Freelance journalist die kan rekenen. Auteur van Labyrint van Occam, De Stikstoffuik (1.0 en 2.0), De Klimaatoptimist, Weg met Ons! en Statistische Valkuilen

Arnout Jaspers retweeted
She is sitting on television telling the story like it is a pleasant memory. She was on a bus. The radio said a suicide bomber had walked into the Sbarro restaurant. Three dead. She admits she was disappointed. She had wanted a bigger number. Two minutes later the radio said five. She tried to hide the smile but couldn’t. Praise Allah, she says. It was great. Around her the other passengers started clapping as the count went up. They didn’t know she was one of the bombers. On the way back they went through a Palestinian police checkpoint and the officers were laughing. One of them put his head in the window and said congratulations to us all. Everybody was happy. That’s not some fighter in a tunnel. That’s a woman on a bus, and the police of the Authority waving them through with a blessing. The world still talks about a peace process and a state as if this were a border dispute that ran long. You don’t hand a flag to a culture that treats a restaurant full of families as a scoreboard and then thanks Allah when the number moves. This is what they are. This is what they celebrate. This is what they want to reward.
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
1.8 million Syrian refugees have returned home since Dec 2024. But do you notice which countries and regions they’re returning from, and which they aren’t? Temporary asylum in the West is never temporary.
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Rob Jetten hield zijn historische toespraak tot de VN (citeerde Anne Frank en de aanklager van het Neurenberg tribunaal; riep heel dapper "Hands off the ICC!" - wow, heavy shit!) voor een driekwart lege zaal.
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(1/2) Ik ben 1 keer, als journalist, bij zo'n type evenement geweest: de jaarvergadering van de IAEA in Wenen. Zelfde idee: plenaire zaal waarin elk van de ~100 lidstaten z'n praatje doet. Hemeltergende tijd- en geldverspilling. Dan en daar gezworen om nooit meer naar zoiets
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(2/2) toe te gaan. Op de toespraken van een paar belangrijke landen na, luistert vrijwel niemand naar die praatjes. 90 procent van de tijd is de zaal 90 procent leeg. Dagverblijf voor honderden nietsnutten in maatpakken.
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Er waren dus meer afgevaardigden weggelopen dan bij de speech van Netanyahu, maar het verschil is dat ze wel wisten wie Netanyahu is.
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
A new report by UNICEF shows Gaza has one of the lowest child malnutrition rates in the world. The so-called “worst famine in history” turns out to be the worst famine at being a famine. LITERALLY. 😭
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What genocidal regime gives a million polio vaccinations to the enemy's population? What genocidal regime enables the distribution of 2 million tons of food into Gaza? That's a tonne for every person. Accusing Israel of genocide is the greatest lie of the century!
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
🚨NEW: Our critique of a major "brain sex" study is now published. @AdamRochussen, @NeuroSGS, and I evaluate a central premise of gender activism and medicine: that trans-identifying people have brains that are shifted away from their sex and toward their "gender identity." The "brain sex" concept is so central because it purports to provide an empirical scientific basis for the notion that a child can be "born in the wrong body" and would therefore benefit from body-altering medical procedures to align their body with their mind/brain. The problem is that this concept is pure pseudoscience and propped up by deeply flawed methods and badly misinterpreted data. One of the most prominent studies is Kurth et al. (2022), published in the Journal of Clinical Medicine, which claimed that the brains of transgender women are shifted away from their sex and toward their "gender identity." The paper became one of the journal’s most accessed articles and has been cited in major media outlets, scientific papers, legal arguments, and policy discussions involving pediatric gender medicine and sports. We point out that the paper's headline conclusion rests on a series of serious methodological problems. Each group contained only 24 participants. The authors used poorly justified parametric methods, one-tailed post hoc tests, made no correction for multiple comparisons, and omitted important robustness checks. Once accounted for, the main finding is no longer statistically significant. An even more glaring failure of the study was that it failed to account for sexual orientation, despite its known association with neuroanatomical variation and despite the authors having the relevant participant data needed to examine it! We each repeatedly requested the anonymized participant-level data from the paper's lead author so we could independently evaluate the findings. We received no response. The evidence simply does not justify the sweeping "brain sex" conclusion for which this study has become famous. Our full critique in @Theory_Society is open access. Read it at the link below, and please cite it and share it whenever you encounter the false claim that trans people have brains that more closely resemble the sex they identify than their own sex. 🔗link.springer.com/article/10…
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
Incredible piece from former Hamas hostage Omer Shem Tov in the @WSJopinion this morning. One of his Hamas captors told him that the IDF had called his mother to warn her of an impending airstrike. We're living in a backwards world. 🔗👇
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
Avez-vous entendu parler de ce roman ? C’est le « phénomène de la rentrée littéraire ». Il est lauréat du Prix Fnac, du Prix Méduse, du Prix Première Plume, fortement pressenti pour le Prix Renaudot, et il est en lice pour les prix Goncourt, Femina, Médicis et Décembre. Ah oui, il est aussi en cours de traduction dans 20 langues. Eh bien selon Pangram, ce roman est rédigé presque intégralement par une Intelligence Artificielle. Nous avons testé plusieurs passages, à divers endroits du manuscrit, pour presque toujours le même résultat : 100% IA (cf les deux premiers chapitre dans le tweet ci-dessous). Rappelons que Pangram est de loin le détecteur d’IA le plus fiable : son taux de faux positifs est de 0,0041%, soit environ un texte humain sur 24 400. Sur 996 273 textes antérieurs à 2022, Pangram en classe uniquement 14 (0,0014%) comme étant partiellement écrits par l’IA. La probabilité que vingt passages d’un même livre (et il y a bien plus de 20 signalements dans le roman) soient identifiés à tort par Pangram comme étant produits par une IA s’élève donc à 0,0041% puissance 20, soit 0,1802 × 10⁻⁸⁵ %, c’est à-dire 0 suivi de 85 zéros après la virgule. N’aurait-il pas été plus honnête que l’auteur crédite son co-auteur ?
