China has achieved a near-monopoly on refining critical minerals like lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements—while flooding global markets with solar panels, wind turbines and EV batteries. This represents a profound strategic miscalculation by the West. Decades of heavy subsidies, state planning, and aggressive climate mandates have created a stark paradox: pursuing decarbonisation now requires an unending transfer of Western wealth to a major geopolitical rival. While advocates framed the energy transition as a temporary phase on the path to long-term sovereignty, it has effectively traded one critical vulnerability for another. The West is replacing its historic dependence on Middle Eastern oil flows with an absolute reliance on Chinese industrial hardware and refined mineral supply chains. Critics argue that hardware lasts for decades—unlike imported fuel—but this ignores a fundamental reality: whoever controls the equipment, the refining capacity, and the replacement parts industry, retains total leverage over the energy grid. China has a massive head start, with lower production costs and and streamlined infrastructure. By degrading abundant, reliable hydrocarbon energy in favor of weather-dependent renewables, Western nations have already abandoned their own energy security. Heavy, energy-intensive industries—such as electric arc steelmaking, primary aluminum smelting, and synthetic fertiliser production—cannot pause when the wind drops or the sun sets. Power-intensive manufacturing has become economically unviable across Western nations. Essential core sectors are unable to produce basic components without foreign inputs. Rising electricity costs and grid instability are driving out high-paying jobs, striking directly at the working-class backbone of Western life. Relinquishing this industrial base has created severe national security vulnerabilities in an era of mounting global instability. China produces approximately 90% of the world's global photovoltaic components, refined critical minerals and battery cells. By discarding baseload energy without equivalent domestic alternatives, the West has handed the keys to the modern energy system to Beijing. This cements China's position as the world's dominant manufacturing power through an unprecedented transfer of Western capital.

Sep 18, 2026 · 12:15 AM UTC

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Replying to @PeterDClack
Thanks for the great post!
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You put the words into a life of their own. Peter
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Replying to @PeterDClack
Our stupidity or China's intelligence?
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China's ingenuity; western malaise...
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Replying to @PeterDClack
AMERICA SHOULD NEVER OUTSOURCE ITS ENERGY SECURITY. China understood something the West spent decades forgetting: energy policy is industrial policy, and industrial capacity is national power. Today, China dominates critical portions of the supply chains behind solar panels, batteries, rare-earth magnets and critical-mineral processing. That should concern every American regardless of where they stand on climate policy. There is nothing strategically independent about replacing one foreign dependency with another. America should be able to mine, refine, manufacture, generate and innovate at home. We need abundant reliable power. We need domestic critical-mineral processing. We need American steel, aluminum, advanced manufacturing, nuclear energy, natural gas, next-generation grid technology and resilient supply chains. Renewables can be part of that system. But no energy strategy deserves to be called secure if its essential minerals, components or replacement supply chains depend overwhelmingly on a geopolitical competitor. China built refining capacity. China built factories. China built supply chains. America should build too. The objective shouldn’t be ideological loyalty to one energy source. It should be an American energy system capable of surviving war, sanctions, export controls, supply disruptions and geopolitical coercion without asking Beijing for permission to keep our factories operating. Energy security is national security. Industrial capacity is national security. Supply-chain independence is national security. The war is for the American mind. Do not surrender the decision. Hearts and minds are the battlefield. America does not yield them. • President: Donald J. Trump — @realDonaldTrump and @POTUS • @VP •— @SecRubio •— @SecScottBessent • — @SecWar • @DAGToddBlanche •— @SecretaryBurgum •— @SecRollins •— @howardlutnick •— @SecretaryLCD •— @SecKennedy •— @SecretaryTurner •— @SecDuffy • — @SecretaryWright • — @EDSecMcMahon • — @SecVetAffairs • — @SecMullinDHS • @DNIPulte • — @epaleezeldin • — @SusieWiles • l @karolineleavitt • — @StephenM • — @DanScavino • — @StevenCheung — @ChuckGrassley • — @SenJohnThune • — @SenJohnBarrasso • @realBrandonGill — @SpeakerJohnson • — @SteveScalise • — @RepTomEmmer • @russvought — @Taylor47 — @ChrisLaCivita • @Bannons_WarRoom @LauraLoomer @GenFlynn @realtinapeters @RealLindellTV @spencerpratt @TheSCIF @jsolomonReports @PADAGMcCotter
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Terrific analysis...
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Replying to @PeterDClack
Yet again @PeterDClack analyses the disastrous consequences of our capitulation to China over manufacturing - with the cheap energy required supplied by coal Has this been deliberate by western governments?
