$ASTS, $QS, $AUR | economics, theology, philosophy, and the UAP phenomenon | Lost access to @Defiantclient

Based in Canada
$ASTS: The work continues over at the @blueorigin New Glenn pad reconstruction. 🤝 teddit.net/r/BlueWire/s/qxW4…
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$ASTS $T: First wave of beta testing for first responders on @FirstNetGov / @FirstNet is inbound! Brought to you by @ATT and @AST_SpaceMobile. 🤝
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$ASTS $T: Another one! 👀 More connectivity. Fewer satellites.
$ASTS $T: 🚨 @ATT is now starting to advertise @AST_SpaceMobile service on Instagram 👀
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$ASTS $T: 🚨 @ATT is now starting to advertise @AST_SpaceMobile service on Instagram 👀
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$ASTS: Ali Esswie, Senior Director, 3GPP Standards & IP Strategy | 3GPP RAN & RAN 2 Delegate of @AST_SpaceMobile explains why AST is uniquely capable of providing indoor D2D. “The strongest direct-to-cell architectures must therefore be designed from the ground up around low-band operation, high uplink sensitivity, advanced beamforming, balanced orbit design, stable mobility, and sustained link margin to everyday phones.” lnkd.in/p/emF97ysA
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The event seems very promising. See Siva’s last sentence too.
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$QS: Posted by @QuantumScapeCo directly too. @QuantumScapeCo + US Department of Energy + @DeptofWar 🤝
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$QS: @QuantumScapeCo CEO Dr. Siva Sivaram is MAKING MOVES 👀 Here is your monthly reminder that current lithium ion batteries use graphite to make the anode and graphite is primarily sourced from China. QuantumScape’s solid state battery architecture is anode-less at manufacturing, effectively de-risking away from reliance on China. Watch this space. lnkd.in/p/gE27_YyW
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$ASTS: People are getting confused again about whether @AST_SpaceMobile is fully funded for ~100 BlueBirds. Besides the earnings call commentary going back to November 2025 (Q3 2025 call) already confirming the fully funded status, let's do the math. Even if you assume a higher price of $30M per BlueBird based on Falcon 9 pricing, you can do $30M times 100 = $3B CapEx needed, inclusive of both build and launch CapEx. How much cash and liquidity do they have today? 3.7B. AST has 3.7B today AFTER already paying for a bunch of launch, building and launching up to BB13, and having up to BB48 in various stages of production, including microns completed to BB36, and already ordered the supplies for a majority of BB90 as per the latest 10Q filing. The bottom line is even if AST had to reset TODAY from ZERO satellites they would STILL BE FULLY FUNDED for 100 BBs. Note: OpEx is in the range of ~400M annual. So 3.7B today would cover over 12 months of OpEx as well as build and launch costs of 100 BlueBirds at a $30M per BlueBird price point, if AST had to reset from 0 BlueBirds.
