve to protect ETH's fundamental monetary characteristics (this is my view). we chose the curve years ago without the rigor necessary for such a decision, hindsight tells us a lot
- "keep it the same" wants to protect solo stakers and the heterogeneity of the network
i cant help but point out, with the current curve, solo stakers are down to .3%. from 17% at beacon genesis - they will be a vanishingly small % of the network in the near future. this is a structural problem that keeping the current curve will not fix. if solo stakers and issuance actually had a direct relationship, we should be arguing to increase issuance. it's obviously more nuanced than that
that being said, maintaining the ability for consensus activities w/ consumer hardware/residential bandwidth is still an admirable benchmark to aim for where we can (EIP 7870).
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whatever your position: with respect to the people organizing, engaging in good faith discussion: contentious decision-making through endlessly-circular tg chat is NGMI. you have no idea how many people in the chat are actual stakeholders, to what degree, and anyone can DOS the conversation out of all proportion to their stake in the system's future. the venue is completely ill-suited to the question - we need robust, legitimate venues to build consensus among core devs, eth holders, and users of the network
for ~2 years there's been a telegram group where ethereum's monetary policy gets debated.
justin drake started it march 2025, the day after solana's issuance cut failed a vote.
2,715 messages later, three camps that formed in the first 48 hours haven't moved:
1. reduce issuance (anders' 0.5% max-issuance curve, because the network overpays for security and staking slowly eating raw eth is a real risk).
2. don't you dare (hanniabu's math: cut it and coinbase survives on loss-leader economics while the solo staker dies).
3. it's not urgent (sassal: the merge already cut issuance 90% and eth/btc still bled).
meanwhile staking has crossed 1/3 of all eth and keeps grinding up ~50k/day.
but the data shows it flowing to coinbase, binance, kraken, and treasury companies.
everyone agrees the current curve was suboptimal. nobody agrees it's urgent, safe to change, or fixable without breaking something they care about more.
this is what monetary policy looks like with no central bank. the hard part is getting a decentralized system to agree that changing the rules is safe.