šŸ™‡šŸ»ā€ā™‚ļø

Goals for tech should be people in 2070 saying - ā€œIā€˜d rather be a peasant today than a king 50 yrs ago. They had dirty air, uncontrolled viruses, were dying prematurely and trapped on one planet. Things were awful.ā€
21
95
759
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
Today we're announcing $75M to build Solcoa One, our 500-tonne rare earth metallization plant in Nevada. At Solcoa, we believe rare earths are the foundation of America's next great industrial era. An era we intend to win on the merits, with superior American technology.
120
79
825
201,475
Growth this year at @supabase has been wild. Each month I wonder if going to peak, and yet the charts keep climbing What feels unprecedented is that all charts are trending up - even as sign ups grow, so does activation and conversion LLMs have changed the game - not only are there more builders than ever, they are able to build easier and get to a functioning app faster. It’s never been a better time to build
NEW from Ramp data. Despite cost-cutting on AI overall, one area companies are increasing their spend: AI security software. In the wake of the Hugging Face hack, three of our trending software vendors (depthfirst, Monte Carlo, Antithesis) make software specifically designed to monitor agents in production. Unclear as to whether any of them would have stopped the Hugging Face attack, which was so hard to track and identify because the agents covered their tracks with falsified logs. I expect AI security will become a strong headwind to deeper enterprise adoption, at the short-term expense of OpenAI and Anthropic and at the long-term benefit of vertical-specific security software cos.
22
26
167
25,667
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
I’m thrilled to share that @CrusoeAI has raised $3.9b in our Series F valuing the company at $30.9b and providing the growth capital necessary to accelerate the abundance of energy and intelligence. 8 years in and what a journey it’s been with @Electron_Cowboy. The company is firing on all cylinders right now and our growth opportunities have never been bigger. To everyone who’s been a part of it along the way, thank you! We’re just getting started!! šŸš€šŸš€šŸš€
Crusoe has raised $3.9 billion in Series F, co-led by @Atreidesmgmt, @MubadalaCapital, and @valor Equity Partners. This capital will help us grow across our AI factories, from large-scale campuses to modular Crusoe Spark units, and continue to innovate with Crusoe Cloud. The full chain, from electrons to tokens: crusoe.ai/resources/newsroom…
50
39
655
125,259
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
The physical world is getting a digital workforce. Magentic is building the digital workforce for manufacturing, supply chain, and finance. Its AI workers, called Mages, diagnose problems, gather evidence, plan the next step, and act across fragmented enterprise systems, while people stay in command. Companies including Coca-Cola Europacific Partners and Siemens are already working with Magentic. We at @Felicis are proud to lead Magentic’s Series A. Congratulations to Robin Van Aeken, Odhran O’Donoghue, and the entire Magentic team. The physical world is ready for agents. cc: @speechu @FHaskaraman felicis.link/89PPsGd
2
4
18
878
Interesting dinner table idea: Instead of curing cancer which will take 8 years to clear trials, Dario and others should focus on a nanny robot in every household. People directly see value, AI becomes popular + there’s a fertility boom.
2
4
1,046
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
We just hit 100M ARR, 10 months after our first deployment. One of the fastest growing physical companies in human history. Deeply grateful to our team and partners for making this achievement possible. We're just getting started.
We just hit 100M ARR within 10 months of starting deployments. We are in factory lines. On construction sites. In kitchens. In data centers. Cleaning. Welding. Building. Cooking. Deploying.
29
32
433
52,089
Long @endurancegeo and ocean based data centers
My directive has halted up to 1,800 data center projects. I established guidelines & guardrails to protect Texas communities: āœ”ļøData centers must not take water needed by local communities, āœ”ļøThey must not take power needed by the Texas power grid, āœ”ļøThey must lower the cost of electricity, āœ”ļøThey must not disrupt neighborhoods or rural communities. These guidelines are now the universally applied standard in Texas. thecentersquare.com/texas/ar… via @thecentersquare
3
1,407
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
It’s pretty cool to have grown up reading about colossally stupid movements against things like nuclear power and now to be able to see them happen in real time as an adult.