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Leipzig is where Antonov home base is
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$ASTS: Tom Carrubba, SVP of Manufacturing Operations at @blueorigin wrote on LinkedIn 👇 Another GS2 (New Glenn 2nd Stage) rolled out of Rocket Park this week. It’s on its way to NASA's Stennis Space Center for testing. This vehicle is significant as it is starting our new tempo to scale production to higher rates. We are building momentum in production at Blue Origin while we continue to rebuild the pad, and there's more right behind it. Thank you to everyone who made this milestone happen. Proud of this team. It's Worth It! linkedin.com/posts/tomcarrub… Credit to r/BlueWire for the find: teddit.net/r/BlueWire/s/pb4Z…
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$ASTS $TMUS $SPCX: "Just to put this beyond doubt, we do not see the value of doing an MVNO with a LEO operator because our MVNO strategy has remained consistent and coherent right through. We look at places where there is an incremental TAM to be got, either because of distribution or brand or access. We just do not see the case for that." - @SriniGopalan, CEO and President of @TMobile Crystal clear T-Mobile won't do an MVNO deal with @SpaceX / @Starlink Mobile
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It's 10 launches with two providers, not just SpaceX here's my mark up but notice how they only show 9 more launches, not 10. I think because this is Plan A. And I think they have a Plan B where if New Glenn is too slow then they'll just have to use another SpaceX (the missing "10th" launch)
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$ASTS: Well said
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$ASTS $SPCX $TMUS: Berenberg is very good at this. 🤝
$ASTS: 🚨BERENBERG RESEARCH BUY RATING, $92 PRICE TARGET "US carriers are making the case for us" ➡️ What happened: It has been a busy week for AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) newsflow. At Citi’s Global TMT Conference on 9 September 2026, T-Mobile US (TMUS) CFO Peter Osvaldik said SpaceX is “not a competitive threat from a wireless perspective at all”, ruling out a Starlink MVNO, a backdoor MVNO via acquisition, FCC-mandated roaming (which excludes data), a femtocell build and a fourth network (“no path to the right level of spectrum assets”). Verizon (VZ) CFO Tony Skiadas said satellite is “complementary to our business”, that Verizon uses “partnerships such as AST, Skylo, Globalstar” for rural and remote areas, and that a satellite MVNO “does not add to our distribution”. ➡️Two of three US carriers dismiss the disintermediation bear case: The risk that Starlink uses direct-to-device (D2D) to bypass carriers hangs over the sector. This week, Starlink’s own D2D partner and an AST SpaceMobile anchor customer have both said they will not wholesale their networks to a satellite operator. If it holds, this closes the most direct route to a standalone satellite carrier and, in our view, supports the carrier-aligned model at the heart of our Buy case, in which operators procure satellite coverage as a complement rather than being replaced by it. ➡️T-Mobile physics comments are an argument for the ASTS architecture: The T-Mobile CFO’s core critique of Starlink D2D was link budget, meaning a handset transmitting to a satellite 350km up has so little signal left that it “cannot get through buildings, walls, you cannot even get through a Tesla windscreen”. That is the constraint ASTS’s 2,400 sq ft arrays are designed to overcome, and the basis for the in-vehicle reach and c100 Mbps speeds the company has demonstrated. He framed the limit as universal, so we do not claim any outright endorsement, but the failure mode he described is the one that ASTS is meant to address. ➡️Both carriers define the gap that ASTS fills: Verizon’s Skiadas said 99% of Verizon’s network covers where people live and work, 95% of revenue is urban and suburban, and satellite works “where a cell site does not make sense for us”, adding “it is a market, it is just not our market”. That is an ASTS anchor partner suggesting it will not build towers into the gap ASTS fills. Verizon’s capex reduction and T-Mobile’s claim that AT&T has diverted capex to fibre both make a low-cost coverage layer more useful to ASTS partners. ➡️No change to the T-Mobile catalyst: T-Mobile referenced its Starlink partnership without any hint of dissatisfaction, and satellites did not feature in its list of growth drivers. We read these remarks as T-Mobile treating D2D as a coverage feature rather than a revenue line, which may remove urgency to switch suppliers but makes sourcing through a pooled carrier joint venture, where ASTS is the aligned vendor, a plausible outcome. Our c$29 per share T-Mobile scenario remains optionality, not base case. ➡️Estimates unchanged: We make no changes to our estimates or our $92 price target. The comments do not advance our T-Mobile agreement catalyst, but they remove weight from the Starlink bear case and, in our view, describe the problem ASTS is building to solve. ➡️Valuation: We value ASTS on 15x 2030 EBITDA discounted back at 15%.
