"Indian stock market" by @yashwanthp
Can't believe it took so many years for our Food Regulator to Consider Proposing This 😭😭😭 Better Late then Never !!! A Win for Voices on Social Media 🔥 #FI
FSSAI proposes to ban the sale of analogue paneer made from constituents not derived from milk. The proposal seeks to safeguard consumer interests and ban the practice of marketing analogue products as paneer.
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When a stock you own drops 25% it's an "opportunity". When it drops 10% more you call the CEO to verify the thesis and buy more. When it drops 10% more you get annoyed insiders aren't buying. When it drops 10% more you sell your stock to the investors that are going to make money on the stock.
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High Growth Mid Cap Stock in BM Vision 2030 Https://basantmaheshwari.sma…
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Mortgage (home loan) rates in the United States and India are almost the same now. It is unclear whether such a convergence has happened before and what it indicates.
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In the recent past, Howard Marks cited J.P. Morgan Asset Management data showing that when investors bought the S&P 500 at a forward P/E of around 23x, subsequent 10 year annualized returns in that sample clustered between roughly +2% and −2%, with no serious exceptions in the chart. Marks has a strong record of reading cycles, though not a perfect one. We’ll see what happens this time. In my view, it is time to be more defensive than aggressive.
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
Illegal bike taxis like Rapido, Ola, and Uber are affecting our livelihood, say independent auto drivers. I haven't seen a single auto driver driver use a meter in the last 12 years. If anything is illegal, it’s these guys way of operating.
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With interest rates rising sharply in the US, current equity valuations do not look sustainable. This follows what Warren Buffett has called the law of gravity in finance: interest rates pull on asset prices the way gravity pulls on matter. Something has to give. Either rates fall or valuations compress. As of now, rates do not look likely to fall anytime soon. What happens in the US will affect markets worldwide.
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
His first slide was simple, minimal, brutal DJIA Dec 1964 : 874.12 Dec 1981 : 875
In July 1999, at the peak of the internet boom, Warren Buffett stood before media and tech titans at Sun Valley and said what few wanted to hear. Stocks were soaring. Almost everyone felt brilliant. The phrase of the moment was that this time was different. His point was plain and hard to swallow. The stock market is not a lottery. It is not a popularity contest that lasts forever. In the short run the market is a voting machine. People vote with money based on excitement, stories, and what their neighbors are buying. In the long run it is a weighing machine. What gets weighed is the cash businesses actually produce. Investing, he said, is simple. You give up money today hoping to get more money back later, after inflation. Only two questions matter: how much you will get back, and when. Interest rates are the price of when. They work like gravity. When rates fall, almost every asset looks more valuable. When they rise, the opposite happens. Corporate profits as a share of the whole economy also have limits. They cannot keep rising as a percentage of GDP forever. He used history. From 1964 to 1981 the American economy grew strongly, yet the stock market barely moved because starting prices were already high and interest rates climbed. From 1981 to 1998 the reverse occurred. Falling rates and rising valuations produced a huge bull market. The economy itself was not twice as magical in the second period. The price people paid for future earnings had changed. The internet would change the world. That did not mean most internet companies, or the people buying their stocks at any price, would get rich. There is no new era that repeals arithmetic. High starting prices plus ordinary economic growth plus ordinary profit margins produce ordinary future returns for the market as a whole. Do not confuse a wonderful industry with wonderful investment results. Do not assume that because something is growing fast, the price you pay today does not matter. And do not expect the next seventeen years to look like the last seventeen just because the story feels new. Weight eventually counts. Votes only count for a while. This lesson always hold good: Excitement is not a valuation method. Stories are not cash flow. And the weighing machine does not care how popular the vote was.
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
Replying to @dmuthuk
Worth knowing the voting machine line is actually Ben Graham’s, Buffett was quoting his own teacher in that speech. Makes the whole thing land harder somehow, two generations independently arriving at the same conclusion. What happened next is the part people forget. The Dow was at 11,194 the day he gave that speech, and it took until 2013, fourteen years, to durably clear that level again. He wasn’t forecasting a crash. He was just doing the arithmetic on where the starting price already sat, and the arithmetic turned out to be the whole story.
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ESDS Software came out with IPO around Rs 400 Stock was massively rigged up ane retailers trapped in just a few weeks to Rs 1800+ After the rigging came disastrous results Don't believe the "Bhav Bhagwan hai guys" Too much of manipulation in select stocks is on
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#PaYTM had Rs 2500 Cr+ of commisions from selling "Financial Products" last year I wonder how much of that came from Insurance. I searched a lot but could not get the figure.