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
Official, reef-wide stat widely published as the Great Barrier Reef got worse But when it got better, official stat stopped Here is the optimal average (least-square) based on their own estimates from 1986-2020 aims.gov.au/monitoring-great… You can see all the references in my Twitter thread: nitter.net/BjornLomborg/status/20…
New 2026 data Great Barrier Reef: Last five years best on record Why doesn't the media tell you? aims.gov.au/monitoring-great…
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
The land was not stolen. It was purchased by Jews who then recovered it from nearly uninhabitable malarial marshes. The Jews bought the deadly land painted dark blue in this 1920 British Mandate Palestine malaria map. All the blue was malarial. The dark blue was so bad almost nobody could live there. That is what Jews purchased, usually from absentee landlords in Beirut and Damascus, at prices that assumed the parcels were worthless. Then Dr. Israel Kligler and the Joint Distribution Committee drained it, oiled it, put fish in the water, and broke the fever. People stopped dying. Arab villages saw a population explosion because the swamp stopped killing them. That growth later got sold as “they stole our land.” Now look at the UN’s 1947 partition map next to the malaria map. The Jewish share tracks the coastal valley land they made livable, plus the sand of the Negev Desert. Still, the Arabs said no to any Jewish sovereignty and opened a war. Five Arab armies followed to destroy the Jewish state. Before that war, nobody was displaced. Partition would have left that number at zero.
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
!!
Nederland 🇳🇱: 265.000 asielzoekers sinds 2020. Denemarken 🇩🇰: ~16.000. Zelfde periode. Denemarken wordt geleid door Mette Frederiksen, sociaaldemocraat, die openlijk zei dat haar doel 'nul asielzoekers' is, en dat beleid ook uitvoerde. Als een socialist dat kan, wat is dan eigenlijk het excuus van ons minderheidskabinet @vvd @cdavandaag @D66? Het kan wel, maar we willen niet? Bron: rijksoverheid.nl/actueel/nie…
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
Piek hypocrisie: >22 weken oude, levensvatbare baby's ter wereld brengen en laten creperen een 'proef' noemen. Wat ga je dan 'beproeven'? Hoe snel die baby's dood gaan door onthouden van zorg? Of de moeder geen spijt krijgt? Of de ruiten van de kliniek niet worden ingegooid?
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
Arabs have repeatedly told me in Arabic that "The West is a woman to be mounted." The virtues that we hold dear (compassion, empathy, kindness, generosity) are interpreted as feminized weakness. The West does not possess Cultural Theory of Mind, as I explain in Suicidal Empathy. Some values are universally shared; others are not. Understanding this taxonomy will either save or break our civilization.
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
Israel has launched a new campaign against the UN, calling out its self-reinforcing anti-Israel echo chamber. There's a damning dossier on the UN's systematic informational bias against Israel: govextra.gov.il/mda/un/bias/…
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
THIS. IS. ISRAEL. A Hamas commander is identified. Riding on a motorcycle in Gaza. But he is in an area with civilians. Israeli security forces wait. And then - when he is not near anyone else. The order is given to eliminate him. WATCH to see for yourselves…
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Arnout Jaspers retweeted
Zagen we ook aan Kaag: Nederland is voor de D66-toppertjes niet echt interessant. VN, EU, internationale NGO's, dat is hun natuurlijke biotoop. Dat mag, maar doe dan niet alsof je in de politiek zit omdat je zo begaan bent met Nederland (laat staan met autochtone Nederlanders).
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I was trying to help famed Gaza photojournalist @PalPress24 create more realistic victims to dupe western progressives, but it turns out he’s a BIGOT. First I reach out offering to meet and assist.🧵1/3
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