"StocksResearch" by @navendu_c
Stock Research
I always invest with the intention of holding forever.
I actually hold until:
1) The thesis is busted
2) I want to use the capital for something else
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Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, and after the halving, new issuance adds under 1% a year, whatever the price does.
The Fed hiked to 3.75-4.00% on Sep 16, and Bitcoin still holds $84,970.
It's a $1.7Tn asset that tends to lead the liquidity cycle by about 13 weeks, so it usually bottoms before a pivot is obvious.
I'm a bigger buyer near $78,000 on any flush.
The catch: rate cuts are still the pillar that has to turn, and Bitcoin stays extremely volatile if the Fed keeps hiking.
If long yields roll over before the Fed pivots, does Bitcoin move ahead of the cut or wait for it?
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RT @liamcunningham1: @AP You’ve got to be fucking kidding?
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Zabe retweeted
Let's be very clear on this one point.
The President mocking a former President in front of the communist leader of China is the most un-American thing an American president has ever done.
"This is the autopen... it's Biden." 🤣
President Trump shows off the legendary Presidential Walk of Fame to President Xi.
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Quantum Momentum
Quantum startup funding rose 6.3x last year, Washington is taking equity stakes, Google's Quantum Echoes advantage claim still stands and AI is a tailwind.
Our latest note explores the breakthroughs and the challenges ahead 👇
alphatarget.com/insights/qua…
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P.S. Whatever stock you're looking at next, check its phase first.
It changes which metrics matter.
Free, any ticker:
stocksimplifier.com/x
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$META is a reminder that “AI downstream” stocks are working
PS: and also the folly of ‘timing’ markets
Get the premium service “first word” at fundstratdirect.com/tlee-ser… @fundstratdirect 🥇 Use evidenced based research to understand markets and build a portfolio PS: Free 30-day trial FYI 🆓 😍
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Trader's glance on $SFM.
$65.42.
🟢 𝘾𝙝𝙚𝙖𝙥 against its earnings.
Sprouts Farmers Market works in the retailing of fresh, natural, and organic food products.
It trades at 13x earnings, 11x on next year's.
The industry usually gets 18x.
Fair sits $94.44 to $120.20.
That's 18x next year's $5.96 a share, give or take 12%.
That's 31% under the low end of fair.
Pullback level sits at $56.98.
Cap $6.1B · PEG 1.39 Fair · Fwd P/E 11.0x · EV/Sales 0.9x · PSG 0.19 Cheap · Fwd EPS 5.96 · 52w 1%
𝙉𝙤 𝙛𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙖𝙢𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙖𝙡 𝙬𝙤𝙧𝙠 𝙝𝙚𝙧𝙚 – 𝙡𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙡𝙨 𝙤𝙣𝙡𝙮, 𝙤𝙛𝙛 𝙧𝙚𝙥𝙤𝙧𝙩𝙚𝙙 𝙚𝙖𝙧𝙣𝙞𝙣𝙜𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙧𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙣𝙪𝙚 𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙢𝙖𝙩𝙚𝙨.
Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com retweeted
I think Tom Lee is right!
We have oil that is $100 per barrel, we have midterm elections and we have tariffs.
All those inflationary short term contributors will likely fall in the new year.
Inflation on the economy should get better from here on out in a stock market I think will appreciate because of the uncertainty that it takes off the market in the short term.
Will we have a war in Iran over the next 6 to 9 months? In my opinion, I don’t think Iran can hold out that long.
In the meantime, the US will have created diversified logistics around oil trade and increase their economics along the way.
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Two thoughts from Hans Rosling
“There’s no room for facts when our minds are occupied by fear.”
“Here’s the paradox: the image of a dangerous world has never been broadcast more effectively than it is now, while the world has never been less violent and more safe.”
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The moment you detach emotionally from the daily noise, the market stops controlling you. Desperation breaks the system every single time.
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Cash gives you the illusion of safety while inflation eats it alive. Buy the market and stay invested.
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Zabe retweeted
We hired a new VP named Michael Lee.
Unfortunately we already have a Michael Lee.
He works in the warehouse.
He's been here 11 years.
New VP gets:
michael.lee2@company.com
He immediately messages IT.
“Can you move the other Michael to michael.lee2 and give me michael.lee?”
No.
He asks HR.
HR asks me if we can “prioritize seniority.”
I explain that the warehouse Michael has eleven years of email history tied to that address and changing it because someone with a nicer title arrived would be insane.
VP reluctantly keeps the 2.