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In July 1999, at the peak of the internet boom, Warren Buffett stood before media and tech titans at Sun Valley and said what few wanted to hear. Stocks were soaring. Almost everyone felt brilliant. The phrase of the moment was that this time was different. His point was plain and hard to swallow. The stock market is not a lottery. It is not a popularity contest that lasts forever. In the short run the market is a voting machine. People vote with money based on excitement, stories, and what their neighbors are buying. In the long run it is a weighing machine. What gets weighed is the cash businesses actually produce. Investing, he said, is simple. You give up money today hoping to get more money back later, after inflation. Only two questions matter: how much you will get back, and when. Interest rates are the price of when. They work like gravity. When rates fall, almost every asset looks more valuable. When they rise, the opposite happens. Corporate profits as a share of the whole economy also have limits. They cannot keep rising as a percentage of GDP forever. He used history. From 1964 to 1981 the American economy grew strongly, yet the stock market barely moved because starting prices were already high and interest rates climbed. From 1981 to 1998 the reverse occurred. Falling rates and rising valuations produced a huge bull market. The economy itself was not twice as magical in the second period. The price people paid for future earnings had changed. The internet would change the world. That did not mean most internet companies, or the people buying their stocks at any price, would get rich. There is no new era that repeals arithmetic. High starting prices plus ordinary economic growth plus ordinary profit margins produce ordinary future returns for the market as a whole. Do not confuse a wonderful industry with wonderful investment results. Do not assume that because something is growing fast, the price you pay today does not matter. And do not expect the next seventeen years to look like the last seventeen just because the story feels new. Weight eventually counts. Votes only count for a while. This lesson always hold good: Excitement is not a valuation method. Stories are not cash flow. And the weighing machine does not care how popular the vote was.
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Know your circle, know its boundaries, and stay within them. That's how you practice humility, an important trait for an investor. @iancassel reiterates the powerful idea of "circle of competence" with his focus on microcap investing. Full episode here: piped.video/II0ypCyFoNk?si=X2a3…
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Deepak Shenoy retweeted
Webinar Alert! What does a momentum strategy do when momentum stops working? We took a step back to re-examine the strategy from first principles, and rebuild it from the ground up. We spent that time diagnosing where our momentum definitions could be made more robust, refining how we measure trend quality, and building enhanced risk controls to navigate tough market regimes. Now, with the revamped strategy live since May 2026, we would like to invite you to a webinar where we walk you through exactly what has changed and why. Join us live on Saturday, September 26, 2026, at 11:00 AM IST. Here's what we'll cover: ⚬ The revamped Adaptive Momentum ⚬ What changed, and why it matters ⚬ Backtest, live data, and an honest read of both ⚬ Introducing our secondary benchmark: Nifty500 Multicap 50:25:25 TRI ⚬ Reopening Adaptive Momentum for new subscriptions ⚬ Capitalmind Flexicap and Adaptive Momentum: Which one suits you? ⚬ The road ahead Here is the link to the Webinar: piped.video/watch?v=GWpNqsJ-… Click "Notify Me" after opening the link so YouTube reminds you when we go live.
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One of longest running PMS strategies just got a facelift. Check out Adaptive Momentum from @capitalmind_in :
Adaptive Momentum has anchored Capitalmind Wealth’s quantitative DNA since 2019. However, it had a hard run after its mid 2024 peak, and that sent us back to first principles. We could point to exactly where our definition of momentum held poorly in a sideways market, and we rebuilt our strategy one decision at a time. The fully revamped strategy has been live since May 2026. It's still momentum, and it will still feel like momentum. But it’s a meaningfully different animal to what it was 18 months ago. Here's the full write-up on what changed, and why: capitalmind.in/insights/adap… Capitalmind Financial Services Private Limited, SEBI Registered Portfolio Manager: INP000005847
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Varinder Bansal 🇮🇳 retweeted
Don't chase what looks good this quarter. Trust research into what will still matter a decade from now. Quality reveals itself slowly. omkaracapital.in @vbomkara
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Deepak Shenoy retweeted
Callout for brokers with international market access. SEBI has now allowed PMS to invest in foreign securities. We at Capitalmind PMS are looking to empanel brokers who can help our clients invest globally. If you have the capability, let's talk. DMs are open. @deepakshenoy @avijeet_sen @AkankshaMaulik @investkahakare @capitalmind_in
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"The most popular stocks in any bull market are usually the ones with the highest PE ratios. Wall Street analysts compete to see who can project the highest growth rates, and investors flock to these market darlings without paying attention to the valuation. But paying a PE of 50 or 60 for a stock leaves zero room for error. If the company delivers great results, the stock price might go nowhere because the market already priced in those great results years in advance. But if the company stumbles, the stock gets slaughtered. The secret to long term success is avoiding the popular high multiple favorites and searching for mispriced growth in quiet, overlooked corners of the market." - Peter Lynch
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Deepak Shenoy retweeted
Should you save for the future or live for today? Most people in their 20s are asking this question. Our panel of young investors put it to @deepakshenoy of @CapitalmindMF & the conversation went in some interesting directions. We talked about building wealth early, spending without guilt, and planning for a future that feels very far away. The full conversation drops on YouTube today at 6 PM.
