This entire market is currently being carried by tech stocks. Look at sector performance over the last month: Tech: +8.14% Industrials: -5.7% Financials: -6.3% Materials: -7.3% Real Estate: -8.1% Utilities: - 8.9% But tech is growing earnings at such a rapid rate that the valuation multiple of the market has actually declined in 2026, despite the fact we're up double digits.

Sep 25, 2026 · 5:05 PM UTC

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Replying to @dividendology
Here's another way to look at this: XLK is the only industry ETF that is positive and above SPY during the last month.
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Replying to @dividendology
You are a wealth of insights! Thank you!
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Replying to @dividendology
falling multiple while price climbs means earnings are doing the work, not hype. Rest of the market still hasnt caught up tho
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Replying to @dividendology
Tech earnings keep supporting market valuations.
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Replying to @dividendology
That is by design until EOY
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Replying to @dividendology
Energy, healthcare, metals/mining, are all positive YTD.
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Replying to @dividendology
Tech carrying the market is not automatically a bubble when earnings are carrying tech. The bigger concern is how little help it is getting from everywhere else.
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Replying to @dividendology
Even with data centers real estate is down 8%?! Could this eventually hit the housing market?
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Replying to @dividendology
The impressive part is that tech is doing this with the ten year above five and without multiple expansion. The uncomfortable part is that almost every other sector has stopped helping.
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Replying to @dividendology
Tech carrying the whole market while everything else is deep in the red really shows how narrow this rally has gotten. You and @reynosismo_ are the two accounts I most enjoy following
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Replying to @dividendology
Tech is sucking assets from the other sectors. Not exactly zero sum, but it's a factor.
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Replying to @dividendology
One number captures it: the gap between the cap-weighted S&P 500 and its equal-weight version. With the top 10 names near 40% of index weight, record concentration, the index can rise while the median stock falls, as those sector lines show.
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Replying to @dividendology
That is the tension. Strong tech earnings can make the index look healthier even as market breadth deteriorates underneath it. If earnings keep outrunning prices, valuation compression is real. But concentration creates a different risk: fewer companies are being asked to justify more of the market’s return. The next test is not whether tech keeps rising. It is whether earnings strength begins to broaden beyond tech.
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Replying to @dividendology
Tech = semis $SOXX
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Replying to @dividendology
Narrow tape like this works until it doesn’t. Everything else is just waiting on rotation
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Replying to @dividendology
When interest rates go up, stocks go down. It’s not going to get any better anytime soon. When the unemployment rate goes up after the holidays. Boom
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Replying to @dividendology
breadth this narrow usually raises the stakes for any change in leadership worth tracking
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Replying to @dividendology
Strong earnings make the valuation story less scary
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Replying to @dividendology
The real question is: What stocks will benefit the most when the capital rotation from tech stocks into other sectors occurs
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Replying to @dividendology
Are you looking at Shiller P/E? It correctly adjusts earnings for seasonality etc and has gone from 39 to 41 YTD
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Replying to @dividendology
Tech carrying the entire market on its back while every other sector bleeds is the definition of a dangerously narrow rally. Earnings are doing the heavy lifting now, but multiple compression is lurking. @RitadeCSB always nails the real breadth of this market better than anyone.
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Replying to @dividendology
Tech is the only sector that looks reasonably valued relative to its growth . You pay big price but you get bigger growth
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