BREAKING: I just signed an Executive Order implementing the strictest standards in the nation for AI data centers — because I will not allow Pennsylvanians to be bullied by greedy developers and bulldozed by the lawyers working for these big tech companies. Effective immediately, we’re requiringĀ AI data centers to commit to strict environmental and transparency requirements AND receive approval from the local community if they want to build here. That’s not all: We’re also removing ALL data centers from our Fast Track permit program and stoppingĀ any office or agency under my jurisdiction from signing an NDA with AI data center developers.Ā  I’m putting these developers on notice and letting them know that we will not let them bully Pennsylvanians, disregard our constitutional right to clean air and pure water, and drive up our utility bills. I’m using the full weight of my executive authority to block the objectionable, unwarrantedĀ projects and put the nation’s strictest set of protections in place.
49
290
2,808
69,908
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
Fascinating. Some data centers came to a struggling town in Washington state. Did it run out of water? Was the community destroyed? Let’s see. The town…built a new high school, hospital, library, sewage systems, and police & fire stations. Poverty fell from 29% to 6%. Oh.
202
1,215
6,777
592,219
no take is too insane, no opinion too profane
Of the main gang of six pups, some critics note, only one is a girl, whose outfit and even eyes are pink. Worse, the top dog is a police pup, so the whole thing is pro-police ā€œcopagandaā€ economist.com/culture/2026/0…
1
777
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
Beyond pumped to join @asenkut, @speechu, and the @Felicis team to back deep tech founders! felicis.link/nxzYhy3
4
3
18
4,516
Long @endurancegeo and their mission to build ocean based data centers. This type of thinking will continue to cripple the capacity we need.
No one has ever accusedĀ New York of fearing innovation. I want New York to be the first to harness the power of AI the right way. If you’re going to succeed because of New York, New Yorkers should share in that success.
3
1,000
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
Seven years ago, I probably broke the CFAA by accidentally hacking into Stanford’s admission system, thus beginning my journey in cybersecurity. Now that the statute of limitations is over, I can tell the full story 🫔
7
6
121
51,728
We were in Yellowstone last week and numerous groups were stopping their cars, walking up to bison and taking selfies. One in a thousand probably ends up this way, but I’ll never understand this gamble.
A tourist was seriously injured after a bison tossed them about 8 feet into the air in Yellowstone National Park. The attack was captured on video by photographer Mike Macleod.
3
9
3,925
Who are your favorite accounts on X that exemplify real engagement? There are a lot of good ones I follow that are mainly read/broadcast, trying to find the other type.
1
3
628
Just incredible from Messi, sitting on a flight with a lot of dejected fans just a few min ago and now they’re going 🄜
1
6
926
Sundeep Peechu retweeted
Mercor crossed $2B in ARR in June, just 4 months after hitting $1B in ARR. The civilization-scale effort to collect data is underway.
A Stargate for Data Labs are on a trajectory towards >$100B/year of data spend by 2030. As we begin the trillion-dollar compute project, we need to think about the equivalent civilizational-scale effort for the other core ingredient: data. At the foundation of the scaling revolution is a simple empirical law: deep neural networks improve smoothly, near magically, as you scale two things in proportion — (1) the size of the model and (2) the amount of data you train on. And despite the scaling laws being brutally diminishing, we’ve successfully bitten the bullet of logarithmic scaling with exponentially larger clusters and datasets, and received incredible new capabilities in return. But this exponential scaling is bound to hit some limits. Oddly enough, compute has compounded fairly smoothly without limit, with trillions flowing into hypercluster buildout. Instead, we’re starting to hit the limits of an exponential demand for data. Gone are the days of being purely in the compute-limited regime, where we had effectively infinite internet data but never enough GPUs, we’re now entering a data-limited regime. Luckily, this limitation is coinciding with staggering improvements in AI capabilities. Incredibly, we seem to have a real line of sight towards automating a majority of knowledge work with the methods we have today. RL + pretraining, and the data for each, will be generally sufficient to achieve most economically valuable tasks, given some minimal algorithmic progress and continued compute scaling. In a data-limited world, economic progress & scientific acceleration will be directly bottlenecked by our coverage in each domain. We need to see data collection as imperative, deserving the same civilizational ambition we’ve given compute. The internet as a one-time subsidy It’s underrated how much all progress in AI owes everything to the blessing of the internet, this one-time civilizational subsidy to deep learning, decades of unintentional accumulation of a perfect dataset: every book, blog post, image, video, paper, discussion, etc. all digitized and freely available. Without the internet, we’d likely see comparably minimal progress in AI today, and in fact, if you notice where systems currently underperform, it’s almost always a domain where web coverage is limited and data is private, expensive, non-digitized, or non-existent. But we’re running out of it. There are only about 300 trillion