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
IIT MADRAS: A Beautiful Coexistence A heartwarming sight at #IITMadras, where people and deer walk together in harmony. The peaceful surroundings, friendly atmosphere, and beautiful bond between humans and nature make this place truly special. A wonderful reminder that nature brings peace, happiness, and a sense of belonging to everyone. Watch a #BilalBahadur video #kashmirlife . . Music: Music: Precious Memories by Shane Ivers - silvermansound.com Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License creativecommons.org/licenses… Music promoted by chosic.com/free-music/all/
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
People often ask me why I usually avoid very hot themes which are already in mature stages or late momentum stages, even when the next few quarters of earnings growth can still be very good. The investing style I follow is simple. I usually avoid companies trading at triple digit PE when the story is already mature. At that stage, the risk reward equation gets skewed for me. I don't want to chase the final 40-50% in a stock at the cost of getting stuck for years. I am not very agile when it comes to cutting positions and honestly, that is not my style. There are plenty of examples in the market where stock prices peaked before the earnings story actually broke. Tata Elxsi is a good example. The stock was trading around 100x FY22 earnings. FY22 revenue still grew 35% and PAT grew 49%, but the valuation started derating and PE fell to around 49x in FY23. KPIT peaked around ₹1,929 in July 2024. The subsequent Q1 FY25 results still showed 25% revenue growth and 52% PAT growth. Dixon touched around ₹19,150 in December 2024. The next quarter still delivered roughly 117% revenue growth and 124% PAT growth. The point is not that these businesses became bad. The point is that when a story is priced for perfection, earnings can remain very strong and the stock can still struggle because valuation starts doing the heavy lifting. This is why I would rather find a good business in an earlier stage of the cycle than reach late to a story everyone already knows. I have rarely seen big money being made by reaching very late to the party. There will always be exceptions. Everyone has their own style. This is just how I prefer to play the game.
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
Anna University’s Madras Institute of Technology (MIT) Campus recently signed an MoU with Boeing India Pvt. Ltd. (BIPL) for establishing a Flammability Learning Laboratory. thehindu.com/news/national/t…
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
Our Chennai campus has beautiful buildings that pay homage to the best "urban villages" of classical Europe and a small lake (now waiting for the monsoon!) and a 5 acre dense forest with native species of trees. We are expanding the forest even more. We like to adopt the best ideas of the world, while staying rooted in Bharat. The campus is full of streets that are alive with pedestrians and bicycles and people enjoying a cup of filter coffee or chai or coconut water in the street-side cafe, and absolutely no cars. That is the urbanism we want to promote. That is rooted in Zoho!
Nature has always known how to move through change without losing itself. This film, shot entirely on our campus, is a tribute to that resilience. #ShotAtZoho
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Forget the old panwala dip test for judging the market mood. Instead, take the older newspaper dip test. When you pick a pink paper, you need to cross quite a few pages of IPO ads before you actually reach the first news page. Then, you have the special supplement. It has only ads and no news in it. Most of these ads relate to open offers, IPOs & other public disclosures. When was the last time we lost the business newspaper to ads? Was it ( the ad blitzkrieg) even bigger than this? Start thinking and you will realise what we now are in the middle of.
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Meet Umesh Kumar Sharma, a Brilliant Self-Taught Mechanic from Rosera, Bihar who built a Custom Electric Cycle with a 100 km Range on a Single Charge. Armed with Grassroots Engineering and Local "Jugad," this 5th-grade Educated Innovator created an Ultra-low-cost vehicle that runs for just a few Rupees, bypassing the need for license or registration. It's so Nice to see that he has a Horn, Key, Voltage Indicator, Accelerator & the setup is so Awesome. So Relatable. He also has footrest for Pillion Rider. His incredible invention proves that True Innovation doesn't require Crazy League degrees. It just requires Passion, Grit, and Unstoppable Indian Ingenuity. He is An Inspiration. Let's Share This Widely ❤️❤️❤️ I wish to meet Umesh ji one Day !!! #FI
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
US Government Bond 10 Year Yield: 5.12% HDFC Bank 10 Year FD rate: 6.15%
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Thank you for sharing; i wrote this series on commodity trading in the personal finance magazine @NaanayamVikatan long time ago which was published as book later-the first one this subject in Tamil. Hence, some parts may be a bit outdated & I have to find time to update them.
இன்றைய உலகில் கமாடிட்டி பெரும் பங்கு வகிக்கிறது... திரு. @nagappanv ஐயா. அவர்களுடைய விளக்கம் அருமை.. கமாடிட்டி பற்றிய பின்னணி மற்றும் வரலாற்றோடு தொடர்புபடுத்தி விளக்கம்.. இன்றைய தலைமுறை அறிய வேண்டிய ஒன்று.. இது ஒரு அறிவு பொக்கிஷம்.. நன்றிகள் பல.. #கமாடிட்டி
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Hearty congratulations to you @RajeevThakkar and @npparikh6 . Making leadership a great partnership is a truly remarkable feat. Wish you many more years.
Thank you for 25 years of trusted leadership and unwavering faith in value investing. Thank you for building a stronger tomorrow with us. Congratulations Rajeev! #WorkAnniversary #25Years #PPFASMutualFund
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Zoho campus.
Why does an IT company campus have to look like an IT campus? 🙂 "Curved streets create an inherent sense of mystery, because their vistas reveal themselves only gradually, as one's movement changes one's perspective.” — Camillo Sitte Instead of building another boring corporate block, it's an campus with lot of curved streets, trees, shops and places to meet. A peek into the open-air theatre (OAT), the terrace garden and the curved streets...
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
BIG JUMP IN BOND YIELDS AGAIN ! - US 5y yield added 8 bps to 5.08% - US 10y yield added 10 bps to 5.22% - US 30y yield added 10 bps to 5.50% PS: 30y yield @ highest level in more than 20 years Reasons - Rise in oil prices ($106 Brent) - Underwhelming treasury buyback operation #GIFTNIFTY #Nifty #BankNifty #Rupee #Trading
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We are just lucky that till now retail Investors have not lost faith like 90s investors and continue to invest. But for SIP, fall would have been worse and super fast. Will it continue ? Signs of tiredness is seen...
