Distinguished Professor of Political Science Utica University; Director of @UCen4PubAffairs; National Political Correspondent @WCNY

Clinton, New York
A talk by @uticauniversity Prof. @PolSciLukePerry '25 #Fulbright at @KaroliEgyetem Institute of English Studies: Understanding the 2024 U.S. Elections & Beyond
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I enjoyed meeting my colleagues @ELTE_UNI @PazmanyU & taking my first walk up Gellért Hill with Károly Pintér.
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It's an honor to be the Fulbright László Országh Distinguished Scholar in American Studies & teach in Budapest this fall. @FulbrightHU provided an excellent orientation. Great to meet the staff, fellow grantees, & learn more about Hungary!
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Rep. Williams up unofficially 52%-43% (+5k votes) in Oneida County w/all districts reporting. Much less than 2022 when he was elected & won Oneida 62%-38% (+18k votes). The county is playing an important swing role in the reconfigured #NY22 that is now Syracuse-centered.
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Rep. Williams won Oneida County 63% to 38% in 2022. He is currently up 51% to 44% (per NY BOE) w/93 of 115 districts reporting. This difference is a major reason for Sen. Mannion's current 11 point lead early on. #NY22
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.@PolSciLukePerry tells @sarbetter on @CapitalTonight regarding #NY22: “I think [Democrats] are in a strong position, whoever wins the primary, to take that seat from Brandon Williams.”
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Luke Perry retweeted
Host David Chanatry, @PolSciLukePerry & Rick Fenner of @uticauniversity, Lisa Dolak of @SyracuseU, and @DrBenBaughman of @GannonU discuss Biden stepping down, Kamala Harris' potential pick, and the FL judge's ruling on the Trump document case, Watch tonight at 8 p.m. on WCNY-TV.
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Grab a pen and paper because @PolSciLukePerry , @SarahPralle, @Ty_Seidule, Rick Fennerand I will be reccmmending books for your summer reading list. #IvoryTower @WCNYPBS 8 tonight, 5:30 Saturday, streaming anytime.
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The @NYSBOE has just released updated enrollment numbers for #ny22 after redistricting. They are: DEM 174,133 REP 144,327 CON 8,367 WFP 2,177 OTH 22,140 N/E 132,024 Total 483,168
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2022 NY-Gov results on this map: #NY01: Zeldin +19.6% #NY02: Zeldin + 16.6% #NY03: Zeldin +6.6% #NY04: Zeldin +9.8% #NY11: Zeldin +3.4% #NY17: Hochul +5.2% #NY18: Zeldin + 9% #NY19: Zeldin +6.4% #NY22: Hochul +6.8% Viewable here, thanks to @SR_spatial: newyork.redistrictingandyou.…
SCOOP: sources close to the NY legislature tell @CookPolitical Dems are seriously considering enacting the remedial map they proposed to the special master in 2022. Map would hurt Malliotakis, Lawler & Williams but keep several other seats competitive in bid to pass court muster.
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Luke Perry retweeted
Watch at 5:30 pm on #WCNY-TV. David Chanatry and @PolSciLukePerry of @uticauniversity, Anirban Acharya of @LeMoyne, Chad Sparber of @colgateuniv, and Sarah Pralle of @SyracuseU discuss the #US Southern Border, #SAT scores, and State and local #Government Tax Caps.
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Luke Perry retweeted
Mitt Romney: “I think the border is a very important issue for Donald Trump. And the fact that he would communicate to Republican senators and congresspeople that he doesn't want us to solve the border problem because he wants to blame Biden for it is is really appalling."
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I understand the larger electoral dynamics & that winner-take-all contests are forthcoming, but odd to me that @NikkiHaley trailing 32 to 17 in search of 1,215 delegates is noticeably missing from post-NH national narratives of her getting crushed & the campaign being over.
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The Dem #NewHampshirePrimary is odd & disjointed. No clarity on whether dropping IW/NH is just a Biden thing or more = big ? facing Dems on Nov 6. SC more racially representative, but less so ideologically. How important is retail politics in vetting process open question.
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Little focus on gender at #NewHampshirePrimary though @NikkiHaley stump & inspiration for running premised on being married to a combat vet who returned w/PTSD. What to make of this (good & bad) & whether being a woman helps or hurts her against Trump are relevant questions.
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