Co-founder @JLPartnersPolls | Giving our clients the conviction to lead | #rstats | #dataviz | via @UniofOxford

London
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NEW J.L. Partners likely voters poll for @DailyMail Donald Trump: 49% (+3) Kamala Harris: 46% RFK Jr: 1% Chase Oliver: 1% Jill Stein: 1% Undecided: 2% 1000 LV, landline live call/cell live call/SMS-to-web/in-app, Oct 26-29 Data: jlpartners.com/nationwide-li… dailymail.co.uk/news/article…
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BREAKING: US annual interest expense is up to a record 18.5% of federal government revenue. This is officially above the previous record of 18.4% set in 1991. This percentage has more than QUADRUPLED over the last 4 years as interest expenditures on public debt skyrocketed. US annual interest expense now stands at a record $1.25 trillion, more than 4x the level seen in 1991. Meanwhile, the 30Y Treasury yield is trading at ~5.21%, just 13 basis points from its highest level since 2007. By comparison, the 30-year yield was oscillating at ~8.00% in 1991, underscoring how much the US debt burden has grown since then. The US debt crisis is in uncharted territory.
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
Global bond markets have caught on fire. The most notable spike in long-term yields is happening for the US and France, but at this point the rise in long-term yields is truly a global phenomenon. Reckless fiscal policy is catching up with governments... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/…
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
Little piece from me for @arguablymag on why we Westminster electoral reform is more plausible now than it has been for generations arguably.uk/p/electoral-refo…
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
📻"Water security is food security, but food security is national security". BBC Farmwatch day has officially begun 🚜📣 NFU President Tom Bradshaw started the day by speaking to @BBCBreakfast about the importance of water availability for farmers and growers. #BBC #Farmwatch
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Absolutely mind blowing achievement
The A350-1000ULR has crossed the equator. If the current ETA holds, it'll spend around 24 hours in the air. 😮
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
The A350-1000ULR has crossed the equator. If the current ETA holds, it'll spend around 24 hours in the air. 😮
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
Telemundo’s final number is 23.2 million viewers. Combined with Fox’s 21.8 million, Sunday’s Mexico–England match averaged 45.0 million viewers in the U.S. — the most-watched soccer telecast ever in the United States. It’s the most-watched non-NFL sports telecast in decades.
Sunday’s Mexico–England match averaged 21.742 million viewers on Fox — the most-watched non-USMNT WC telecast in English-Lang history. That’s a total of 44.9M when combined with Telemundo’s prelim — which will be more with final numbers. Good chance this outpaces USA-Belgium.
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
After 27 days straight of football, there are no games today...
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⚽️ England 3 - 2 Mexico 😴 At 2am, it turns out even England fans need their sleep. 📈 Demand rose by 400 MW at half-time as supporters stayed up for the drama. 🇳🇴 @Statnett, shall we compare both the electricity data and the scoreline after Saturday? 😉
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Woah amazing story
Rare copy of US Declaration of Independence found by volunteer in UK archives bbc.in/4aST8ir
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
NEW EP 🎙️ Does being a good mayor make you a good prime minister? I called up every metro mayor across the country and got the low down from @andy4wm @olivercoppard @KiMcGuinness @ClaireWard4EM & Helen Godwin. Link below ⬇️
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Our latest polling of Londoners 👇
NEW: polling of 2,000 Londoners for @LSEnews in @theLDNstandard finds that six-in-ten women say the capital is becoming less safe Co-founder @tmlbk said: "When a majority of women in London feel the city if getting less safe then that is a blow for Sadiq Khan. No amount of crime stats can outdo that lived experience and the effects that it has on how people feel and live their lives" standard.co.uk/news/london/v…
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🔺Andy Burnham favourability 55 points higher than Keir Starmer in Makerfield
Replying to @patrickkmaguire
***13 per cent*** of Makerfield voters still undecided: still a lot to squeeze Favourability scores: - Burnham +7 - Kenyon -16 - Farage -19 - Starmer -48 Full story: thetimes.com/uk/politics/art…
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
Massive fire in South London (seen from train having left Waterloo looking back east)
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New reactor vessel just dropped (or rather lowered slowly)
The reactor pressure vessel has been installed for the second of the two EPR reactors at the Hinkley Point C #nuclear power plant under construction in Somerset, England tinyurl.com/2mf5zyv7
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As I said on @TimesRadio this morning this is truly remarkable for a party set up by trade unionists with the primary purpose of securing representation for working people
NEW: Polling of public sector union members in @thetimes Westminster voting intention, change shown on 2024 REF 28 (+12) LAB 28 (-20) CON 13 (-3) GRN 11 (+6) LDEM 8 (-2) 14th-19th May 2026, representative sample of 1,002 public sector union members thetimes.com/uk/politics/art…
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
Polling of public sector union members: Reform: 28% (+12) Labour: 28% (-20) Con: 13% (-3) Green: 11% (+6) Lib Dem: 8% (-2) Changes w/2024 Via @JLPartnersPolls 14-19 May
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Tom Lubbock retweeted
How big would the 'Burnham bounce' need to be for Labour to hold Makerfield? Taking local elections and national swing as decent benchmarks, Andy Burnham's personal brand would need to be worth something close to 10-points or higher. That's a pretty tall order
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