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ICYMI - a former NFL Director of Analytics is telling you @FantasyPts has a better data and analytics department than NFL teams
Replying to @RyanPaganetti
if you actually want your team to be under center in short yardage like Tom Brady and the Patriots dynasty correctly did for 20 years, follow along. And use @FantasyPts for the most cracked data and analysis possible that is better than your teams analytics staff
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Explosive Rush Rate (10+ Yards) vs. MTF/Att on attempts with 1.0+ YBCO/Att (per @FantasyPtsData) Should we be concerned that a few RBs have zero or near-zero explosive runs or forced missed tackles on this chart? (probably) - Javonte Williams, Quinshon Judkins, and Jeremiyah Love I know the Seahawks have a potentially winning RB split formula, but Jadarian Price deserves more volume Tony Pollard against the New York Giants' run defense, with Tyjae Spears potentially out, is a matchup I am keeping an eye on Despite Blake Corum ranking highly here, he is still missing two of the most fantasy-lucrative roles (pass catching + goal-line)
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
The Shoeless Don leads the league in ASS on vertical Routes. The Browns have two absolute dawgs on their team. And Parker Washington is him 💪 What a time to be alive @FantasyPtsData
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Why do people think Patrick Mahomes is a gunslinger and Brock Purdy is a YAC merchant? Actually, the reverse is true
Since 2023, Patrick Mahomes has 465 more pass attempts than Lamar Jackson But if you exclude screens or isolate for throws with any degree of difficulty, Jackson runs circles around Mahomes On balls thrown >10 yards in the air: Lamar Jackson: 57 TDs, 7 INTs Pat Mahomes: 27 TDs, 24 INTs @FantasyPtsData
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Matthew Golden and Christian Watson through 3 games, per @FantasyPtsData: Targets/game + Golden: 9.3 (5th of 104* WRs) + Watson: 9.0 (6th) Yards/game + Golden: 84.7 (11th) + Watson: 94.7 (7th) Expected fantasy points/game + Golden: 16.50 (12th) + Watson: 18.47 (7th) *min 2 games played and 20 routes run
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Tucker Kraft has not been himself through the first 3 games of the season - He really might not be anywhere near 100% yet His averages are all down heavily compared to 2025 (per @FantasyPtsData) [ASS] 2025: 0.070 (TE1) 2026: -0.012 (TE26) [YPRR] 2025: 2.57 (TE1) 2026: 1.28 (TE20) [Target Share] 2025: 16.4% (TE15) 2026: 13.7% (TE15) [YAC/Rec] 2025: 10.7 (TE1) 2026: 5.7 (TE15) [Passer Rating When Targeted] 2025: 155.9 (TE1) 2026: 72.2 (TE36) [Drop Rate] 2025: 9.8% (TE35)👀 2026: 17.6% (Last)🙃 [YPTOE] 2025: 4.85 (TE1) 2026: -1.36 (TE32) [FPG] 2025: 14.7 (TE2) 2026: 6.5 (TE25) His ASS alone shows that he is definitely not near 100% yet, so this could be a somewhat risky buy-low opportunity - My biggest concern is that he has 0 targets inside the 10-yard line so far
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Kyle Pitts [2024-2026] in games Drake London played = 8.0 FPG [TE27] in games Drake London missed = 19.0 FPG [TE1] w/ Drake London on the field = 0.18 TPRR [TE37] w/ Drake London off the field = 0.28 TPRR [TE1] Is Kyle Pitts a "no other receiver is healthy" merchant?