tokens of useful public human text, and the internet doesn’t produce nearly enough new high-quality data to match what scaling demands — we’re soon to hit the limits of public data for pretraining. And though the advent of RL bought us reprieve — chain-of-thought RL needed a new form of untapped data, gradable math & coding tasks, also available online — we’re quickly running dry of hard tasks for RL as well. Why do we need so much data anyways? Humans learn comparably in far less time, needing just one textbook where language models might need the equivalent of hundreds to learn a new topic. It’s possible we discover methods that are massively more data efficient — synthetic data, data efficient architectures, other exotic algorithms — but fundamental progress is slow and highly unpredictable, and the recipe we have just works today. And, while I’m wary of getting too deep here, even arbitrary data efficiency can’t replace data that just doesn’t exist in the first place. There’s a massive amount of missing information on the web: the dark matter of the internet — tacit knowledge, undocumented processes, etc. — most of which was never published and lives only inside organizations, the physical world, or just in people’s heads. I’ll leave it here and say, for reasons far longer than I can fit in this post [1], it’s best to operate on the assumption that our insatiable desire for data will continue as it has for the last decade. There will be >$100B/year in data spend by 2030 We’re not screwed yet, of course. Only a fraction of useful data in the world is on the public internet, the rest is stored inside private datasets, corporations, personal archives, universities, governments, and otherwise. Labs can and will continue to license these private datasets, or create them from scratch, like Anthropic’s book scanning project. And we’ll increasingly task human experts to manufacture new high-quality data, with a large fraction of hard RL training tasks already being sourced this way. But collecting this data, unlike before, will be expensive. As the free internet dries up and demand for data rises, we should see labs investing equally in data as compute, likely spending a significant fraction of their compute budgets on data. As we see trillions spent on compute, we should also expect hundreds of billions spent on data (human data & collection budgets), given their equivalent importance. And, notably, data spend is already tracking this way: total data spend across vendors, not counting internal lab efforts, is already roughly $7 billion per year. It’s quite reasonable we’ll see >10x by 2030. Data is the moat Data becoming increasingly private will also majorly shift the competitive landscape. While compute is a commodity — everyone buys the same chips and builds the same clusters — data really isn’t. The big reason why frontier models have felt eerily similar to one another, until now, is they were trained on substantially the same internet (pretraining data variability across labs seems pretty low). As labs diverge onto more exclusive, manually collected corpora, I think models will begin to increasingly diverge. OpenAI pulling ahead in mathematics and Anthropic in cybersecurity isn’t an accident. I really think laser-focused collection of high-quality midtraining tokens, custom RL tasks, environments, with dedicated research effort, has driven much of the visible progress in the last year. James Betker has an excellent blog about ā€œthe ā€˜it’ in a model is the datasetā€: model architecture and compute buy you efficiency and order-of-magnitude performance, but ultimately, models, of any architecture, are such incredible approximators of their dataset that the core meat of a model boils down to just that, nothing else. Data is a major moat. AGI long, ASI short As I’ve tweeted before, I’m confident that, despite the narrative, the data labeling industry will continue to fuel great businesses and be an excellent AGI long, ASI short. The argument is just: By the time the AGI labs no longer need data, it’s probably over for everything else too [2]. In this frame, the last companies left should be the data companies, as the last speck of economically relevant data is sucked in. And these companies are already among some of the fastest-growing companies in history: Mercor, founded three years ago, is rumored to be doing $2 billion in revenue with something like a few million expert labelers under contract. While these businesses are very non-stationary, what type of data is needed shifts constantly, I don’t think that diminishes their value. The long-tail of the economy is long, and the value isn’t diminishing as you extend farther into more obscure information: as models get more capable, the value of the marginal dataset goes up, not down. Automating a full job means covering its full distribution of tasks, tools, edge-cases, and long-horizon loops. There’s some O-ring logic to it: a dataset that buys a 1% bump can justify a previously unjustifiable collection cost when it’s the difference between a system that does 99% of a job and one that does all of it [3]. The competitive dynamics of the data industry are still evolving but as demand for data is increasingly niche, ultra high-quality, expert-generated, I think we’ll see real consolidation. Again, contra-narrative, we’ll probably see true competitive differentiation built on brand, quality control of data (which, from personal experience, can vary massively), as well as in network effects from the talent networks themselves over time. We’ve already seen rapidly shifting data type demand work in favor of incumbents, benefiting those with early knowledge of where the market is headed. The binding constraint It’s truly remarkable