CEO at Neurometric. Author of the book "Investing in AI." Still a believer in free market capitalism, globalization, and small government.

NYC mostly
Rob May retweeted
Summary: Trump is a terrible person who has no understanding whatsoever about public policy, government, history, law, the Constitution, foreign relations, or much of anything. He won the 2016 Republican nomination in a fluke with a minority of Republican votes, probably because Kasich wouldn't bow out soon enough. Unexpectedly even to him, he won the 2016 election with the thinnest of margins. He agreed to House Republicans' (Kevin Brady's) already designed tax reform bill, based on long established conservative tax policy. That bill strengthened the economy, particularly the corporate tax cut. The strong economy compensated for Trump's many other policy wrongs. Covid wrecked the economy and showed Trump in an even worse light. In 2020 voters rejected Trump. Biden worsened rather than improved the Covid economy through spending-driven inflation. In 2024 voters returned to Trump because they wanted a return to the pre-Covid economy. But Trump hasn't delivered on the economy because his policies are harmful to the economy. The people who designed the 2017 tax reform are gone, driven out of office or retiring in disgust. What went right during Trump's first term was the doing of others, who understood policy and deterred him from his worst inclinations. No one like that was permitted influence in the second term. Second term Trump is the real Trump, and the second term results are the real Trump results.
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Rob May retweeted
Part of me gets very concerned when you see contracts potentially broken, promises broken. But the skeptical, rational part of me wants to dig in and know more and clarify. It’s silly to conclude that whatever DeepMind had TWELVE years ago is the code they’re shipping to the DoD now. Sure there’s the brand, the inspiration and maybe prior work that current stuff builds upon. But lots of prior work was published and everyone built on it. Someone would need to do a detailed analysis of the tech and deliverables but it’s crazy to think that just because Google bought some AI company a dozen years ago they can’t ever give AI to the DoD ever in the future.
I work at Google DeepMind. This won't make me popular. But it's all public reporting: 2014: DeepMind reportedly sold to Google on conditions: no military use, independent oversight 2026: a Pentagon contract for "any lawful government purpose" Not one safeguard survived intact
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Kind of like how, between the invention of the automobile and the next couple of decades, cars blew past the speed humans could run but very quickly hit their limits... just like AI will.
Hardly anyone on Earth understands the magnitude of this. It's actually happening right now. Crazy that we get to witness it close up.
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The bull and bear case for SIMO investinginai.substack.com/p…
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It will hit a limit, like everything does... speed of light, absolute zero, lyapunov exponents... intelligence can't just get higher forever. Ramsey theory proves this.
Intelligence is improving exponentially
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My take on what companies benefit from this new phase of owning your own AI. investinginai.substack.com/p…
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Stress testing Anthropic's revenue before their IPO investinginai.substack.com/p…
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Haha. probably true
We now live in the "build forever" trap. Which I suppose comes before the "AI kills us all" trap. AI has made the marginal cost of changing software so low that it becomes harder to stop changing it. Soon we'll have BA: Builders Anonymous. For people who can't stop building.
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Rob May retweeted
People keep saying Trump term II is the most corrupt administration ever, so I built a model to find out if it was true. I took the UN's definition of corruption, turned it into eight criteria and 100 points, and scored the leaders history remembers for looting their countries: Marcos, Suharto, Mobutu, Abacha, Obiang, Putin. Then I put every president since Eisenhower on the same scale, both parties, with every exoneration counted right alongside the convictions. Nixon scored 41 and no other American President scored over a 25. Trump's second term scored a 91, which ties him with Suharto and Mobutu and puts him above Marcos and Abacha. So he is not only the most corrupt president in American history. At this pace he finishes his term level with the most corrupt rulers of the last hundred years. PSA: don't come in my comments arguing about the results if you haven't read the full article, because ignorance is a choice. Full article is up now on my Substack (link in bio) and it's free.
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Exactly what we do at Neurometric - see taskrouter.neurometric.ai
Monetization of software is dead now. Anyone can clone your app in few hours, copy your ads, ditto your positioning. I see a new opportunity now. Monetization of SLMs (small language models) You can fine-tune 0.5B to 12B models for specific use cases. Then sell licenses to these models like you do for SaaS. Models like Deepseek v4 pro, GLM 5.3, Kimi k3 or even GPT 6 Astra are really smart at understanding fine tuning jobs. From preparing the dataset, LoRA adapter, to exporting the model as GGUF or MLX, these models can do end-to-end jobs for you. I've fine-tuned 20+ models in last pne year and I'm surprised that not many people on X talk about this. A fine-tuned SLM can beat a SoTA model on specific use cases. That can drop API costs by 95%, make it 5x faster, and its your model, hosted privately. Custom SLM > SaaS now. Dive into this space.
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Actually, it makes us look strong. It's what is great about America - dissent doesn't get you put in jail like it does in most places.
I have no problem if you dislike President Trump. Where I draw the line is when you choose to vocalize it publicly. When our foreign rivals see American citizens criticizing their president, it makes us look weak. So if you have a negative thought about Trump — keep quiet.
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There will be no singularity. Check out Ramsey Theory. There is an upper limit to intelligence and humans are nearly there already.
NOT GOOD NEWS i was skeptical but have also now unfortunately done the work and seen the math and based on research and conversations with people in almost every major AI company... ...have come to the conclusion with 100% certainty that we are all going to die. The evidence shows especially those since 2022 that has been using AI as well as over 70% of the ones NOT even using AI; as well as at least 50% of the ones using AI for images, and 100% of the ones using AI agents, will also die and not survive. i cannot say if it is in 5 years or 50 but it is irrefutable––by even the skeptics who might want to disagree with this or accuse me of doom mongering––every body reading this is going to die with 100% certainty. not good news, i know.
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A Gallup poll shows Americans are more worried about politicians messing with votes in the election than they are people voting who aren't supposed to. Crazy that our political leaders are now seen as the real threat to elections. reason.com/2026/09/09/the-tr…
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