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Thank you... Peter
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Replying to @PeterDClack
AMERICA SHOULD NEVER OUTSOURCE ITS ENERGY SECURITY. China understood something the West spent decades forgetting: energy policy is industrial policy, and industrial capacity is national power. Today, China dominates critical portions of the supply chains behind solar panels, batteries, rare-earth magnets and critical-mineral processing. That should concern every American regardless of where they stand on climate policy. There is nothing strategically independent about replacing one foreign dependency with another. America should be able to mine, refine, manufacture, generate and innovate at home. We need abundant reliable power. We need domestic critical-mineral processing. We need American steel, aluminum, advanced manufacturing, nuclear energy, natural gas, next-generation grid technology and resilient supply chains. Renewables can be part of that system. But no energy strategy deserves to be called secure if its essential minerals, components or replacement supply chains depend overwhelmingly on a geopolitical competitor. China built refining capacity. China built factories. China built supply chains. America should build too. The objective shouldn’t be ideological loyalty to one energy source. It should be an American energy system capable of surviving war, sanctions, export controls, supply disruptions and geopolitical coercion without asking Beijing for permission to keep our factories operating. Energy security is national security. Industrial capacity is national security. Supply-chain independence is national security. The war is for the American mind. Do not surrender the decision. Hearts and minds are the battlefield. America does not yield them. @NRO
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Terrific analysis...
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Replying to @PeterDClack
Fortunately we don’t need solar cells except in space
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Replying to @PeterDClack
Peter, the western economies who blindly followed the eco lunatics are fully to blame by forcing out basic carbon intensive industry and power generation. China walked right in taking over basic industry powered by low cost coal generated electricity. This allowed the EU and Canada to claim they were winning the war on climate change while at the same time destroying their economies. China can't beleive their good fortune. Today the EU is facing further destruction of their industrial base as products produced by excess Chinese production flood their market thus decreasing their economic output. This is the real story of the Paris Climate Treaty. China loves it, the western economies are paying the price.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
I was on a train from Beijing to Ulaanbaatar and that's when I learned about this rare Earths in Southern Mongolia. Since Japan 21 Demands a curse to the people of Mongolia. The dystopian lake filled by the world’s tech lust share.google/5ewIDJX1ren5XLA…
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Replying to @PeterDClack
This makes me wish mightily that @elonmusk would become a nuclear nut instead of a solar nut. There is literally nothing at scale that solar can do better than nuclear including powering space and Mars.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
It's an important point that many miss and one has to wonder how much of the "net-zero" push is funded by the same people selling us this stuff. It's also a form of eco-colonialism because making these things is dirty so we transfer to the pollution to China and they in turn act as our proxy to cheaply gather resources in the developing world doing massive environmental damage.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
All of this is true and done on purpose.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
We exported our pollution to China. They aren't rare just dirty.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
All enabled by Mad Miliband signing secret Chinese deals which have made him extremely rich while making Britain extremely poor and eternally reliant on Chinas numerous coal fired power plants!
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Replying to @PeterDClack
Frankly, I think the West was a profound strategic miscalculation…. Ayn Rand was spot on…
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Replying to @PeterDClack
... and the risks of reliance on solar are even more dire than just reliance on China. When Mount Tambora erupted in 1815, there was gray sky and no sunny days for 2 years, globally. That WILL happen again—the question is only when. Imagine the global impact on the humanity.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
No ha sido un error estratégico. Los chinos han comprado a los políticos que tenían que comprar para que legislasen así
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Replying to @PeterDClack
That is not an error or miscalculation. Most of western leaders have long time participated to World "You'll Own Nothing" Economic Forum.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
China has earned its dominance in these industries. As both Japan and now China have shown, catch up us much easier than innovation. Are you prepared to move cash from welfare to infrastructure investment?
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Replying to @PeterDClack
The stupidity of the west abandoning this tech is now being repeated by the same stupid (paid off?) people who want to hand over our lead in AI to the Chinese.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
Similar to Europe being dependent on Russian natural gas.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
When Thatcher came to power, inflation was high but she let market forces and interest rates reduce it, which heavily impacted traditional manufacturing. Contrary to popular belief, there was no directive from the IMF. The 1976 IMF loan had been repaid. x.com/top1percentile/status/…
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Replying to @PeterDClack
Nevada, Arkansas and a few other places the are fracking lithium we will see if its toxic mess or not. They say its clean but next to major aquafers.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
God bless people like Hugo Chávez, who pushed socialism to its ridiculous limits and proved that when it works, misery strikes. And Pedro Sánchez, who pushed green renewable energy so far that energy security became a thing of the past. They provided valuable data so the rest of the world can avoid their foolishness.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
In a turn of ironic fate, the West transformed itself into a cold wasteland of poverty & unemployment with mountains of debt. There was nobody left to buy the millions of cheap Chinese toasters & their machines fell quiet. War was all that was left.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
China isn't shackled by the environmental religious nuts.
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Replying to @PeterDClack
Seems like the BRICS are dealing a mortal blow to the previous owners of the planet, what we are witnessing is an historic moment where not only does the planet shift its axis but human societies follow suit. soon (relatively) they will have concerts to feed us. 🤡🌍🤷🏻‍♀️
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Replying to @PeterDClack
China's dependent on foreign markets. It's domestic market can't absorb it's manufacturing output. It's people can't afford to buy what it makes. It must sell to foreign markets! And it's domestic market has little potential for development, not the development that's needed to be viable for it's manufactured output! It's demographics and fertility rates are FUBAR from the one child policy. It'll do well to still be in one piece in 30-50 years! It also has a problem with it's foreign markets. The wests fertility rates are FUBAR as well. AI will offer zero cost relationships to the masculine! AI is about to compete with the feminine for the masculine. Their only hope is to a consumerist Africa And that's what we see!!
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Replying to @PeterDClack
All true and we are aware. Hence, the drill baby drill. Until we get our factories up and running.
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