There is nothing unusual about prolonged bear markets. But the government has made this worse by refusing to address the concerns of FIIs and our own retail investors, and by saying in Parliament that we are not dependent on FII money and that FIIs have no option but to invest in India. Hubris often leads to a downfall.
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"Investing is not about picking a single posture like 'always aggressive' or 'always defensive' and sticking with it forever. It is about continuously calibrating your portfolio posture based on the environment you face. Think of it like driving a car. You don't drive at eighty miles an hour all the time, nor do you crawl at ten miles an hour everywhere you go. When the road is clear, dry, and straight, you step on the gas. When it’s dark, raining, and full of hairpin turns, you step on the brake. In the markets, 'dry roads' correspond to low valuations, high risk aversion, tight credit conditions, and widespread pessimism. 'Slippery roads' correspond to peak earnings, record high valuations, loose leverage, and total euphoria. The mark of a master investor is knowing when to shift from offense to defense long before the crash actually happens." - Howard Marks
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Henry Ford, Thomas Edison, Harvey Firestone, and John Burroughs were all good friends. In fact, they were known as the Four Vagabonds. Between 1915 and 1924 the four would go on camping trips together for weeks at a time. Edison would plan each trip and he wouldn’t tell the others where they were headed until they met at the start of each trip. Henry Ford would retrofit Model-T’s and other vehicles with kitchen equipment, cold boxes, food, so they could comfortably enjoy their solitude. They would often invite other people whom they respected, even US Presidents, to join them. They would spend countless hours traveling, talking, and enjoying each other’s company before disbanding. These camping trips would end in 1924 because they began to attract too much attention which defeated their purpose. A friend of mine encouraged me to read these three books in the following order, and I would encourage you to do the same: My Life and Work by Henry Ford (1922) Men and Rubber by Harvey Firestone (1926) Edison As I Know Him by Henry Ford (1930) My Life and Work by Henry Ford is an exceptional look into the mind of one of the world’s greatest entrepreneurs. His impact on the transportation industry as well as other industries cannot be overstated. At the same time the automobile industry was ascending, so was the tire industry. Cars, trucks, tractors needed tires. Men and Rubber by Harvey Firestone is a look into the tire industry, and how he grew Firestone Tire and dominated the industry. Edison As I Know Him is Henry Ford’s tribute to his friend and mentor Thomas Edison. Henry Ford worked for Edison until 1899 (chief engineer at Edison Illuminating Company), and credits Edison for being the only person that gave him early encouragement to push forward developing an automobile with an internal combustion engine. Here is a beautiful account by Henry Ford remembering his first encounter with Thomas Edison (source: Edison As I Know Him). From: microcapclub.com/book-review…
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"Cosmic insignificance is often misunderstood as a bleak or nihilistic concept, but in practice, it is the ultimate liberation. We carry ourselves through life under the crushing assumption that the universe is watching our performance with intense, critical interest, that our failures are catastrophic and our mistakes unforgivable. Realizing that you are a temporary speck on a small planet in an indifferent cosmos instantly lowers the stakes. It removes the paralyzing weight of needing to be extraordinary, freeing you to simply do honest work, care for the people around you, and enjoy the brief hours you have been given." - Oliver Burkeman
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Warren Buffett’s first stock taught him more than any later triumph. He was eleven. He had saved about $120. He bought Cities Service Preferred: three shares for himself and three for his sister Doris. They paid $38.25 a share. Then the price fell to $27. Every day Doris reminded him that the stock was down. The pressure got to him. When the shares recovered enough to show a small profit, about $5 a share, he sold. Cities Service later soared to $202. He never forgot what that taught him: Do not keep looking at what you paid. Do not sell just because you want the worry to stop. And do not invest with someone who will panic every time the price falls. A boy sold too soon to make his sister feel better, and watched a cheap stock become a rich one. It was his first stock pick. That is why the lesson stayed.
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
Unbelievable. 3 hours later and the 10Y Note Yield is now above 5.20% for the first time in 19 years. The 10Y Note Yield is now up +50 basis points in 30 days and +30 basis points in 2 days. Even more remarkable is that the average American has no idea this is happening. Yet. The bond market is imploding in front of our eyes.
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I no longer view the future as a single outcome. Whether it is positive or negative, anything can happen. I am planning my financial life so that I can survive no matter what the future brings.
Replying to @dmuthuk
What's your thoughts sir..
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Ian Cassel retweeted
Been posting many snippets from Stock Picker by Ian Cassel. At the risk of posting the entire book at this rate, I will stop now. It is really the best investment book I have read in a while. These 7 traits by Mark Sellers hit home hard and something that I wish to aspire to🙏🏾
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
Lovely photo of the NSE inauguration, via @mumbaiheritage. It became a listed company today. Many veterans of Mumbai financial sector here. I can spot Manmohan Singh, C. Rangarajan, SS Nadkarni, BV Bhargava, SH Khan, RH Patil (partly hidden), Chitra Ramakrishna, Ravi Narain.
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A tv guest says BJP will not win the next election in Maharashtra. The anchor got so upset he asked for proof! It is like asking for next year’s financial projections, duly audited.