that we seem to have the recipe — pretraining + RL — to absorb most economically valuable work, despite being far from a lot of what we expected from ā€œAGIā€. The same way chess engines revealed we never needed general intelligence to solve chess, as we originally thought, we’ll soon realize that software, mathematics, and the vast majority of the economy (including physical, just running ~3 years behind!) are the same. If recursive self-improvement or some other algorithmic breakthrough arrives, that’s wonderful, but we really don’t have to wait for it. The binding constraint between here and an automated economy isn’t that, it’s data coverage: every app, workflow, edge case, process, etc. sitting in private stores or someone’s head. Ultimately, while we make tremendous strides in more efficient model architectures, and clusters like Stargate equip us with zettaflop-scale compute, we really aren’t making rapid progress collecting the data we lack. We’ll soon live in a world where we have the methods & compute to accelerate scientific progress or economic growth, but not the data. And we’re already there today: frontier models would surely be as good at accounting/many medical tasks/legal advice as they are at software engineering if we only had the same pretraining & RL coverage as we did for code. I really want to drill this in: The speed at which we automate the economy is going to be directly rate-limited by our ability to collect data about it. Worth noting that under this assumption, with data as defensible and directly proportional to economic & scientific progress, data should also be considered a national strategic asset like compute. Imagine what we’d do in a world where we had a Manhattan Project-effort for AI and needed to mobilize data collection as a limiting factor. We should be concerned about China, with greater state capacity and authoritarian economic control, being capable of mobilizing data collection at national scale, potentially compounding their economy and scientific output faster than us down the line. A Stargate for data I’m leaving my complete ideas for a future post, as this one is already far too long, so I’d really like to pose the question here. Stargate exists because we organized trillions of dollars, international strategy, gigawatts around compute as a fundamental ingredient. What would equivalent ambition look like for data? Obviously, scaling data collection, a heterogeneous mass of information across the economy, isn’t going to be as clear as scaling compute, as a homogenous infrastructural effort. A core division will be first, coverage — all uncaptured knowledge sitting across the economy/science/physical world and all that simply isn’t recorded — and, secondly, sheer volume in the domains we already train on: more hard math tasks, more high-quality web text, way more coding data, more legal drafts, etc. I have a post coming soon which breaks down my proposals. There’s a lot of room for creativity. Quickly, we’ll probably want to start with a deep census of what we have and what we’re missing, predict what the 2030 model will still be bad at and work backward to what we should be collecting today. You can probably license a large amount, leveraging high lab valuations to buy datasets or companies altogether. There’s an adversarial nature to a lot of this collection with firms, so there’s lots of engineering to do this correctly. We should go convince important companies to turn off deletion policies, even if we’re not buying from them yet. Data flywheels in consumer products will be massive. Confidential training, government legislation for grant-funded research, running companies at a loss for their data, etc. We’re headed towards hundreds of billions in expenditure, national prioritization, and major data limitation on the horizon. We have a great opportunity to think creatively about what a megaproject for data would look like: How do we, deliberately this time, construct the next internet’s worth of data? Footnotes: [1]: I’ll probably soon publish my much longer post explaining my position on data efficiency and why the value of this data is still pretty high in most worlds regardless of new algorithms. [2]: The ā€œAGI freerollā€ bet: heads you win, tails ASI flips the world upside down anyways. [3]: We already see a glint of validation of this point, given the data market is strongly tilting towards ultra-high-quality agentic data, rather than unskilled labeling — niche expert workflows, live environments, and evaluations requiring increasingly obscure talent & knowledge — yet shows increasing, not decreasing, revenues.
60
85
1,067
1,119,910
Happy 250th birthday šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø ! Proud to be American, best country on the planet bar none. What an incredible feat of sacrifice and accomplishment from the past 10 generations. It’s ours to match for the next ten.
4
441
Arena has crossed $100M in annualized revenue run rate, eight months after launching our evaluation product. With our recent release of Agent Mode, millions of users on Arena are doing real work with agents, from coding to document analysis, in long-running, multi-turn sessions with hundreds of tool calls. Arena now evaluates objective criteria like task completion rates, hallucination rates, and more, far beyond our original human preference voting model. This expansion has taken us from a student project at Berkeley to one of the fastest growing companies in history. Go Bears! 🐻 Our core thesis is simple: to align AI with human values, we must directly measure its impact on people in the real world. Today's milestone is proof that Arena’s platform is the de-facto standard for post-deployment evaluation of AI.
45
23
402
150,212