@opentimestamps founder pgp: 37EC7D7B0A217CDB4B4E007E7FAB114267E4FA04 25JUPL6ksapY1iCLWkFcSaXaA6Ar3W7JDCdPjeSApump 🇺🇦🇮🇱🇹🇼

The hardest part about being a contrarian is knowing when not to be.
The mind virus of conspiratorial thinking has been devastating. It completely paralyzes analysis and reduces everything to entertainment, fodder for clicks, traffic, and attention. It’s like a caricature of the Straussian close reading of texts: the “real” meaning is always hidden from view, and being unable to see it means you don’t have access to esoteric insights and knowledge. In reality, you’re just reading it wrong. In the case of Russia right now, nobody really knows what’s happening. But that doesn’t matter; all you have to do is come up with the most absurd theory, and the more absurd it is, the truer it must be.
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Peter Todd retweeted
It's not surprising that Mauritius is so desperate to get this deal through. Can you imagine being Mauritius; a small country, GDP of around $16 billion a year, a population of around 1.3 million, no conventional army, yet despite these limitations, you are able to get the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office into agreeing a deal that would see Britain give away their own sovereign territory, while paying for the privilege of doing so, and with this new-found money, you are able to introduce tax cuts that would exempt 80% of your workers paying income tax, all while Britons face the highest tax burden since WW2. You have quite literally hit the jackpot. And despite the British Government having numerous setback that would allow them to exit this terrible deal, they still try and persist on getting it through.
The Chagos deal, if enacted, would be so beneficial to Mauritius, that they were planning to implement tax cuts that would see 80% of workers exempt from paying income tax. British taxpayers would quite literally be funding tax cuts for Mauritians.
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> Well, maybe we would see more benefits if schools actually supported fast learners instead of holding them back until everyone else catches up Very important point. It's probably confounding most/all the studies on this topic.
People are telling me I'm misinterpreting the article, that it's just saying you don't "need" to teach your 3yo to read Yes, that's the *title* of the article but the author makes it clear that she and "the experts" explicitly discourage it. And the claim that the benefits of early reading disappear with time? Well, maybe we would see more benefits if schools actually supported fast learners instead of holding them back until everyone else catches up
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Peter Todd retweeted
While gullible Americans & bots were posting: “Russia isn’t my enemy” Actual Russians in Moscow were chanting in the streets: “We literally want to nuke your cities and destroy America!” 🤣 🤦🏻‍♂️
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Peter Todd retweeted
Might be one of the worst bullshit MeToo cases we've ever seen. There was no sexual assault forensic exam and no rape kit There was no blood alcohol measurement from the alleged incident There was no toxicology test showing another drug or sedative. There was no biological or DNA evidence tied to the alleged assault. She gave the documented police interview 377 days later On steam she is smiling, sitting next to him, talking, then kissing him after saying she is drunk. She filed the civil lawsuit first, then went to the police with her lawyer. On stream she said she was 18. Police treated one person as the first complaint witness. That witness said the complainant had not specifically told her, or anyone, that Peters did anything. There was no early, detailed account given to another person that police could use to lock in the story close in time. Her own story of that night is not “I was passed out the whole time.” She describes being awake for making out and for sex in more than one position. The amount of alcohol is imprecise. She described it as two or three shots, then said they were not really shots and were more like cups. There is no objective reconstruction of how much she drank. Months later she voluntarily made contact again and accepted an invitation to stream with him. The civil suit said she was 16 at Cape Cod. The criminal file says 17. Can't even get her age straight. She asked about working as a bottle girl at his club afterwards. After the alleged incident she sent affectionate and romantic material, including the “I want you” message and she wrote that she would give him her loyalty.
Clavicular rape accuser btw
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Peter Todd retweeted
Replying to @peterktodd
100% correct. Ukraine is defending Europe from armed Asian illegal immigrants, who's only purpose is to rape and kill Europeans, and plunder everything of value. Here is from a Friday payer in Moscow, btw. Churches in Moscow are practically empty on Sundays.
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Peter Todd retweeted
Al-Nablus University in the West Bank sets up an exhibition celebrating the 9 August bombing of a Sbarro restaurant in Israel, in which 16 civilians were killed. The Palestinian Authority makes the effort to build a mock Sbarro storefront and include props of mutilated body parts, to trumpet the perceived success of Palestinian resistance against Israel. Visitors are required to walk over Israeli and American flags to enter and leave the exhibition.