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Kodeeswari. பெண்களின் நிதி சுதந்திர பயணங்களை மாற்றி அமைக்க வரும் ஒரு platform. இந்த conclave அந்த பயணத்தில் ஒரு முக்கிய மைல் கல். இதில் பங்கேற்பது உங்கள் வாழ்வில் ஒரு புதிய துவக்கமாக அமையும் என்பது உறுதி. எப்படி @Miles2Wealth இன்று எல்லோரும் விரும்பும் ஒரு முதலீட்டு platform ஆக இருக்கிறதோ, அதே போல் #kodeeswari மிக பெரிய தாக்கத்தை உருவாக்கும். சனிக்கிழமை நடக்கும் இந்த conclave இல் பங்கேற்கும் பெண்கள் எல்லோரும் முன்னோடிகள். Register now to be one among them. @ithoughtinvest
குடும்பத்தின் நிதி விஷயங்கள் ஒருவருக்கு மட்டும் தெரிந்திருக்க வேண்டுமா? குடும்பத்தின் நிதி முடிவுகளில் பெண்களும் தெளிவாகவும் நம்பிக்கையுடனும் இருக்க வேண்டும். பணம், முதலீடு, எதிர்காலத் திட்டமிடல் என நிதி சார்ந்த விஷயங்களைப் புரிந்துகொள்ளும் ஒரு நாள்… குடும்பத்தின் எதிர்காலத்திற்கான ஒரு முக்கியமான தொடக்கமாக இருக்கலாம். இந்த சனிக்கிழமை Kodeeswari Conclave 2026-ல், நிதி மற்றும் முதலீடு தொடர்பான அனுபவமிக்க வல்லுநர்கள் நேரடியாகப் பேசவிருக்கிறார்கள். அவர்களிடம் இருந்து கற்றுக்கொள்ளவும், உங்கள் கேள்விகளுக்கு தெளிவு பெறவும் இது ஒரு வாய்ப்பு. ✨ பெண்களுக்காக 💡 நிதி தெளிவுக்காக 📈 சிறந்த எதிர்காலத்திற்காக 📅 செப்டம்பர் 26, 2026 📍 Madras Management Association, Chennai உங்களுக்காக மட்டும் அல்ல… உங்கள் குடும்பத்தின் எதிர்காலத்திற்காகவும். இன்றே பதிவு செய்யுங்கள்! @shyamsek Registration Link: conclave.kodeeswari.com/ #KodeeswariConclave2026 #KodeeswariConclave #WomenInvestors #FinancialConfidence #நிதிதிட்டமிடல் #பெண்கள்முதலீடு #womenempowerment #kodeeswari
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Insurance Sector pe Atom Bomb!
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Dude at one point of time upfront commisions paid to MF agents went as high as 5-6% for NFO's Ufront commisions were done away with. Now its largely trail. But whoever wants to invest can invest and many do it direct now. Similarly there will be no impact on insurance peneration. Incentive to missell just for commisions will go down. Ok Dude
Dude it won't make insurance cheaper rather it will decrease the incentive to sell insurance itself; Insurance penetration in India is already lower and Financial institutions may shift to other products.
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When energy, rhythm and devotion move as one, dance becomes a prayer. You don’t just watch it… you feel it. 🙏❤️ #ganpatibappamorya
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A perspective on why next few years may not be rosy for equities. I keep sharing different views and perspectives based on the quality of thinking. Always remember, none of us know the future.
Markets Sense a Long Era of Instability: Don’t Buy the Fall (a) Govt is distracted (b) FIIs dislike mass protests (c) 2021-26: Nifty below-FD Return (d) FD rates will rise; Build Cash (d) China 17 yrs 0 return (e) Here’s India Data & Facts: Second Order Effects on Economy a. Govt is facing real political storms. It has no bandwidth left for major economic policy or reforms to attract foreign investment. b. Foreign funds don’t invest where mass protests and public discontent are a daily affair. Their bet on India was a strong govt; strong economic agenda. c. Inflation rising, unemployment rising; IT exports declining; Rupee under pressure. RBI is forced to fight inflation. FD rates will rise in Oct. Zero Risk Premium in Equity a. 5-Year Returns: Sept 2021 to Sept 2026 (5 Yrs): Nifty 50 Return: 32.3%; Post Office Deposit Return: 34.4%; SBI 5-Yr FD Return: 30.8% b. 3-Year Returns: Nifty 50 Return: 15.58%; Sensex Return: 9.94%; Post Office Deposit Return: 21.56%; SBI FD Risk-Free Return: 21.34% c. Last 3 Years: Out of a universe of 2,867 stocks, 43.3% delivered negative returns (one-third lost up to 50% value; 11% lost above 50% value). d. Risk-Reward Ratio: In last 3 years, you had a 43.3% probability of destroying your capital. Against such high risk, even if you won, the returns were far too negligible to justify such volatile investment. Don’t Bet on Growth Narrative a. Yesterday, Kotak published a chart showing that China stock market (CSI 300) has remained sideways for the last 17 yrs; and has not yet regained the level it set 18 yrs ago. b. Howard Marks published data in his recent memo: In the last 100 yrs, each time you bought S&P 500 at forward PE 23x, the annualized return in the next 10 yrs has been between +2% and -2%. Every single time. No exceptions. c. India is no exception. India’s growth story of FDI, FII, IT boom, low inflation is long over. Over the next 5 yrs, the downside risk looks higher than the upside potential. If you go all-in, that’s a risky bet for your mental peace, with little potential upside. Why Are FIIs So Pessimistic? a. On Aug 28, Bernstein published a hard-hitting strategy note: "India’s corporate earnings are artificially engineered through state subsidies, fiscal cushions, and borrowed offshore dollars rather than through genuine productivity gains." b. Market bulls touted NSE 200 top-line growth was 12%. Yet, net profit grew only 7%. Bernstein questioned the practice of excluding