Warehouse Michael finds out.
Changes his Teams display name to:
Michael Lee (Original)
By Friday the VP is being referred to as Sequel Mike.
He has asked IT to intervene.
Unfortunately nickname management is outside our support scope.
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Zabe retweeted
spread of israeli settlements/outposts in the west bank, 1970-2026
- al jazeera
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Zabe retweeted
We are not going to compete with China on a global economic and geopolitical stage when they have 26,000 miles of this and we have 40. https://nitter.net/t.co/bYwZLIwLMo
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From Growth To Value retweeted
Congrats on the piece. The US launch is the part I'd flag most. Nu securing an ADGM headquarters in April alongside the Miami rollout shows the expansion is structured, not opportunistic. That distinction matters for durability.
I don't often feel proud of an article I've written, but I am of this one.
It's about $NU. Title: "Even The Pope Can't Get Good Banking In The US"
Almost 7K words, the most extensive earnings analysis I've ever written (and I'm doing this over a decade already). But no fillers, all killers.
And talking about killers: there's a killer offer (which I will never give again after this).
What you will learn:
* The Q2 results in all details (and there were many important details!)
* The main bear arguments and their context and weight.
* $NU's expansion in the USA 🇺🇸 and why it may surprise many.
* My Potential Multibaggers Quality Score update.
* The valuation of the stock.
* Is the stock a buy now?
Link: potentialmultibaggers.com/p/…
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P.S. Whatever stock you're looking at next, check its phase first.
It changes which metrics matter.
Free, any ticker:
stocksimplifier.com/x
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Quantum computing has as much national security strategic importance as AI. It's a must win race for the US, the current leaders. China is right behind. $IONQ $RGTI $QTUM
Nobody really knows what will happen here but we do know that classical chip technology is reaching its physical limits. Superion, in the near future, may very well be the quantum leap that takes humanity forward. What are the other candidates? $IONQ
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Imagine having a drink here on Thanksgiving Eve in your late 20s with all your high school friends
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The “futuristic” bubble on X is insane.
People think agents will disrupt platforms and payments all at once within a few years.
Meanwhile, Europe would still be struggling to adopt card payments if it weren’t for Covid.
Many small businesses in Germany are still “cash only.”
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AlphaTarget’s Insights page publishes a new free thematic research note every month, with our entire archive available to explore.
Our thematic research notes cover the big trends shaping technology.
No subscription required. Explore below 👇
alphatarget.com/insights/
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Ric₿ezos retweeted
IonQのCEOは「ここ半年でジェンスンが量子への見方を変えた一番の理由は我々だと思う。NVIDIAとは2つの提携で量子優位性を示してきた。これから数年、彼と一緒に成長していく」と語る。AIと量子のハイブリッド計算がNVIDIAの計算基盤の中に組み込まれ始めている。
$IONQ CEO said already last year they were going to grow with Nvidia.
He kept his promise.
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I'd be a very happy billionaire if I could pick up #HWG for less than £0.6bn. To see the potential upside if the UK ever gets its act together, look at $EQIX and $DLR in the US who trade at super high multiples providing land and infrastructure to the hyperscalers.
#HWG Harworth Group, can no one make a counter offer? There's more than one billionaire interested. The company is uniquely positioned but like all companies in the UK could probably do with a better Government that prioritises growth above taxes. @andyburnham
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Right, with #HWG best and final offer at 187p what's the Roditi family going to do? They've been sitting on this investment for a long time and are clearly not supporting the offer to date.
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I thought the whole point of $BE was not to be reliant on the grid. 🤔
As discussed with Oracle an hour ago, Oracle remains committed to Project Jupiter and its contract with Bloom to deliver 2.4 GW of fuel cell capacity. We are excited to execute Project Jupiter on Oracle’s planned timeline.
No official statements verify the boomerang BTW except “Amazon recruiter talking to @BusinessInside “
So you’re not just biased but wrong as well.
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I wish we could get back to televised political debates during elections being HARD. Like it’s a fucking job application, hold their damn feet to the fire and make sure they’re qualified.
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Interviewer: “you said this thing with no evidence why”
Candidate: “we’ll get back to you on that”
Interviewer: “why should the voters trust someone who says things with conviction and then can’t provide evidence or any data backing up their views when pressed on it?”
More of that shit. We need more.
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It should backfire, it's an incredibly cynical power-grabbing move that is solely about taking advantage of his opponents disarray.
