top 0.1% polymarket | i also build some cool software stuff sometime

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I’m gonna tweet about more stuff beyond just Polymarket! There are soo many things going on in AI and tech space. There’s soo many opinions I wanna share and things I wanna build! It’s gonna be exciting!
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when i used to be poor af, i used to think money is gonna fix all my problems whenever anyone said money can’t fix their problems, i used to get the ick. i used to joke around that they just didn’t have enough money now, i have some money and yet all my problems still remain. all of them so no, money can’t fix your problems. i soo wish things were that easy
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Prathwik retweeted
my one brain cell deciding what to do tonight…
༺ཧคlคฝคཊ༻
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Prathwik retweeted
We just found how kalshi is faking their volume ! turns out Kalshi in-house market markers pay ZERO (0) fees when trading against themselves takers fees : 0.003% makers rebates : +0.003% cost of wash trading : 0.003 - 0.003 = 0 Crucially this applies only to "self-clearing makers", a.k.a handpicked Kalshi partners. Most of these partners have equity deals with Kalshi, meaning they have every incentives to pump up the volume through wash trading before IPO and since it costs them noting, why not ? All the retards in my last tweet telling me "it's because of muh NFL" no, it's because Kalshi's volume is faker than a $3 bill Fraud Supercycle
Klashi has to be faking their volume their just introduced new fees on parlays yet parlay volume went UP at the same time this is extremely sus when you increase fees you expect to see volume go DOWN as price sensitive whales get cold feets Yet for Kalshi we observe the exact opposite Until August 20th: - $1.56M avg. daily parlay fees - $508M avg. daily parlay volume After August 20th (maker fee introduced): - $2.8M avg. daily parlay fees (+79%) - $1.0B avg. daily parlay volume (+97%) One possible explanation is that Kalshi in-house Market Makers are wash trading using their fee exemption If you take a look at their market maker agreement you can find the following line : "The benefits can include monetary benefits, such as discounts on fees, rebates on fees, revenue share from fees, and other monetary benefits." how hard would it be for internal market makers that pay no fees to wash trade a bunch of volume in exchange for "monetary benefits" ? It sure would be very useful for a company looking to IPO whose main value metric is volume remember that next time you see a chart showing Kalshi doing 10x more "volume" than @Polymarket One is verifiable onchain and the other is not.
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Some of the best advice I can give is this: An extremely smart person, when presented with new information, will often say "I was wrong" or "I may be wrong." A moderately smart person will often double-down and get defensive. IDK why that is, but it's been my experience.
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Calling all crypto twitter. I'm proud to announce that Jacob Horne @js_horne has joined Polymarket. He will be working closely with me on product, in particular making Polymarket DeFi great again. Jacob is amongst the best product and innovation minds in crypto. Before this, he was CEO of Zora. He built multiple beautiful products (I was one of the first users of the first version in 2020). Now he's got the PMF and distribution of Polymarket. I'm so excited to work with him. We'll be hosting a Polymarket DeFi town hall soon to hear from our longtime users and lay out the plan to make the Polymarket DeFi product the best it’s ever been. In the meantime, DM your feedback to @js_horne or me and we'll action it. To the DeFi community, we know the performance of the onchain product has waned as we've scaled, and it hurts us to hear the frustration of the people who love Polymarket and have supported us for so long thinking we’ve pivoted all focus to US, but just know we're working behind the scenes to unify the products and make Polymarket better than ever, across all surface areas.
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Prathwik retweeted
sydney sweeney's new solo ad with novig did ~276% more views than polymarket's ad featuring lebron james, alexandra daddario, emily rajatkowski and more marketing lesson right there
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Shots fired at polymarket by ex-intern Mustafa. Polymarket has been spending a ton of money on marketing and onboarding major celebrities while their core product keeps getting worse. They don’t seem to be working on their own chain. The team has been promising to fix issues and yet issues flagged several months ago are yet to be fixed. Instead of focusing on making a superior product, they introduce higher fees to be able to afford paying celebrities. The community recognises this and this might ultimately end up being the downfall of polymarket.
you're doing marketing because you failed at product at the end of the day, it was always about the community
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Prathwik retweeted
Replying to @Polymarket
@Polymarket f*cks up again. The user "cc9999" purchases shares after ANOTHER outage from a game that ended hours ago at 37c a share. He essentially made a free $20,000 effortlessly. Get your site together Polymarket.
