Co-Director, MENA Observatory @J_Jaures Foundation | Co-founder, Atlantic Middle East Forum | Contributor, leading French media, made in @sciencespo

Portrait croisé dans @libe avec mon amie & collègue Yasmina Asrarguis. Deux parcours en miroir, deux regards croisés & une même volonté de ne pas céder aux simplifications & aux assignations en tout genre, même sur les sujets les plus inflammables. Merci @vblochlaine @j_jaures 🙏
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David Khalfa retweeted
🚨OSINT — WAS A LARGER REGIONAL MEETING HELD IN ABU DHABI? Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made an unannounced visit to Abu Dhabi on Sunday, where he met UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed. But flight-tracking data raises an interesting question: Was Netanyahu’s meeting part of something larger? Around the same time Netanyahu’s private jet M-ULTI arrived in Abu Dhabi, OSINT flight trackers recorded several other government or VIP-linked aircraft converging on the UAE capital, including: • A Libyan aircraft reportedly linked to the Haftar camp • A Moroccan Air Force C-130 • A Qatari government aircraft • A UAE-owned aircraft arriving from Riyadh Netanyahu’s aircraft reportedly flew through Jordanian and Saudi airspace before reaching Abu Dhabi. No one has confirmed so far that these flights were connected or that a broader summit took place. Some of the aircraft may have been in Abu Dhabi for unrelated reasons. Still, the concentration of regional government/VIP traffic within the same window as Netanyahu’s previously undisclosed meeting with MBZ is notable and worth watching.
NETANYAHU’S SECRET UAE VISIT — IRAN DOMINATES THE TALKS Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu quietly flew from Ben Gurion Airport to Abu Dhabi on a private plane Sunday, landing at 3:10 PM for an unannounced meeting with UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed. Channel 12 reported that Netanyahu spent about four hours in the UAE, while senior officials cited by Army Radio said the overall visit lasted roughly six hours. According to officials familiar with the meeting, the talks focused primarily on Iran and followed a series of recent conversations between Netanyahu and MBZ.
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David Khalfa retweeted
🔴 Iran : Donald Trump est "dans une impasse", analyse David Khalfa. Il "ne peut pas se permettre politiquement d’accepter ce qu’il avait accepté il y a quelques mois" et mise désormais sur "la coercition économique" pour faire plier Téhéran. #Canal16
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🔴 Iran : "L’Iran aujourd’hui n’exporte pas une goutte de pétrole, quasiment pas", souligne David Khalfa. "C’est une catastrophe pour le régime dont l’économie est en voie d’effondrement." #Canal16
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David Khalfa retweeted
🔴 Pétrole : en frappant l’oléoduc saoudien qui débouche à Yanbu, les Houthis cherchent à "boucher les deux voies de sortie d’exportation du pétrole et du gaz" et à "augmenter la facture économique pour Donald Trump", analyse David Khalfa. #Canal16
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David Khalfa retweeted
I’m skeptical that the Gulf has suddenly turned against an Iran deal. Saudi Arabia and the UAE still want the war contained and shipping restored. What seems to have changed is the price they are willing to accept. Recent Houthi and infrastructure attacks have strengthened the argument for keeping pressure on Tehran until a deal provides stronger guarantees. That is a harder negotiating position—not an abandonment of diplomacy. The Gulf cannot bomb away geography. wsj.com/world/middle-east/wh…
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David Khalfa retweeted
US official says around 40 million barrels of oil transited the Strait of Hormuz over the last 48 hours
Around 60 vessels went through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday and about 40 coordinated with the US military for protection, US defense official tells Al Arabiya English. This marked the highest volume of crude oil in one day since July, per official.