loss-making oil marketing companies (OMCs) "to manufacture a strong earnings growth story." c. Govt expanded LPG/fertilizer subsidies, took $10B hit through excise duty reductions, $20B GST cuts, OMCs took $2B loss. So govt subsidized consumer spending power, which artificially padded the firms’ operating margins. That's not a long-term play. d. $70B Pay Commission wage revision is coming, which will encumber sovereign balance sheet and cut govt’s capacity for public capex. Plus, with costly FCNR deposits, govt is purchasing rupee stability on credit, Bernstein warned. e. Finally, Bernstein says India’s large caps are not investing in the future, and are consolidating their past (preserving balance sheets). Companies with deepest pockets don’t want to commit capital to emerging technologies, and want policy protection. f. In this scenario, FIIs are forced to look at small and midcaps (SMIDs). But those companies remain sub-scale, with low free-floats, high volatility, and risky corporate governance. Institutional capital is not interested. Bernstein concludes: With these problems, why should FIIs invest in India? ENDPIECE: Investor Strategy a. PE de-rating is going on globally. World-class US companies are available at throwaway prices, and there are no buyers. So, don’t get tempted by a falling market in India. b. Build cash patiently. Unwind risky positions. Cash has 3 benefits: (1) Emergency funds give security & happiness (2) FD may beat equity for next few years (3) If global equity crashes, you will be the only buyer in town. c. Think in Probabilities: Considering all macro factors: (1) India Equity Boom: 20% chance (2) Sideways: 60% chance (3) Bust: 20% chance FD wins: 60% + 20% = 80% chance Equity wins: 20% chance Markets are the greatest game on earth. The dream to get rich is as old as the hills. Most investors will still pick equity. @arabicatrader
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RT @manurishiguptha: THE OWNERS WILL ALWAYS REMAIN OWNERS Put the chair down! Because if you dont, your name will outlive your legacy - no…
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
ये रितिका चोपड़ा हैं।इंडियन एक्सप्रेस की शानदार पत्रकार। जिन्होंने ज्ञानेश कुमार की पोल खोल दी। रितिका चोपड़ा ने मीडिया नाम की मरती हुई संस्था को ज़िंदा कर दिया है। इनके सम्मान में दो शब्द तो लिख दीजिए प्लीज़।
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
"मोदी सरकार को मालूम था कि एक दिन चुनाव आयोग के भीतर का खेल बाहर आएगा और जनता चुनाव आयुक्त को गिरफ्तार करने की मांग करेगी। इसीलिए दिसंबर 2023 में मोदी सरकार ने कानून बनाया कि चुनाव आयुक्तों को गिरफ्तार नहीं किया जा सकता। यह कानून तब बना जब दोनों सदनों के 141 सांसदों को सस्पेंड कर दिया गया था। सदन में कोई विपक्ष ही नहीं था। अब समझ में आ रहा है कि वह कानून किसलिए बनाया गया था।"
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
Several senior citizens, disabled people, destitute women have lost life time savings due to 700 crore fund scam by BJP politician Devanathan Yadav “Mylapore Hindu Permanent Nidhi”. @tnpoliceoffl @CMOTamilnadu you are their only hope! Please assist! 🙏🙏 https://nitter.net/t.co/39249nCkRv
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Real degree? Or….
No degree— No advice.
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Launching this weekend.

ALT the big lebowski GIF

Great metrics on the new platform - Every idea, when it was shared.
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Some moments stay with you long after the event ends. Samrajya 2026 at Alila Diwa Goa brought our community together for two days of learning, new perspectives, meaningful conversations, and shared experiences. A glimpse of the people, the energy, and the moments that made it special. What’s one moment from Samrajya 2026 you’ll remember? Share it in the comments. 📷 #Samrajya2026 #Investing #StockMarket #IndianStockMarket #InvestmentCommunity
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
Brahmin blood cannot be transfused into lower caste patients. 😭 Rewa MP: patient is in critical condition and urgently requires blood. A Brahmin boy agreed to donate blood to patient, but the doctor refused to transfuse blood because the patient is from a lower caste.
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When I was younger, certain personality types really bothered me and now I realize these personalities are like ingredients in a great meal. You just need the right proportions; some you need 2 cups and others just a teaspoon. But they are all necessary for a great meal. The older I get the more I appreciate quirky, eccentric, unique people. Probably also why I crave spicier foods as I get older. In some ways I think it's easier to see the eccentric is authentic, and that is something I crave more. It’s nice to not have to waste time breaking through a fake facade to see who someone really is.
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
Replying to @BalakrishnanR
I studied for 14 years in that campus, the School, KFI. I can’t even bear to drive past it now. Heartbreaking.
