@CarnegieEndow Sr. Fellow + Director, @CarnegieSAsia. Host of #GrandTamasha podcast. Tweeting my views on political economy + India. RTs & likes ≠ endorsements

Washington, DC
This week on #GrandTamasha, Jacob Poushter of @pewresearch joins me to discuss the latest data on how India and Pakistan view each other—and the world. Plus, we discuss how the world views India. Watch: piped.video/-Erbtvl28SM
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Milan Vaishnav retweeted
US tariffs on China have changed the routes Chinese content reaches the US far more than they have reduced US dependence on China. Examining value-added trade flows through 2024 shows US reliance on Chinese producers has fallen much less than bilateral trade data suggest. Chinese goods increasingly make their way into the US embedded in US imports from third countries. #PIIECharts
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Fascinating "Lunch with @FT" w/ incoming @CarnegieEndow president Avril Haines. Highlights: owning a Baltimore bookstore/café, fixing up a Cessna 310, studying judo in Japan, interning with the State Department, serving as DNI. Excited to work w/ her. ft.com/content/8f1030c3-9ad0…
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.@TheEconomist on 3 systemic failures of India's education system: - India has only partially escaped early neglect of mass education - Education has too often become a racket - India’s education system provides a poor return on investment economist.com/asia/2026/09/2…
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Milan Vaishnav retweeted
How has #MakeinIndia fared in the 12 years since it was launched? A look at 12 metrics spanning growth, investment, employment, and exports shows that the performance has been low and patchy. A short thread capturing the 12 metrics 👇 1/11
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.@adrspeaks: Between 2022-26, 111 sitting MPs/MLAs changed their political parties after being elected to the Lok Sabha, Rajya Sabha and State Assemblies. Among them, 26 were Lok Sabha MPs, 7 were Rajya Sabha MPs, and 78 were MLAs adrindia.org/sites/default/f…
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India might have missed the apparel/clothing export bus, but it has a fresh opportunity in agri-food processing. Excellent from @shoumitro_c of @CarnegieSAsia
India produced 11% of the world’s tomatoes in 2022–24, but accounted for just 0.2% of processed tomato exports by volume. Across many crops, agricultural abundance has not translated into processing strength. What needs to change? 1/8
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This week on #GrandTamasha, Jacob Poushter of @pewresearch joins me to discuss the latest survey data on how people across South Asia view their neighbors, major powers like the United States and China, and India’s growing global role. Watch: piped.video/watch?v=-Erbtvl2…
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Milan Vaishnav retweeted
Spoke to soon! Notices duly received for the family. My wife's notice, received today (Sept 24) asks her to show up on Sept 21. More important, the Delhi CEO website says no notices have been sent to us in the first place. Well. 🤔
Circling back on this. Despite moving houses and cities, all three names (son's, wife's and mine) have appeared on the post-SIR draft roll. I must compliment a proactive BLO who collected supporting documents at the initial stage itself, averting the need for an appeal process.
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Good column by @dhume in @WSJ on how the GOP might be forfeiting Indian American voters in 2026. Includes a few data points from our @CarnegieEndow Indian American Attitudes Survey wsj.com/opinion/some-republi…
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Part II in the @RitikaChopra__ @IndianExpress investigation into the behind-the-scenes struggles within the ECI on the SIR process. This piece looks at the case of deleted voters in Goa.
Yesterday, @IndianExpress reported an unprecedented rupture inside the Election Commission: TWO of its three members objecting on record, 14 times in 10 months, to decisions taken without their knowledge. Today, the second part of our investigation looks at the concern Election Commissioners Sukhbir Singh Sandhu and Vivek Joshi flagged most often: Who really controls our electoral rolls? We followed that question to Goa, where we found something deeply concerning. Stay with me.... (1/14) 🧵
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Milan Vaishnav retweeted
Trump approval now at -22.4, his low point for the term and now lower than at any point in his first term, even after Jan. 6. By comparison, he was at a "mere" -11.6 at this point in 2018.
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.@Nate_Cohn: "President Trump’s enormous gains among Hispanic voters in the last election propelled him to victory in the national popular vote and prompted talk of a political realignment. Two years later, that talk is over."
NYT's Nate Cohn: A strong erosion of Trump's support with Hispanic voters imperils the party in more than a dozen districts Trump won by double digits, while cueing up Texas and Florida to "become ground zero for a possible Democratic tsunami" nytimes.com/2026/09/22/upsho…
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Lavasa: "If two commissioners are saying that they were not involved, then the only way to refute this is to show a record that they were present in the commission meeting in which these decisions were taken."
The last dissenting EC @AshokLavasa speaks to @himansshhi about the current dissenting ECs- here's why he feels this is an extremely important moment hindustantimes.com/s/1h6s2Yi
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Milan Vaishnav retweeted
New paper with @jenjpan and @xuyiqing in @BJPolS! “Selection, Stability, and Shock: Political Attitudes of Chinese Students at Home and Abroad” Does studying in the US make Chinese students more liberal, or does it trigger a nationalist backlash? doi.org/10.1017/S00071234261…
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RT @dhume: Bigoted attacks on Indian-Americans by a section of MAGA signal a deeper problem for the GOP. The multiracial coalition that pow…
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New from @damienics & Binyi Yang: 411 of the top AI researchers in the world did their undergraduate studies in India. But just 36 did their graduate work in the country, while 44 did postgraduate study. carnegieendowment.org/china/… via @CarnegieChina
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ICYMI, here is the @YouTube link for yesterday's @CarnegieEndow discussion of the populist turn in middle-power diplomacy featuring @VeghZsuzsanna, @CFieschi & Federico Merke, in conversation with @CChivvis piped.video/watch?v=hDbLVxxv… Full report here: assets.carnegieendowment.org…
Live now: @CChivvis, @VeghZsuzsanna, @CFieschi, and Federico Merke discuss how right-wing populists in middle powers have transformed their countries’ approaches to the world. Watch here: piped.video/live/hDbLVxxv-mM…
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Milan Vaishnav retweeted
Election Commission releases press note following Indian Express report on 2 ECs objecting to discrepancies in SIR process "Differing views and observations are a normal part of deliberation in any institution. They are a part of the decision-making process before a final decision is taken. Not only the three Commissioners, but every officer of the Commission is fully authorised to give his suggestions to the Commission for improving the electoral system" "Highlighting certain specific internal notes/observations spread over the period of 10 months while overlooking the much larger body of approvals, decisions, instructions and initiatives give only one part of the picture. In recent months, the Commission has taken numerous decisions, issued instructions, introduced around 40 new initiatives and undertaken many electoral reforms including the conduct of Electoral roll revision (including SIR) across the country. All these decisions are an outcome of the unanimous decisions of the full Commission in the past one year."
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Kudos to @RitikaChopra__ @IndianExpress for this bombshell of a story on dissent within the Election Commission over the fraught SIR process. Dissent within the ECI is not new (see examples of Chawla, Seshan, Lavasa, just to name a few). But this is of a different magnitude.
The Election Commission of India is under fire like never before. The SIR has struck 13 crore names off draft rolls, putting the EC at the centre of intense public debate over its role in deciding who gets to vote — and who doesn’t. HOWEVER, what nobody knew: through that same period, some of the sharpest questions were being asked from inside. Out today, after months of work. Our #ExpressInvestigation 🧵 (1/10)
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