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$ASTS $SPCX: As noted by Ookla @Speedtest, data slows and calls start to fail below -105 dBm. Starlink Direct-To-Cell has a median signal strength ranging from -117 dBm to as terrible as -123 dBm. lnkd.in/p/gDPp4hJS
$ASTS $SPCX: 🚨Ookla @Speedtest report shows that @Starlink Mobile Direct-To-Cell has a median signal strength ranging from -117 dBm to as terrible as -123 dBm. These signal strength measurements are so poor that it's essentially considered as SPOTTY TO NO SERVICE. 1/2 🧵 wilsonamplifiers.com/blog/ho…
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$ASTS: Sriram Jayasimha, Chief Scientist, Commercial Applications, @AST_SpaceMobile was recently on a panel discussing D2D/D2C applications on the moon. 👀 lnkd.in/p/gY3WdjJs
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$ASTS: "AST SpaceMobile’s BlueBird satellites provide critical support to the Defense community." - Michael Pollack, Executive VP for Government Strategy, BD & Sales, @AST_SpaceMobile lnkd.in/p/gtDzspWS
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I think final testing is just taking longer than expected. Maybe found an issue there that they had to fix and then re-test (TVAC, vibration). The 10Q already clarified that BB6 is fine. "Since deployment, BB6 has been used for testing and optimizing the new and unique features associated with the largest phased array." See below screenshot. They also said in the call, "Our largest, newest, fully composite BlueBird satellites are operating as expected." They also said, "This will be with a technology that is already showing broadband speeds of over 100 megabits per second to extremely low profile and sized devices." --- This is done with Block 2, not Block 1.
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The first two launches with Blue will be 4 and then 6 BBs. Meaning we have SpaceX launches for up to BB35 or 38. Here’s my markup.
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Just 1 or 2 BO. Here's my markup. Note that they have 10 launches booked with two providers, but they only showed 9 more in their table. I think they have a Plan A and a Plan B. My markup is what I think their Plan A is. Plan B would be if Blue Origin is too slow and they launch another SpaceX.
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$QS: Ever since Dr. Siva Sivaram became the CEO of @QuantumScapeCo in February 2024, the company has always met their key annual goals on time. Now there are less than 4 months remaining in the year and all 4 goals of 2026 remain to be checked off. I'm bullish. 🔋
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$AUR: @aurora_inno CEO Chris Urmson writes on LinkedIn 👇 Almost 20 years ago, @nuro co-founder Dave Ferguson and I won the DARPA Urban Challenge together. Now we're both running AV companies putting AI on public roads — and we agree on one thing: in safety critical spaces, being right isn't optional. It's easy to build an impressive demo. It's much harder to build one you can actually trust when it's making decisions in the real world. That's the conversation Dave and I got into for the first episode of his new podcast, Unsupervised. ps – I did burn that couch. Watch: lnkd.in/gdJe9XMu lnkd.in/p/gD7W4zVw
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$ASTS: @JamannerManner updates from LinkedIn! "Honored to be invited by #itu and #miit to speak at the High Level Seminar on Space for Development on D2D and WRC-27 AI 1.13. Discussed how #astspacemobile is bringing space-based broadband D2D service to the globe and the importance of having an internationally harmonized D2D-IMT regime with realistic technical requirements. Great discussion with a truly global group of colleagues. Looking forward to a successful resolution at WRC!" lnkd.in/p/g26Bmxmu
$ASTS: Update! @JamannerManner will be a speaker tomorrow on Panel 3: WRC-27 Agenda Item 1.13 and related MSS issues. The other guests on the panel are also notable... 👀 itu.int/high-level-seminar-s…
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$ASTS: Today in the Wireless Infrastructure Association's webinar: "Satellite Direct-to-Device: Promise, Reality, and the Future of Connectivity", @TMFAssociates said he thinks SpaceX will take 90% of the D2D market share. Meanwhile, @AST_SpaceMobile: + Signed partnerships with over 60 MNO partners globally who collectively cover over 3 billion subscribers. + Network integration and testing activities now underway across European countries with Vodafone, Orange, Telefónica, Vodafone Ukraine, and Deutsche Telekom as well as in other key markets including Canada, Japan, and Saudi Arabia, subject to final regulatory approvals. + Nearly 50 gateways across five continents in various stages of completion, installation, and planning ahead of service. Added to the list: istimwrongagain.com/