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Peter Todd retweeted
I will never understand it either. Just listen to Russians themselves. They all whine about projections of becoming majority Muslim in 5 years.
So tedious. Ukraine is a ~99% white Christian ethnostate that is literally fighting illegal immigration; Russia is much less white, coddles Muslims (whose population is growing rapidly), and on top of that, is deeply evil. Cozing up to Russia is an idiotic and self-defeating move by the remigration- crowd. Yet they almost all have done it. Supporting Ukraine is the obvious move for the remigration crowd; they already have lots of support in Ukraine, including a lot of the people actually fighting. But they're almost all either too stupid, or too compromised, to do it.
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So tedious. Ukraine is a ~99% white Christian ethnostate that is literally fighting illegal immigration; Russia is much less white, coddles Muslims (whose population is growing rapidly), and on top of that, is deeply evil. Cozing up to Russia is an idiotic and self-defeating move by the remigration- crowd. Yet they almost all have done it. Supporting Ukraine is the obvious move for the remigration crowd; they already have lots of support in Ukraine, including a lot of the people actually fighting. But they're almost all either too stupid, or too compromised, to do it.
Detained under counter terrorism legislation again and questioned about my views on Russia . This is the 4th time they have abused these powers in order to access my phones and grill me about legal and lawful opinions
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99% chance that was Russian sabotage. Starlink is essential in Ukraine.
Wczoraj wieczorem doszło do podpalenia naziemnej stacji łączności satelitarnej Starlink w Woli Krobowskiej, 40 km od Warszawy. To jedyna taka instalacja w Polsce - obsługuje łączność satelitarną w całym regionie - w tym na Ukrainie
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Fucking Russians. That's the big, beautiful, conference center where all the crypto/Bitcoin conferences I've been to in Kyiv were held. Also, the conference center for the first time I was in Kyiv in 2018.
російські терористи вдруге за сьогодні атакували конгресно-виставковий центр «Парковий» у Києві. КВЦ «Парковий» це місце, де мають офіси головні зі «Слуг народу» нардепи. Там же часто відбувалися зустрічі фракції із президентом. Цим ударом росіяни показують в тому числі і народним обранцям, що вони готові вбивати усіх. І їм байдуже в кого які політичні плани. Сподіваюсь, хоч тепер нардепи трошки прокинуться та усвідомлять, в якій реальності перебуає країна. І що їм зараз слід посилено працювати, голосувати за реформи, а не йти на канікули через кожні три дні роботи.
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Better view of it. Russia attacked during an event:
Kyiv. russians struck the Parkovy Exhibition and Convention Center in central Kyiv. The center was packed with people. It is now on fire. These are the targets russia chooses. Because russia is a terrorist state.
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Notification from a Kyiv area VPS provider I use. Moving everything to Warsaw. Good timing too: they got hit right after evacuating equipment. ...and yes, that was a Libre Relay node. Coincidentally(?) the Knotzies are infested with pro-Russia nut jobs. 😂
russians attacked several data centers in Kyiv, and internet disruptions are being reported. Around 100,000 customers are affected.