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BREAKING: Polymarket finally plans to fix the issue responsible for the previous 4 outages in the last 2 days Apparently 5th time's the charm
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the recent outages have also been affecting projects that rely on polymarket API
Due to trading delays derived from issues regarding Polymarket's API, we have extended all evals by 72 hours. We will extend again if the issues persist. Additionally we have prioritized working on supporting a fallback venue so that issues like this do not result in any noticeable change for users
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Prathwik retweeted
Prathwik’s tweets have been performing better than mine while I’ve been gone.
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Prathwik retweeted
Refreshing to see you admitting the state of your exchange. But given that you know how bad cancel latency spikes, why is your taker delay still 50ms? How can you justify letting even low latency makers on fiber/microwave who send their cancels as fast as possible be picked off by HFT takes on 250ms cancel spikes? Why would you expect anyone to provide tight liquidity when even the best possible infra can be picked?
Honest post: the Polymarket DeFi CLOB is full of tech debt. It grew fast, got hacked together, and most of the team inherited it that way. Since joining and building out the team, we have scaled it 10x and made it 3x faster, but it’s not enough; the core foundations of how it’s been built are wrong in almost every way. You try to fix one thing, and another thing goes wrong; the conclusion now is that the codebase can’t be saved long-term. The exchange is the heart of Polymarket; everything runs through it. If we want to be the best exchange in the world, it must be fast, stable, and scalable. We can’t keep patching the old one, where these core foundations are generally missing throughout, so we’re rewriting it from scratch in Rust. Early numbers: 10-20x faster on p99 than today, 200,000 orders per second (15x what we have now, with room to reach 400,000+), and stability under load. This will put us faster than most exchanges, including CEXs. Building it in Rust gives us memory safety with no garbage collector. No GC means no random pauses and no random latency spikes; the tail latency in the benchmarks is the tail latency you get in production, alongside a strict compiler that enforces correctness up front. Data races and memory corruption (the bugs that take exchanges down) can’t exist in the first place. Polymarket has to take it seriously that we are an exchange; this is people’s money, not a joke. To succeed, we have to fix this; otherwise, we will fail. It’s as simple as that. I joined to build the best software in the world, not to maintain some of the worst, and I will do everything I can to make Polymarket a serious exchange. We are aiming to have the exchange ready sometime in Q4 (mid to end). I'll communicate progress as we go so you all know the status. Breaking changes will be minimal for all integrators and will be communicated in advance. We will maintain the existing CLOB and keep trying to improve it as we build this side by side. We can’t wait to throw away the existing CLOB; we dislike it as much as you all do. Make Polymarket fast, finally.
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Polymarket is again facing another (partial) outage due to the same issue as of right now 🥲 But hey, the polymarket team is aware that the current CLOB (central limit order book) sucks and is working on a new one
Polymarket is experiencing its third outage in the past 24 hours. the problem is of placed limit orders not showing up on the user's end despite being placed in CLOB the problem is for sure some queue or memory getting overloaded as this issue arises every few hours and gets worse over time. it starts happening for a few limit orders initially and gradually spreads to all of them they haven't been able to resolve this issue despite saying so in the previous two outages polymarket should hire talent that are competent at building a product rather than folks who make stupid decisions such as providing 80% rebates to "preferred customers"
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Full post by Josh
Honest post: the Polymarket DeFi CLOB is full of tech debt. It grew fast, got hacked together, and most of the team inherited it that way. Since joining and building out the team, we have scaled it 10x and made it 3x faster, but it’s not enough; the core foundations of how it’s been built are wrong in almost every way. You try to fix one thing, and another thing goes wrong; the conclusion now is that the codebase can’t be saved long-term. The exchange is the heart of Polymarket; everything runs through it. If we want to be the best exchange in the world, it must be fast, stable, and scalable. We can’t keep patching the old one, where these core foundations are generally missing throughout, so we’re rewriting it from scratch in Rust. Early numbers: 10-20x faster on p99 than today, 200,000 orders per second (15x what we have now, with room to reach 400,000+), and stability under load. This will put us faster than most exchanges, including CEXs. Building it in Rust gives us memory safety with no garbage collector. No GC means no random pauses and no random latency spikes; the tail latency in the benchmarks is the tail latency you get in production, alongside a strict compiler that enforces correctness up front. Data races and memory corruption (the bugs that take exchanges down) can’t exist in the first place. Polymarket has to take it seriously that we are an exchange; this is people’s money, not a joke. To succeed, we have to fix this; otherwise, we will fail. It’s as simple as that. I joined to build the best software in the world, not to maintain some of the worst, and I will do everything I can to make Polymarket a serious exchange. We are aiming to have the exchange ready sometime in Q4 (mid to end). I'll communicate progress as we go so you all know the status. Breaking changes will be minimal for all integrators and will be communicated in advance. We will maintain the existing CLOB and keep trying to improve it as we build this side by side. We can’t wait to throw away the existing CLOB; we dislike it as much as you all do. Make Polymarket fast, finally.