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David Khalfa retweeted
Qatar has ramped up gas tanker traffic through Hormuz to the highest in more than two months At least four laden carriers have been sent through the strait in the last week "Traffic remains far below pre-war levels of roughly three LNG shipments a day" bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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What France’s military deployment means for Saudi Arabia’s fight against Houthis New pledges of limited British and French military deployments fall short of what Riyadh would likely need to defend its skies should the Houthis escalate further. al-monitor.com/originals/202…
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David Khalfa retweeted
🚨מגזין האטלנטיק מפרסם הלילה תחקיר מקיף - ההתרעה המצרית לפני 7 באוקטובר: ראש המודיעין המצרי עבאס כאמל הגיע לישראל שבוע וחצי לפני 7 באוקטובר, והזהיר שחמאס נראים כמי שנערכים למתקפה משמעותית. הוא נחת בנתב״ג, שהה 67 דקות באזור מבודד כדי להעביר את המודיעין, מה שהוגדר כ׳התרעה דחופה בנוגע למצב ברצועת עזה׳, מבלי לנקוב בתאריך או בשיטת הפעולה. התחקיר של האטלנטיק כולל מקורות ישראלים, מצרים, אמריקאים, ממדינות ערב ואירופה. גורם ישראלי לשעבר שתודרך לאחר מכן על הביקור תיאר את המסר של כאמל במילים: ״אם לא תשנו את המסלול, עזה הולכת להתפוצץ לכם בפנים לכם בפנים״. @JeffreyGoldberg @vmsalama
Major scoop from @vmsalama, via @theatlantic: Egypt's intelligence chief warned Israel that Gaza was about to blow, just weeks before the October 7th Hamas invasion: theatlantic.com/national-sec…
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David Khalfa retweeted
Exclusive: Trump has rejected Iran's proposal for a seven-day ceasefire and has told aides he expects to resume bombing Iran after the midterms, officials said on.wsj.com/4yZ77wy
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This 👇
We are constantly told about hundreds of new farms and outposts, a “settlement revolution,” and an irreversible transformation of the West Bank. Yet behind the political fanfare and the sweeping takeover of land, the demographic reality remains remarkably stubborn. A full 84.5% of the Jewish population beyond the Green Line, including East Jerusalem, lives within 10 kilometers of it. About 65%—nearly two-thirds—live within just 5 kilometers. The meaning is clear: a large majority of Israelis still live close to the Green Line, in areas that could, in principle, be included in agreed land swaps under a permanent-status agreement—without undermining territorial contiguity or the fabric of life of either population. The overall picture is also far removed from the propaganda: Israelis constitute only about 15% of the West Bank’s population, excluding East Jerusalem, while the Palestinian built-up area is approximately nine times larger than the Jewish built-up area. The outposts and farms deepen control over the territory and intensify friction, violence, and the political obstacles to an agreement—but they do not create an “irreversible demographic reality.” The two-state solution remains possible. Those seeking to thwart it are doing so through deliberate policy, not through demographic inevitability.
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David Khalfa retweeted
Israelis outraged over Macron saying that Hamas has never been active in West Bank. Read what @dkhalfa has to say on the Israel-France diplomatic crisis. After France's settlement ban, Israel sees no warming of ties with Macron government al-monitor.com/originals/202… via @AlMonitor
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David Khalfa retweeted
“Gulf countries generally agree that Trump shouldn’t escalate militarily against Iran. But oil kingpin Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are lobbying the Trump administration to keep up the economic pressure on Iran and not agree to concessions that would ease sanctions or the U.S. Navy blockade, the people said.” wsj.com/world/middle-east/wh… @summer_said @benoitfaucon
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David Khalfa retweeted
Hamas: "We call upon the masses of our steadfast people in the West Bank and occupied Jerusalem, and in every corner of the homeland, to escalate resistance operations with all their tools."
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Toujours un plaisir d’interroger @dkhalfa sur l’actualité du Proche-Orient
Retrouvez mon entretien avec @RaphaelKahane @FRANCE24 @j_jaures . Enjeux des prochaines élections en #Israël, Cisjordanie, #Gaza, tacticalisation de la stratégie 🇮🇱, #Naza, c’est par là : france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missio…
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« NAZA' is catnip to Israel's fascist bloc and the anti-Zionist left. But it provides no dates, locations or factual cross-references, which for that reason alone is enough to undermine its claim to be a documentary » haaretz.com/opinion/2026-09-…
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David Khalfa retweeted
BREAKING: The Houthis has reportedly planted mines in the Bab al-Mandab Strait, a Yemeni military source tell Al Arabiya.
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