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Its that time of year (every year) to talk about this image which does the rounds on Linkedin about once a week. What is it ? Well the image itself, is something which is inferred was drawn by the statistician Abraham Wald. But in fact its something someone drew at some point in MS Paint or something, to talk about "survivor bias". THE INTERNET wrote of this image and Walds work: "The US military’s conclusion was simple: the wings and tail are obviously vulnerable to receiving bullets. We need to increase armour to these areas. Wald stepped in. His conclusion was surprising: don’t armour the wings and tail. Armour the engine." The trouble, is this is all basically nonsense. Wald published his early work in 1943, the conclusions after 100 pages of equiations, are not exactly staggeringly profound: =========================== "This analysis of the hypothetical data would lead to the conclusion that the plane is most vulnerable to a hit on the engine area if the type of bullet is not specified, and is most vulnerable to a hit by a 20-mm cannon shell if the part hit is not specified. The greatest probability of being destroyed is .534, and occurs when a plane is hit by a 20-mm cannon shell on the engine area. The next most vulnerable event is a hit by a 7.9-mm machine gun bullet on the cockpit. These, and other conclusions that can be made from the table of vulnerabilities derived by the method of analysis of part VIII, can be used as guides for locating protective armor and can be used to make a prediction of the estimated loss of a future mission." =============================== Aircraft are extremely weight sensetive, and by 1943, all aircraft designers the world over already knew perfectly well which part of an aircraft to armour. They put armour on the pilots cabin and the engine systems. You cant put any where else as then the plane becomes so heavy its useless and so slow its probability of being shot down skyrockets as its performance goes down. All Allied aircraft followed this doctrine from early on in WW2. There was never an attempt by aircraft constructors to put armor all over tails, and wingtips. USAAF aircraft were also about as heavily armoured as they could be, this is (along with defensive armament) the main reason why a B-17 has so much less bombload capability than a British Lancaster, the British believed that fewer bombers meant the best tactical results and so the Lancaster had a lot less armour and armament than a B-17. This was offset by its massive bombcarrying capability. So what WAS Abraham Walds work ? What it really comes down to is the first major attempt to define a statistical probability based estimate of the proportions of a batch of aircraft on a mission which would be likely to be shot down, based on data gathered experimentally. Although Wald did state (see quote above) that it could also guide armor placement, this aspect of his work was already perfectly obvious to anyone who made aeroplanes and was already in effect being followed to the letter. So yes, Abraham Wald was a clever statistician, whose work is likely important piece of early matematical history to anyone studying the topic at University today, but NO - none of this resulted in aircraft manufacturers in WW2 changing the position of any armour plate, because everything of critical value which could be armoured, already was.
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Peter Todd retweeted
Notice how Zohran Mamdani looks FURIOUS and starts blinking excessively when Trump says that Iran will never have nuclear weapons. Just a reminder that Mamdani is a Twelver Shia Muslim, the exact same sect as the Islamic regime, Hezbollah and Houthis.
Laura Loomer
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Peter Todd retweeted
In Canada you cannot suggest that someone take their own life, even as a joke. This is considered practicing medicine without a license.
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Peter Todd retweeted
Pretty cool that General Motors was able to retool a car factory to make the outer shells of the Patriot missiles. They've managed to make the delivery to Lockheed just 22 days after signing the contract. (22 days!!!!! We still got it...🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸) Lockheed says this work normally takes months or years for the previous supplier (General Dynamics) to fulfill. There's a strain of neoliberal thinking that says if domestic carmakers can’t compete, they should just be allowed to fail. No bailouts. Just let Japan or China make cars because of comparative advantage or whatever. Imagine if we had believed that automobile manufacturing was something to offshore. It's now clear that the argument for preserving that industrial base is not simply nostalgia for a previous bygone era. It simply is the case that you cannot improvise precision manufacturing overnight once it has disappeared.
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Peter Todd retweeted
Stop treating the adult population like children and stop allowing adults who behave like despotic toddlers to decree what the rest of us are allowed to watch.
BBC removes 11 Mitchell and Webb comedy sketches from iPlayer bbc.in/4799EIB
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Peter Todd retweeted
russia has a literal muslim warlord it pays protection money to and allows him to do whatever he wants, while having more mosques than any European country.
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Hassan Jandoubi was known by locals and police to be part of an Islamist gang seen celebrating the September 11 terror attacks He was then hired to unload ammonium nitrate at the AZF plant by a subcontractor five days before the explosion Perfection.
The AZF fertilizer factory in Toulouse, France explodes, killing 31 people and injuring 2,500. Two-thirds of all the windows in the city are shattered, and at least 70 people are blinded. The total cost of damage is estimated to be €1.5 billion. France’s Minister of the Environment, Yves Cochet, says that the explosion “may have been a terrorist attack” and identifies the suspected perpetrator as Hassan Jandoubi, a Tunisian contractor who was killed in the blast. Authorities are suspicious, as Jandoubi’s girlfriend begins destroying evidence immediately, but they are able to ascertain that he had been gaining “Islamic fundamentalist radicalization.”
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Nice idea.
GM Your bank account can freeze your account if they detect too many transactions between unrelated individuals. They can't if they simply see you are purchasing computing power.
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