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Bob Moran retweeted
This is incredible
We’re releasing a broad range of new mathematical results produced by an internal frontier model.
We’ve been consulting with the independent Advisory Group on Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence at the Institute for Advanced Study, and we have drawn on their advice and public recommendations to inform how we release these results.
github.com/openai/math
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Bob Moran retweeted
One science fiction film has gone to philosophical depths in asking what the human race would do if it knew it was going to die out.
Aniara is the story of a space vessel with 100s on board, bound for colonies on Mars, that through a collision with debris is redirected onto an unstoppable journey into deep space.
It becomes a "generation ship" but it is headed to oblivion. It asks what we survive for.
Deeply haunting, the Swedish Danish film was based on a 1956 epic poem by Harry Martinson.
The film had a modest budget of €1.9 million and was almost entirely state funded, by Sweden, Denmark and local funds.
It's brave for countries to use state funds on sci-fi.
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Bob Moran retweeted
This is the best article I’ve seen on Twitter written about sex.
I fully endorse it and live by it.
It’s all about having fun and exploring each other’s sexuality together and figuring out how to turn each other on more and more and more and more
The climax is just the cherry on the top
The real fun in the foreplay and teasing them
I try not to comment too explicitly (and I'm not trying to insult this person) about sex but this needs to be said:
1. I have regularly explained that young people today don't know how to have sex at all, and what they're actually doing is using each other as masturbatory objects (or sometimes engaging in a kind of theatrical performance). Men and women are both terrible at it.
2. The most obvious sign that you shouldn't have sex is a lack of enthusiasm (with a minor caveat).
Playful resistance (very careful with this, because you can't get it wrong) is fine but boredom isn't, and a hard "no" also isn't.
3. If a woman just lays there "like a starfish," stop... NOT because you're violating her but because it's a humiliation ritual.
Don't get mad at her lack of enthusiasm. Telling her "why aren't you more enthusiastic?!!" won't work.
Just say "you're not interested, and that's okay, but I'm not interested in masturbating with your body." Don't say it as a pleading statement to try and induce excitement but as a statement of fact, and then shut it down. Have some dignity.
4. Sex is categorically distinct from masturbation. They seem the same but they're not.
People who chronically masturbate train their sexual responses to being stationary and often can't perform when having to move around (because sex is active).
But also... they don't learn how to do all of the other stuff.
5. Sex is exploratory and is heavily focused on heightening arousal. Porn ASSUMES arousal.
Sex involves figuring out how the person responses to various stimuli and how that response changes. Something that feels good at one time might be unpleasant later.
Sex is about figuring all of that out... and in the process of doing that, orgasms happen. Sex IS NOT ORGASM FOCUSED. That's masturbation.
6. Sex is also PARTICULAR to a person but masturbation isn't.
What most people do, today, is develop a set of actions that they like (kinks or triggers) and they enact them with another person. The person is replaceable. THAT'S MASTURBATION... just using another person's body.
Why would someone be enthusiastic about that? Very few are.
Sex is, again, particular to a specific person.
Most people aren't enthusiastic about sex today because everyone is bad at it.
7. Foreplay is not 5 minutes of oral to make her wet or him hard, before trying to rush to an orgasm.
Foreplay is how you conduct yourself all day, thus creating excitement for sex. It's what you wear, how you perform throughout the day, and small moments of touch.
You have to build up excitement.
8. Am I full of crap? I am not interested in sharing personal stories but... take a small leap of faith. I'm not suggesting anything dramatic, but if you do... it'll improve your outcomes dramatically.
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Bob Moran retweeted
My (very autistic) mother always read this book to me as a cautionary tale with the octopus as the villain. When she found out that giving up his scales to ungrateful peers was the message of the book she got so mad she started crying.
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Bob Moran retweeted
I think at the end it'll blow up everything the same time.
1/ Private credit meltdown as a general
2/ CRE total collapse and housing market meltdown in general
3/ Banks got hit
4/ Lack of diesel, fuel, oil in general
5/ Food inflationary spike
6/ AI got meltdown
7/ Banks closing the doors
8/ Abandoned datacenters
9/ Strikes like in France to spread
10/ AfD type of parties taking 51%+
11/ Governments getting sovereign debt crisis and can't respond to the crisis at all.
Office CMBS Delinquency Rate Re-Spikes To 12.2%, Far Worse Than Financial Crisis Peak As End Of Extend-And-Pretend Looms zerohedge.com/markets/office…
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Bob Moran retweeted
A neurologist once told me:
“Stick out your tongue for 40 seconds removes cortisol faster than any pills and breathing exercises.”
1. Your neck is what's keeping you anxious.
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RT @yuriymatso: The diesel crack is $113 a barrel. In a normal market it runs $20–30.