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$ASTS: Update! @JamannerManner will be a speaker tomorrow on Panel 3: WRC-27 Agenda Item 1.13 and related MSS issues. The other guests on the panel are also notable... 👀 itu.int/high-level-seminar-s…
$ASTS: 🚨Jennifer Manner, SVP of Regulatory Affairs and International Strategy at @AST_SpaceMobile will be a speaker at the @ITU Radiocommunication Bureau & China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's "High-level seminar on Space for development" on August 31 to September 2. Other representatives will be from @ITU, @GSOA_SAT, and @viasat. 🤝 itu.int/high-level-seminar-s…
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$ASTS: @cisnerosadriana files for 3 family purchases of @AST_SpaceMobile 🤝 1) By Spouse: +1,384 shares, totalling 787,575 held 2) By Entity, 1979 Edendale Investments Ltd., an entity held by The Adriana Cisneros 2014 Portfolio Trust: +8,768 shares, totalling 796,353 held 3) By Child: +670 shares, totalling 797,023 held Total purchases: 10,822 shares Total held: 2,380,961 shares held by the above 3 entities app.quotemedia.com/data/down…
$ASTS Insider purchased $619.2K worth of shares: filingtracker.ai/filing/1749…
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$QS: Dr. Siva Sivaram, President & CEO of @QuantumScapeCo emphasizes on the defense application of QS batteries on LinkedIn "QuantumScape is developing safe solid state battery technologies here in San Jose, California that do not use any graphite. Our core component, the ceramic separator, is made entirely of earth-abundant materials. The surest way to end U.S. reliance on Chinese graphite is to stop using graphite altogether." lnkd.in/p/gPyrD8JN
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$ASTS $SPCX: 🚨Ookla @Speedtest report shows that @Starlink Mobile Direct-To-Cell has a median signal strength ranging from -117 dBm to as terrible as -123 dBm. These signal strength measurements are so poor that it's essentially considered as SPOTTY TO NO SERVICE. 1/2 🧵 wilsonamplifiers.com/blog/ho…
There are tons of neat stuff in Luke Kehoe's latest article on D2D, but this might be my favorite part: ookla.com/articles/spain-sta…
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$ASTS: @AST_SpaceMobile is working fast to recruit new interns!
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$ASTS: @AST_SpaceMobile is hiring a Partner Technical Lead for each of Africa, Europe, and Japan. 👀
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Replying to @TNM2kd
engineering and development centers
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$ASTS: The @2degreesmobile @AST_SpaceMobile ground station was literally officially opened by the New Zealand government. AST SpaceMobile is sovereign, and complementary rather than competitive. 🤝
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$ASTS: @2degreesmobile CEO Mark Callander wrote on LinkedIn 👇 Just days ago, I made one of the first test calls through this site from Marton. This week, I was back to officially open the 2degrees Marton Satellite Ground Station. It was a special moment to see something that has been many months in the making come to life — through a significant investment by 2degrees, the hard work of our teams and partners, and a shared belief that New Zealanders should be able to stay connected in remote areas. The AST SpaceMobile technology works directly with the 2degrees network, opening up new possibilities for connectivity in places where traditional mobile coverage can be difficult to deliver. A big thank you to the Honourable Paul Goldsmith Minister for Media and Communications and Minister for Space, Ngāti Apa for the warm welcome and blessing of the site, Mayor Andy Watson, and everyone across AST SpaceMobile and 2degrees who has helped bring this to life. Proud of what we’ve achieved together — and even more excited about where it could take us next. Let's keep pushing. lnkd.in/p/g8fjF4TJ
$ASTS 2degrees (NZ): Today, we celebrate the official opening of the 2degrees Marton Satellite Ground Station – one of the first commercial AST SpaceMobile ground stations in the world. This marks amajor step toward us offering 2degrees satellite connectivity. Behind this milestone is significant work from our teams and partners. We’ve invested in locally supported, in-country infrastructure at Marton and integrated it with the global AST SpaceMobile network and our own. We have successfully made voice calls, video calls, and sent SMS and used data over the service, and are excited about what this will enable for our customers. We’re preparing for a future where customers can move easily between terrestrial and satellite networks - extending connectivity to remote roads, farms, backcountry, communities and workers where conventional infrastructure has been difficult or uneconomic to deploy. We’re proud to be among the early movers globally - because it’s only fair that more Kiwis can stay connected, wherever they are.