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In the Long Term, Even the Sharpest of Corrections looks like a Small Glitch in the Glorious Journey of our Indian Stock Markets !!! Retail Investor Friends. Keep the SIP going. Accumulate More Units of Good Businesses / Index / Mutual Funds in this Consolidation. Stay The Course 🔥🔥🔥 #FI
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
Hyundai Motor India is one of the most successful Korean companies in India. How important is Hyundai to India-and how important is India to Hyundai? The numbers tell the story. 💡 30 years It was incorporated three decades ago and began its journey in Chennai. (1/n)
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Dearest FM Madam @nsitharaman ji, I have said it before. And I'll repeat it again. Loud & Crystal Clear. LTCG of 12.5% on Equities is one of the Lowest in the World. True. Great. But there are a few issues: 1. LTCG was ZERO from 2004 to 2018. STT was introduced to offset the Loss in Revenue. It incentivised Long Term Investors to Hold on Patiently and enjoy Long Term Returns. I believe that Step was something Golden and rewards Long Term Thinking. FM Madam should reconsider this. Keep STT. Abolish LTCG. 2. STT is already taken for every transaction. This is a tax. Again putting Capital Gain, especially on Long Term Gains is not Ok. This is my Opinion. STT is borne by the investor irrespective of Profit or Loss. 3. We are not against Paying Taxes. In fact, we all Pay Income Tax, Capital Gains Tax, GST, Excise, VAT, Health, Education Cess, Tax on Dividends and what not. The problem is the Freebies which are Distributed during the Elections. This is not at all ok. We don't want a single rupee of our Capital Gains to be used for Freebies. Please. I humbly request the FM Madam to Abolish LTCG on Equities. Make the Long Term Period 24 months instead of 12 months. You will see Patient Capital Flowing In👍 For Indian Investors like me, the Pain is lesser. Our Portfolios are Doing Great. We will continue to Create Wealth. But what about our FII brothers & sisters. They also deserve to get minimum returns in Dollar Terms. I feel for the FIIs who have suffered due to declining Rupee and they still have to pay STT & Capital Gains on Rupee Terms. Something the FM Madam and team should revisit. I think that it is a good time to implement this. FII no longer control our markets. Domestic Funds are consistent and plenty. If FIIs leave, let them Leave with Head Held High. That is our Responsibility. India Structurally is Brilliant. Let's make it Tax Friendly as well. Patient Capital will Flow More & Stay, if these Steps are Taken. A Proud Indian Investor, #FI
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
@HDFCBank_Cares I am seeing no progress in matters pertaining to transfer of assets with you of my mother. She passed away in March and you are make me run from pillar to post. No other organisation has responded the way you have done. Shameful.
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Mid eighties/nineties. Gem Granites was a prized client for all hire purchase companies. Prime rate. Blue chip borrower.
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5 years back, Nifty 50: EPS = 650 Nifty 50 = 17500 Today: EPS = 1180 Nifty 50 = 23000 Stay The Course !!! #FI
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Congratulations FM Madam for collecting Income Tax, Securities Transaction Tax, Short Term Capital Gain Tax, Long Term Capital Gain Tax, GST, Road Tax, Dividend Tax, Health & Education Cess !!! 🙏 Anything I Missed ? ❤️ #FI
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New insurance commission recos by IRDA make some interesting changes. They cap insurance commissions as a percentage, spread the payouts across the policy terms, and reduce larger distributor strangleholders. Also promotes direct investment by customers. Good for the future though it will hurt some of the players today. There is a lot of political influence so some of this will change. But it's a step in the right direction to regulate commissions and expenses to bring it in line with how mutual funds and other players in the financial space operate.
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Stock pickers are often defined by the moments when you can stand alone (and be right) in your conviction.
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Kya NSE ke IPO ne Giraya Market?
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Fastest 52 wk highs to 52 wk lows Policybazar i.e. PB Fintech would be the only stock which would have hit a 52 week high and hit a 52 week low in less than 24 hours! Stock is down 33% today wiping entire yearly gains and erasing market capitalisation of more than Rs 30,000 crores They might have forgot to take their own accidental insurance
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Thankfully someone admitting to concentration risks as most others I know hide their concentration flaws and highlight few isolated successes.
I'm down 5% portfolio level today driven by PB FinTech Concentration has some evils; it is painful to see my 2nd largest position drop 30% (so far) today with (what I believe) will be another 4% fall later today. Effectively, 3 yrs of averaging in at a great price got wiped clean. I've also read through the 2-part IRDAI note. I'm sure they'll hear a good bit from industry participants. Felt more like retaliation rather than regulation (latter being the typical stance) Some leaders are yet to realize that Distribution is not cheap. Intermediation isn't disappearing overnight because of a Govt website or AI ONDC was a great lesson in this regard. FWIW, I'll average down across today, tomorrow & Monday. I believe calmer & more sensible heads will ultimately prevail 😇
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Our tax policies are driving out foreign capital Our reservation, quotas are driving out human capital… Needs to be fixed !!!
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Ease of Doing Business → Tease of Doing Business? Every regulator & Agency has a problem to solve. Lately, the solutions seem to be multiplying faster than the problems. New circulars, rules, etc. More regulation ≠ better regulation. Sometimes, doing less could be better.
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On this listing day of NSE, pranaams to Dr RH Patil. His perseverance, integrity and team building created this institution. 1994, every one was sceptical. BSE is now a disant second.
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With chat gpt, gemini, claude etc , why does one need an advisor if one knows what to ask?. If you don't know, you have to depend on the integrity and capabilities of an advisor.