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Are Tyler Shough and Chris Olave the best cost-effective QB-WR stack of 2026? @FantasyPtsData
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
The Miami Dolphins rank: 30th in Pass % in the 1st half 2nd in Pass % in the 2nd half They abandon the run and pass a ton as the game-script forces them to. (@FantasyPtsData)
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Kalif Raymond has higher -Target Share than George Pickens (21.9% to 21.5%) -TPRR than DeVonta Smith (0.27 to 0.26) -Team Receiving Yard% than Ja’Marr Chase (26.9% to 18.9%) -YPRR than Garrett Wilson (2.38 to 2.34) -Catches than Parker Washington (13 to 12) Data @FantasyPtsData
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Here's how the Packers' receiving room has performed through 3 games (per @FantasyPtsData) [Target Share] - Matthew Golden: 23.4% (WR16) - Christian Watson: 21.8% (WR20) - Tucker Kraft: 13.7% (TE15) [YPRR] - Christian Watson: 2.63 (WR16) - Matthew Golden: 2.32 (WR25) - Tucker Kraft: 1.23 (TE21) [Receiving YPG] - Christian Watson: 94.7 (WR7) - Matthew Golden: 84.3 (WR11) - Tucker Kraft: 35.3 (TE15) [Catch Rate] - Christian Watson: 63.0% (WR55) - Tucker Kraft: 52.9% (TE36) - Matthew Golden: 51.7% (WR71) [FPG] - Christian Watson: 23.1 (WR7) - Matthew Golden: 15.4 (WR15) - Tucker Kraft: 6.5 (TE25) As Ryan Heath has stated, the 2026 Packers offense might mimic the 2025 Cardinals offense - Christian Watson and Matthew Golden appear to be league-winners at their ADP Matthew Golden has lost multiple big plays to PI penalties, and clearly has a higher ceiling than his FPG suggests - This is a player I was 100% wrong about. He looks great and is getting fed every single game Tucker Kraft looks absolutely awful. Mis-timed routes, drops, fumbles, and he just does not look like himself - I'm afraid to say that he's still a "buy low", because he's clear the WR3 in this offense
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On balls throws 10+ yads in the air: Josh Allen: 17/22 - 4 TD - 0 INT Patrick Mahomes: 6/14 - 0 TD - 1 INT Drake Maye: 7/15 - 0 TD - 4 INT Justin Herbert: 12/27 - 1 TD - 3 INT
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
NFL Week 2 Route Win Rate Thread 🧵 @FantasyPtsData Follow for more NFL Fantasy Football Data Dumps Starting With Arizona Cardinals - Week 2 Route Win Rate Trey McBride TE: 13% Michael Wilson WR: 12.9% Kendrick Bourne WR: 8.7% Marvin Harrison WR: 0% Elijah Higgins TE: 0% Hunter Long TE: 0%
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Before tonight, Michael Penix had 6 under-center play-action dropbacks in his entire career. Six. @FantasyPtsData
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Is Chuba Hubbard this year’s Javonte Williams?
Fantasy Football rest of season rankings and usage notes at the RB position: 📈 Ashton Jeanty 📈 Bucky Irving 📈 Bhayshul Tuten 📉 Travis Etienne 📉 Jacory Croskey-Merritt 📉 David Montgomery Beyond the Box Score: piped.video/watch?v=iYF5v2NB…
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Most Air Yards Lost Due to Drops [2026] 1. Justin Herbert (70) 😭😭 2. Pat Mahomes (59) 3. Baker Mayfield (57) 4. Jared Goff (52) 5. Dak Prescott (48)
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
2026 Elite Tier RBs (through 2 weeks): - Jahmyr Gibbs - Jonathan Taylor - James Cook - Kenneth Walker X: RB Carry Share Y: Explosive Run % @FantasyPtsData
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
If George Kittle can stay healthy for the entire season, I think he can finish as the overall TE1 - Especially if Mike Evans continues to be hobbled by injuries Here is how Kittle produced in Week 2 on 52.0% route share (per @FantasyPtsData): Plus how those marks ranked amongst Kittle's last 28 games (dating back to 2024) - 6.15 YPRR (2nd) - 0.31 TPRR (7th) - 10.00 YAC/Rec (4th) - 0.231 1D/RR (4th) - 1.38 FP/RR (1st) - 18.0 FPG (13th) Now, imagine Kittle in a full-time role. I think our boy may be back (and better than ever?)
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Efficiency is there. Is this the week we get volume for Bhayshul Tuten?
MicNuggets
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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Not human
George Kittle ranks just 25th at the TE position in Route Rate (49.2%). Obvious as he ramps back up after January Achilles tear. TE ranks (min 25 routes) despite this: -4th in Team Air Yards % (24.3%) -3rd in Targets per Route Run (0.30) -2nd in Yards per Route Run (3.07) -7th in First Read Target % (20%) -9th in Team Receiving Yards % (18.7%) -2nd in Missed Tackles Forced per Catch (0.33) It’s remarkable he’s even out there let alone balling. This isn’t being talked about enough. Total monster. Data per @FantasyPtsData
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