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$ASTS $SPCX: LEO to propel satellite IoT connections to 198 million A new forecast from Omdia predicts that satellite IoT connections will reach 197.7 million by 2035, up from just 7.7 million in 2023, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31%. LEO is the driving force, with a projected CAGR of 88.6% over the forecast period, compared to just 7.3% for geostationary Earth orbit (GEO) satellites. Coverage in-fill, and advances in IoT device capabilities and applications are two of the primary demand drivers, Omdia says. telecoms.com/satellite/leo-t…
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$ASTS: Today, Trevor Fong, Head of RAN, @2degreesmobile will be presenting "2degrees and AST SpaceMobile Update" at the ISPANZ 2026 Annual Conference. Watch out for any updates out of this conference! ispanz.org.nz/ispanz-2026-an…
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Replying to @DWDInvesting
No way -- they wouldn't say BB14-16 is "ready to ship shortly" with nowhere to ship to. The timeline you describe also does not match with their goal and publicly and legally disclosed expectations of launch capacity. "based on our current expectations regarding launch availability, we are targeting approximately 45 BB satellites in early 2027."
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Replying to @dixonhill432305

ALT facepalm GIF

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$ASTS $SPCX: Note that this is not simply a cash question. The wrench for SpaceX acquiring Grain spectrum is the FCC's required deployment timeline for the spectrum for November 30, 2029. docs.fcc.gov/public/attachme… Building out terrestrially won't meet the deadline and SpaceX satellites are not designed for low band nor do they forecast launching any satellites for low band. This was likely a leak from Grain's side to bid up the value of their spectrum in whatever deals they are in the middle of making for their spectrum deployment/buildout, whether that's negotiating with AST in a AST-Ligado style deal, or other.
$ASTS $SPCX: SpaceX, AST Said Seeking to Buy Spectrum Valued at $6 Billion - Bloomberg By Kelcee Griffis, Michelle F. Davis and Reshmi Basu (Bloomberg) -- SpaceX and AST Spacemobile Inc. are among the companies that have expressed interest in acquiring a swath of spectrum held by Grain Management LLC that’s valuable for providing wireless phone services directly from space, according to people familiar with the discussions. The 800 MHz-band licenses became available after Grain completed a spectrum swap this month with T-Mobile US Inc. The terms of that transaction, approved by the Federal Communications Commission, call for Grain to seek bids to develop the spectrum, which has been underutilized, according to the commission’s order. The commission has said it wants the bidding done by Nov. 5. Grain, a Washington-based technology and communications investment firm, has asked interested parties to submit preliminary offers by the first week of September, some of the people said, asking to not be identified because the discussions are private. Grain hopes to reap about $6 billion from selling the licenses, one of the people said, although the company’s plans could also involve leasing the capacity. It’s possible another bidder could emerge. Representatives for SpaceX, AST and Grain didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment. The licenses cover nearly the entire US population, and they’re seen as valuable for helping satellite providers establish a ground-based link for voice services, known as a network pilot. Grain is confident that satellite and terrestrial services can co-exist in the 800 MHz band even though it’s previously only been used for ground-based mobile services, one of the people said. The FCC said it wants to promote the growth of a new generation of satellite-based telecom networks that can fill gaps in land-based coverage and continue US leadership in the space-based communications industry. The commission created incentives for Grain to work with companies like AST and SpaceX, although the investment firm can also offer the spectrum to mobile phone companies, utilities and other providers, according to the order. T-Mobile inherited the 800 MHz band when it combined with Sprint Corp. in 2020, but it never utilized the licenses. T-Mobile’s original plan was to sell the spectrum to Dish Network Corp. when it was tasked with standing up a fourth nationwide wireless carrier, but Dish ultimately declined to purchase the licenses. The FCC earlier approved an arrangement under which T-Mobile traded the spectrum to Grain for a set of 600 MHz licenses and a $2.9 billion cash payment.
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