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In the theosophical society compound, there was a school . KFI. Classes in open and a very small structure. In peace with nature, the birds and animals in that forested compound. One day, the school was asked to leave. Now the SSN (Shiv Nadar School) is located. (1/2)
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Sadly. Three years ago I think
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2018. My memory fails
Gautam Baid retweeted
PB Fintech which was a 90,000 Cr mcap company yesterday, is down ~30% today. Who is to say only microcaps are risky? Market cap doesn't define risk. The expectations embedded in the price do.
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Small Cap Growth Stock in BM Focussed Small Cap! Https://basantmaheshwari.sma…
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There is nothing unusual about prolonged bear markets. But the government has made this worse by refusing to address the concerns of FIIs and our own retail investors, and by saying in Parliament that we are not dependent on FII money and that FIIs have no option but to invest in India. Hubris often leads to a downfall.
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What is the maximum downside allowed for an F&O stock on a trading day? An ETF corrected around 50% in just two days. A popular stock has fallen 30% so far today. Key takeaway: This can happen to any stock, including the ones we own.
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I’m so proud to have held a view for the longest time against many insurance cos. We run a regulatory set up that’s just not conducive to meaningful shareholder returns
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As of now we don't own any Insurance Stock However this correction could create opportunities Remember The distributors and Missellers will get less money. That should be beneficial for customers and insurance companies in the long term. MF commissions were drastically bought down but the sector continued to grow. @irdaindia also needs to work on how premiums are set and increased by insurance companies, especially in Health insurance where rates keep on getting increased randomly.
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These Young Boys from Sagar, MP are doing the work which is supposed to be done by the Government 🥺 I propose that a small portion of our Tax goes to such Individuals who are actually doing the job themselves. Let's make these boys Viral !! #FI
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Wow, in August @flyspicejet on-time performance was 17.9%. At this rate, they better pay the flyer for them taking a chance with them :) HT @FilterCoffeeHQ
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Today's #StockMarket fall in India is more due to the @irdaindia norms for insurance commisions rather than any global event This will cut down fee income in absolute terms as well as the growth due to insurance in the near term for many banks and NBFC's which were primarily in the business of "Mis"Selling insurance policies.
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Varinder Bansal 🇮🇳 retweeted
Waves crash. The lighthouse stands. That's durable economics - and that's what research helps you find. omkaracapital.in @vbomkara
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If we can be happy for others success, there is nothing like it. It means we are becoming better human beings. The least we should do is not gloat over other people’s misery. That would ensure we do not become worse human beings. And never forget: the tables can turn at any time in life. Humility is not something that needs to be practised. It develops because we see life humbling us and others repeatedly.
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After moderating over the last two months Economic activity sees and uptick ahead of the festival season The HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI rose to 55.7 from 52.8, marking the strongest expansion in seven months, while the Services Business Activity Index increased to 55.8 from 54.1,indicating broad-based growth across the economy.
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BSE listed on its Rival NSE 😄 NSE lists on its Rival BSE ❤️ That's Life !!! #FI
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The Insurance Regulator @irdaindia has finally come out with commission norms that could make insurance cheaper for clients and reduce blatant misselling. A few companies will need to cut the overall Expenses of Management (EoM) drastically to meet the limits of 15% in 2 years and 12.5% in 5 years as a few companies are at 20-25% overall payouts.
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Muthukrishnan Dhandapani retweeted
Replying to @dmuthuk
Couldn’t agree more. I’m on a career break for personal reasons. It wouldn’t have been possible without liquid savings. There’s no stress or anxiety — only because I have a decent runway.
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Not possible for most people. Top 10% households can give it a serious try. This is something I have already been saying repeatedly for the last two years. Try to have three years of total expenses as safe money. This would help you immensely through any transition period, both emotionally and financially. It would also give you time to develop skills for emerging new opportunities. Sometimes nothing gives more peace of mind than cash. It may not give any returns. But it would give peace, confidence, and time to get ready for the next phase of life.
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R. Balakrishnan retweeted
🚨 China Just Turned Gold Into a Weapon: New Asian Vault Network Changes Everything Hong-Kong had initially announced a global gold vault network with operations linked to Shanghai Metals Exchange. Now, Hong Kong just released a five-year plan that positions a new global gold hub as infrastructure for storage, trading, and clearing to serve as an entry point for other commodities. The city is constructing a massive, government-backed vault + clearing network targeting OVER 2,000 TONNES of physical gold storage in just three years. Airport Authority is already expanding thousand-tonne scale vaults. A brand-new state-owned Precious Metals Central Clearing Company (with the Shanghai Gold Exchange sitting on the board) is going live. Physical bars are being moved into designated Hong Kong vaults. The HKMA itself is considering parking Exchange Fund gold there. This isn’t storage. This is a new financial fortress. Gold is the first weapon. Once the bars sit in Hong Kong vaults and clear through a yuan-friendly system, China can start pricing and settling the entire commodity complex… metals, energy, everything… in RMB. Delivery Connect already links Hong Kong vaults directly to the Shanghai Gold Exchange International Board and to Russia. This is the East building its own gold-backed financial operating system. Every crisis ends the same way: people remember what gold is.
The gold map is being redrawn. Reserves leaving US vaults for London. Record flows into Hong Kong. Central banks buying two years of gold every year. When nations move metal for control, individuals should ask who controls theirs. Trade Tokenized Gold $XAUa on the $XRP Ledger. Trensik.com/trade/xaua
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