Add $100 crude and that's about $213 a barrel before…
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Bob Moran retweeted
#GOLD|XAUUSD
Medium Count (New Update):
Currently GOLD is in Complex WXY correction for the 4th Wave. I’m expecting a long move from the current levels, with an initial target around $5,000.
After completing this move, I expect new lows for Wave Y, potentially towards $3,500–$3,400.
Once the Macro Wave 4 is complete, opening the way for the next major move toward Wave 5, with a Potential target around $6,000.
Invalidation: Clearly marked on the chart.
#XAU
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Bob Moran retweeted
$Gold monthly - Where are we in the big picture? In the early stages of a bear market into late 2029. Specifically we are declining into the equivalent of the May 2012 low which was a retest of the December 2011 low. In the current bear market that low will happen in November.
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Bob Moran retweeted
We are literally tracking exactly what happened in the great financial crisis.
Yields went up as everyone was worried about inflation then we had a deflationary bust
Also if you haven't seen my other post about the order of sectors topping, it's eerily similar. Homebuilders $XHB topping over a year before the market. Then consumer discretionary $XLY a few months before
Today's DATA is a Bear Market creator
Market will likely present it as bullish as it drops yields and pressure's the FED. But this is very bad for the economy.
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RT @HenrikZeberg: I will call the Recession real time!
It is NOT in October 2026..... but we are getting a lot closer now.
Short-duratio…
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Bob Moran retweeted
I’m not sure there’s another example in history of this type of thing, where people just kind of quietly surrender to a swath of loosely associated retarded poor people who are setting them on fire while the people they’re attacking give them unlimited free money ???
Young second and third-generation migrants film a French firefighter after setting him on fire during the school protests in Bordeaux
🇫🇷
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Bob Moran retweeted
The journey begins...
Playtesting for Those Who Rule 2 is underway!
If you love classics like Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance, I'm making this game for you:
- Hand-crafted tactical battles
- No life-sim elements
- Deep character customization
- Branching promotions
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Bob Moran retweeted
I genuinely do not understand why anyone would take the job of Secretary of the Treasury or Chairman of the Federal Reserve at this point.
And I don't mean that as some cheap shot about the people currently occupying those positions. I mean I genuinely do not understand what you are supposed to do if you inherit the fiscal and monetary disaster that America is gradually slipping into.
When Volcker raised rates in the 80s, that strengthened the dollar, which killed foreign economies in Latin America that were heavily indebted in dollars. And he was able to get away with it because the Fed was essentially sucking demand out of the market by destroying the economies that had become overindebted in our currency.
In a way, Mexico essentially paid for us to solve our inflation crisis because Mexicans chose to take on debt in a currency they had no control over.
At the time, this wasn't an issue at home because our debt to GDP was something like 31%. So even though we blew out interest expense, there was so little of it that it didn't really matter. Instead, the slowdown in bank lending had a much bigger effect than the increase in new debt.
Now fast forward to today and bank lending isn't what's driving inflation at all. What's driving it are these huge untouchable Federal deficits that are going almost entirely to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. And these things are either fully or partially indexed to inflation.
So when the Fed looks around and says "We have high inflation and we need to increase interest rates," they can certainly crush huge swaths of the economy and plunge the rest of the world into an economic crisis like the one that befell Latin America in the 80s, but when you have over 100% debt to GDP, you blow out the deficit interest expense by an even bigger amount than whatever you're able to squeeze out of the private sector.
And every time they increase interest rates, the Boomers who are already cash rich essentially get a state-mandated raise in addition to a larger Social Security check, which is precisely the thing driving the deficits in the first place!
So over time, more and more and more money gets sucked up by those who draw the largest checks from the Federal budget. And they take that money and go out and spend more, which ends up defeating the whole purpose of trying to quell inflation with interest rate hikes in the first place.
Meanwhile, working Americans and entire sovereign nations like Japan undergo essentially a depressionary event as they get crushed first by high rates and then by inflation.
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RT @King0ftheCharts: .
URGENT STOCK MARKET VIDEO BELOW
watch immediately!
Margin Debt's 3 Month Window Closes Without the S&P 500 Making a…
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Bob Moran retweeted
once we top.. targets are
7400
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6800
roughly .. need to take a close look at the vwaps for better numbers but typing this quickly.
my ideal target remains 6800
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Bob Moran retweeted
One stat tells you everything about the American consumer right now. It came from a gas station chain.
Circle K's gasoline revenue exploded 33 percent in a year. But the volume they sold actually fell 1 percent.
Sit with that. People paid a third more money to get slightly less gas.
That is not inflation as an abstraction. That is the definition of getting poorer.
And it is why employers are not hiring. They see their own customers getting squeezed, so they are not betting on a recovery that is not there.
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