I've followed Elon Musk for over 10 years. Today I'm publishing what I learned: Elon Musk: First Principles Thinking. Not a biography — a playbook for how he breaks problems down to physics, and how you can do it in your own work. With stick-figure cartoons, because rockets are hard and drawing is harder. 📘 amazon.com/dp/B0HNRBQ5FD (free on Kindle Unlimited)
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Navin Nagrani retweeted
Replying to @alexgibneyfilm
Oh, why not. Haven't had a chance to watch the movie yet but have heard you on a couple of podcasts and find this line of criticism the most confusing. It's not difficult to find employees across the companies who will talk at length about him making engineering decisions. I've seen this happen at Tesla, SpaceX and Neuralink firsthand. Mostly, though, I tend to think of the companies as being built by the thousands of employees and as group engineering exercises. There are tons of choices that have to be made and things that have to be fixed and resources marshalled. The top end of these tasks has quite often fallen to Musk. People had pretty much given up on electric cars until Tesla came along. You will argue that Martin and Marc had the idea for Tesla, which is fine. But it would not be a going concern without the engineering fixes that took place to finally get the Roadster over the line and then the tons of choices that turned the Model S into a very surprising success. This totally revitalized the electric car industry and made it a thing again. It changed the automotive industry worldwide. Many people made many engineering choices along the way. Musk included. There are just too many stories and anecdotes to deny this. SpaceX is perhaps the most dramatic example. People had tried and failed to build a commercial rocket company before. They have tried and failed since. Blue Origin and SpaceX started almost the same year, but only one of the two companies has changed the dynamics of the worldwide aerospace industry and our access to space. Many people deserve credit for this, but it's hard to argue that Musk was not the driving force behind a great deal of what SpaceX has achieved. SpaceX had far less resources than Blue Origin. The engineering accomplishments of SpaceX are pretty nuts. The US aerospace industry would be in terrible shape without them. We'd be unable to put humans in space, behind China on all fronts and very, very slow to do launches. Space is one of the last manufacturing and engineering strongholds for the US. Is this entirely because of Musk? Certainly not. Did he push the company forward on engineering? Certainly yes. Neuralink has a great, great deal still to prove. But it took products that were trapped in acamedia and advanced them dramatically. I would argue that this does not happen without the engineering pattern matching Musk has done across these other two industries. He pushed changes on semiconductor, materials, robotics and implant design. It's important to ask all these other questions about his empire and power and his evolution over time. And you're a tremendous filmmaker. This will no doubt come off as cheerleading. All I can say is that Elon and I have had a very tumultous relationship, and he's been plenty unkind to me at times. I don't really have a need to speak up here. Me writing this comes more from a place of confusion than anything else. The products are all very real, and there's a common denominator across them. It's difficult for me to see them as lucky accidents, particularly when rivals trying to do similar things have struggled so badly. All of these things are so difficult to build. Like verging on impossible. Why do you fixate on the engineering thing when there are so many other more real avenues to explore?
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Musk's algorithm, in order: question the requirement, delete the part, simplify, speed up, automate. Most of us start at step 5. Start at step 1.
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Nobody throws away a 747 after one flight. Reusable rockets came from taking that sentence seriously. What do you rebuild from scratch every time?
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Three failed launches, almost no money left, and a fourth try in 2008 that worked. Persistence matters, but so does learning exactly what broke each time.
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Navin Nagrani retweeted
Unreal… Elon: Don’t use Starlink to kill people. Zelensky: I used Starlink to kill people. Legacy Media: Elon is a monster for stopping Zelensky from using Starlink to kill people. Democrats: We must investigate Elon for stopping Zelensky from using Starlink to kill people.
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Navin Nagrani retweeted
TOP TWENTY!!! The responses keep pouring in. The Tesla Retail Letter in Support of a $SPCX / $TSLA MERGER cracks the Top 20! Tesla Retail represents MORE SHARES than Baron Funds or Ark or Barclays, and many more household names. The stats - in less than 48 Hours: ♦️6,493 signers representing an ♦️Astonishing 17,528,859 shares ♦️Worth $6.5 Billion Shareholders see a very bright future ahead for a combined Tesla/SpaceX. SUM GREATER THAN THE PARTS Shareholders think their same investment dollars will be worth more if the companies combine, reduce friction, and tackle every more ambitious projects. Join in and let the Tesla Board and Special Committee know how you feel. SIGN NOW Next Target: Top 15, about 2.77 Million more shares. Can we get close??? It will be closing soon. Last chance. @TeslaBoomerMama Forward to shareholders: surveymonkey.com/r/mergealre…
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My book Elon Musk: First Principles Thinking is $0.99 on Kindle this weekend only. It's short and practical, and it walks through how Elon breaks problems down to the basics, from rocket costs to batteries. amazon.com/dp/B0HNRBQ5FD
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SpaceX was quoted $120,000 for a rocket actuator. An engineer built one himself for $3,900. It does roughly what a garage-door opener does. Before you accept a quote, ask what it's made of.
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Navin Nagrani retweeted
When you realize your sibling got more seeds… The best drama ever! 🤣🤣
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In 2002, on a flight home from Moscow, Musk worked out that rocket materials cost about 2% of a rocket's price. That spreadsheet became SpaceX. What's a price in your work you've never broken down?
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6/ Write your own secret master plan. Tesla's was simple: an expensive car funds a cheaper one, which funds an affordable one. Write 3 steps for your goal, where each step pays for the next.
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7/ Throw less away. "Imagine if you had to have a new plane for every flight." That was Musk's case for reusable rockets. What do you rebuild from scratch every time: a doc, a deck, an onboarding? Make one thing reusable.
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8/ Every chapter of the book ends with a Teardown like these. Elon Musk: First Principles Thinking is out now on Kindle 🚀 amazon.com/dp/B0HNRBQ5FD
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3/ Compute your idiot index: price ÷ cost of raw ingredients. Musk found a $13,000 part made from roughly $200 of steel. A high ratio isn't a law of nature. It's a to-do list. Try it on your own work.
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4/ It works on time too. A two-week approval with 20 minutes of actual reading has a time idiot index of about 1,000. Somewhere in your calendar is a process like that. Find it.
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5/ Delete the part. At X.com, Musk went down the signup form asking "Why do we need that?" If nobody can name a reason, delete it. And if you're never adding anything back, you aren't deleting enough.
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1/ I've followed Elon Musk for 10+ years. The most useful thing I learned isn't about rockets or cars. It's how he thinks. So I wrote a book on it. Here are 6 Teardowns from it that you can run on your own problems this week 🧵
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2/ Analogy or atoms? In 2012, battery packs "cost" about $600/kWh because they always had. Musk priced the raw materials instead: about $80/kWh. Next time someone says "that's just what it costs," ask what it's made of. You'll be surprised.
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Aristotle called it "the first basis from which a thing is known." Musk just asks: what are we sure is true? Most of what we "know" is copied from someone else. Try sorting one belief this week.
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$TSLA after earnings: 7 analysts raised price targets, none cut. CLSA: $310 → $400 (upgraded to Hold) UBS: $391 → $425 Canaccord: $410 → $442 Piper Sandler: $450 → $475 JPMorgan: $415 → $430 Morgan Stanley: $400 → $410 Mizuho: $450 → $460 New targets average about $435. Stock is around $372. If you want the thinking behind the numbers, I wrote a short book on how Elon reasons: amazon.com/dp/B0HNRBQ5FD @wholemars @garyblack00 @SawyerMerritt
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