One of the nice features of PolyTraderPro is fat-finger protection. Anyone who has traded in prediction markets for an extended period of time has fat-fingered. We have at least one control on it, and more controls are on the way. In our settings, one can set a limit above which an additional "are you sure!?!" dialogue box pops up. In this case, for any trade over $30k, or 18% of my balance, I want additional confirmation. This feature can be toggled off.

A PolyTraderPro user has done well for himself the past month...

The holy trinity of bonds right now is this one below (Pahlavi not entering Iran), the US military instituting a draft, and the US charging fees for passage through the strait. (Last two only on Polymarket I believe)

Classify this one as a midterm must-read.

There's been a lot of talk that maybe the polls are off, and the Democrats could lose the midterms. Note that even before the Iran war started and gas prices began to rise, Democrats outperformed in the biggest off-year elections, much more so than even in the 2018 cycle, a blue wave. In 2025, NJ and VA moved by an average of 9 points left, vs. just 2 points left in 2017. And D's substantially outperformed their polls in both NJ and VA in 2025 as well.

Interesting stuff. I'm curious how much volume/liquidity explains this. Compared to, say, the lack of polling or difficulty with modeling fundamentals.

Proud to announce that we have some big updates coming for PolyTraderPro!

If you're going to trade on this on polymarket, be aware that it's not financial advice, and also that you'll get the best execution using PolyTraderPro.com.

At a first glance, there are way fewer pickup opportunities in the House for Democrats, as there were fewer R seats Trump won by fewer than 10 points in 2026 than there were in 2018. This suggests it just might be tough sledding for the Democrats to do as well as they did in 2018.

Traders are leaving a lot of money on the table by not using PolyTradePro.com.

Big September Best way to stay locked in is with PolyTraderPro.com

Who got completely blown out by the markets this week? GOP insiders in South Carolina. Dunces of the Week. “This is maybe the 100th victory in a row for prediction markets over GOP insiders.” -@TradeandMoney

I went on Eventual today to talk Jackson Hole, Russia-Ukraine peace, the degen who took e-sports MMer's for a cool $7 mill in a week, and prediction market regulation. Also talked a bit about the Ruffini thesis on the Democrats summer polling biases.

Note that "Will the US invade Iran?" no shares were trading at 75-76 when I made this prediction and it hit 84 cents after the latest Trump TACO over the weekend. Nice W for Eventual viewers. Nuclear deal also got a nice 67% pump.

ONLY 3¢. @TradeandMoney is betting on an Iran nuclear deal by Aug. 31. "I still like to bet on peace here... it's pretty clear now that when the war heats up, Republicans pay a steep electoral popularity price." FADE or FOLLOW?

It's time for prediction market traders to have their own voice. @EventualNews is here to give them one. Proud to launch alongside @Domahhhh, @GaetenD, @paulmotty, @TradeandMoney, @pjchougule, @KeejayOV3, @MickBransfield and Brian Golden as we build a media company for traders, by traders.

An international advisory body suspects match manipulation in the World Cup and has flagged suspicious Polymarket bets on the Cape Verde Vs Spain match in which a user turned $4.2m into $13.3m . This article doesn't paint the full picture and I'll break it down for you. 👇

Most user-made Polymarket tools are fucking useless. We don’t need another vibecoded terminal app built to solve a problem that only affected two users. Tools like @betmoardotfun (Betmoar) and @insight_predict (PolyTrader Pro) are actually original. They were built for specific use cases and genuinely made Polymarket usable (even now when the site bugs and logs you out every day). Meanwhile, countless unnecessary Claude coded tools keep getting churned out, adding little to no value. Even worse, some of these tools are made by people who have never been profitable in their life and have barely any understanding of the site. I have respect for very few sites and tools (outside of aforementioned, Poly Helper and Parity). I’m sure there’s others I haven’t mentioned off from the top of my head. My point stands.

"This is a bad feeling in trading when something is moving and you don't know why." @Kalshi's top economic forecaster can't figure out why the market is suddenly pricing in a Fed rate hike. Signal or noise?

For sports bettors, we have now implemented a button to set order expiration at the event start time. Note that we retrieve this information from polymarket's API, and it could be subject to error. If you are placing a big bet, you'd do well to double-check the time yourself.