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Polymarket is experiencing its third outage in the past 24 hours. the problem is of placed limit orders not showing up on the user's end despite being placed in CLOB the problem is for sure some queue or memory getting overloaded as this issue arises every few hours and gets worse over time. it starts happening for a few limit orders initially and gradually spreads to all of them they haven't been able to resolve this issue despite saying so in the previous two outages polymarket should hire talent that are competent at building a product rather than folks who make stupid decisions such as providing 80% rebates to "preferred customers"
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On a positive note, polymarket team seems to be aware that their current codebase sucks
Honest post: the Polymarket DeFi CLOB is full of tech debt. It grew fast, got hacked together, and most of the team inherited it that way. Since joining and building out the team, we have scaled it 10x and made it 3x faster, but it’s not enough; the core foundations of how it’s been built are wrong in almost every way. You try to fix one thing, and another thing goes wrong; the conclusion now is that the codebase can’t be saved long-term. The exchange is the heart of Polymarket; everything runs through it. If we want to be the best exchange in the world, it must be fast, stable, and scalable. We can’t keep patching the old one, where these core foundations are generally missing throughout, so we’re rewriting it from scratch in Rust. Early numbers: 10-20x faster on p99 than today, 200,000 orders per second (15x what we have now, with room to reach 400,000+), and stability under load. This will put us faster than most exchanges, including CEXs. Building it in Rust gives us memory safety with no garbage collector. No GC means no random pauses and no random latency spikes; the tail latency in the benchmarks is the tail latency you get in production, alongside a strict compiler that enforces correctness up front. Data races and memory corruption (the bugs that take exchanges down) can’t exist in the first place. Polymarket has to take it seriously that we are an exchange; this is people’s money, not a joke. To succeed, we have to fix this; otherwise, we will fail. It’s as simple as that. I joined to build the best software in the world, not to maintain some of the worst, and I will do everything I can to make Polymarket a serious exchange. We are aiming to have the exchange ready sometime in Q4 (mid to end). I'll communicate progress as we go so you all know the status. Breaking changes will be minimal for all integrators and will be communicated in advance. We will maintain the existing CLOB and keep trying to improve it as we build this side by side. We can’t wait to throw away the existing CLOB; we dislike it as much as you all do. Make Polymarket fast, finally.
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Prathwik retweeted
Replying to @billieeilish
@grok please roast Eilish’s hypocrisy in hating on capitalism and “stolen land” while selling perfume and living in luxury on that same land
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Prathwik retweeted
does openAI know, hi 911 - I'd like to report a ...
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Found out why Polymarket Volume is dropping so fast. they are losing the whales Total number a users is actually going up, but they are spending less and don't stick around A recent @graviahq article shows that Polymarket added 1.35M new wallets in 2026 (more than in all of 2025 in and we're still in august) The problem is that those wallets don't spend real money : - share of users that spend >10$ on day 1 went from 27% of the total in 2025 to 75% in 2026 - their mean trade size is $3.14 - only 20% of them end up in positive vs 40% in 2025 (encourages turnover) Meanwhile more valuable OG users are not sticking around. - 91~95% of new users from years 2023-2025 have left - 98% of new users from years 2020-2022 have left I think the introduction of fees probably hurt a lot of whales. I have seen a lot of OGs drop off around March, some citing this exact reason. New users on the other hand are mostly sports casual that came in for the World Cup, lost a few small bets and dipped. Polymarket need to find a way to bring back big players to the international app
Is Polymarket dying ? No, but polymarket(.)com might be I see a lot of KOLs coomenting this chart as "the death of Polymarket" but it's missing the US app volume In reality what it shows is the death of Polymarket international, eaten alive by Polymarket US. Polymarket US was open to the public in April 2026. That's right at the point where Kalshi and Polymarket start to dissociate on the chart. During this period Polymarket US has grown ~59% per month on average and is already set to overtake Polymarket international in volume in August. If you take the same graph and add Polymarket US volume + consider it's rate of growth, @Kalshi isn't that out of reach for @polymarket
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