If he'd done a good job governing, sure I'd give it to him but he has been demonstrably awful. I don't think there's a single KPI that BC is better on now than when he started:
Cost of living is up significantly
Fiscal sustainability far worse
Health care wait times and availability are significantly worse
Homelessness is worse
He claims BC is open for business but frequently shuts down or discourages large investment projects
He's frequently at odds with the Federal government
And don't get me started on the First Nations crap.
He is an existential threat to the wellbeing of the province and the people in it at this point, time to go.
James Moore: Why B.C. Premier David Eby’s election could backfire on him ctvnews.ca/politics/article/…
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Pythia Cap: Partially Conductive retweeted
The whole “20x” in Claude’s pricing is so misleading.
The $100 plan says 5x Pro limits, while the $200 plan says 20x Pro limits. That makes it sound like you’re getting 4x the usage.
But the 20x applies only to the 5-hour usage window. The weekly limit is basically just 2x the $100 plan.
I spent way too much time digging through the internet and Reddit to figure this out. They could’ve just stated the limits directly instead of marketing it as “20x.”
That alone would’ve saved me hours of confusion.
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Pythia Cap: Partially Conductive retweeted
it's really unfortunate that Claude's 20x plan is just 20x session limit instead of 20x weekly limit
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Did a twitter search for $FICO and it is a trail of hundreds of dead bodies saying it was cheap the entire way down all year vs. @shortbus_ace w/ a $500 PT and Steve Eisman.
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Finally getting around to watching this Langone clip, and I learned something new. I didn't know Druckenmiller golfed.
$1k into $HD Ipo in 1980 is the highest return of any S&P500 company ever. 16mm today they say.
@CubbieBears you just need to go golf with Druck for dip buys.
$LLY
piped.video/watch?v=g6Fjdke0…
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Pythia Cap: Partially Conductive retweeted
People keep asking how I get everything done. Look at it. That's my Muse. My Musentative!
Musecases
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The top private wealth guys probably made as much with 1/2 the work.
Its ironic that for all the debate of PE vs. HFs... for many cohorts of ibanking analyst classes, at the 20 year reniuon, the folks that stayed in IB might have the best risk adjusted return...if not the most outright dollars. Imagine going analyst to MD at $JPM $GS $MS and never selling a share of your RSUs.
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That 2-core footprint tells you $META's already squeezed the model down pretty tight.
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Everyone worried about Yields being hot,
No denying that.
But indices are holding up better than expected.
Nasdaq is bouncing off the 9EMA
S&P 500 is holding onto its 21EMA
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A SITTING PRESIDENT PERSONALLY POCKETED 16 MILLION DOLLARS FROM A COMPANY THAT NEEDED HIS GOVERNMENT'S PERMISSION
Paramount. July 2025. They cut Trump a check to settle a lawsuit over a 60 Minutes interview
At the exact same time they needed federal approval for a merger
You do not need a law degree to smell that one
Three days after the money landed, CBS canceled Stephen Colbert's show. The guy who called it what it was. A bribe. Live on air. Then gone
Meanwhile watch what happens when Trump actually loses. An Iowa judge threw out his suit against the Des Moines Register with prejudice. Called it protected speech. Said the lawsuit itself could scare off honest reporting
Trump's response to losing. Appeal it anyway
Because losing was never the point. The lawsuit is the punishment. Newsrooms bleed legal fees whether Trump wins or not
BBC still being sued. New York Times still being sued. Wall Street Journal still being sued. Three more targets, three more companies forced to calculate what silence is worth
This is a president running a toll booth on the First Amendment. Pay Trump or get buried in litigation until you do
Ordinary Americans get sued into bankruptcy for defamation. Trump gets sued and somehow walks away 16 million dollars richer
That is not a coincidence. That is the business model
And it is only going to get more expensive for everyone who isn't named Trump
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It's wild that the S&P 500 is less than 2% off its high when transports and consumer stocks look like this
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Beth Kindig retweeted
Meta’s $META Muse reportedly recorded 1.8 million iOS downloads in the US and Canada during its first 12 days, compared with 1.3 million for ChatGPT over the same post-launch period, per Apptopia.
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I've been thinking about the President's incentives a bit lately and it seems kinda easy to me like make as much noise/chaos as possible to distract from you & your family stealing the most amount of money you can, and you pardon everyone at the end.
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“Apologists for certain authoritarian/ dogmatic groups... spend most of their time constructing "proofs" that anybody who does not share their reality-tunnel has serious mental or moral defects or "is" a damned liar.”
~Robert Anton Wilson
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Pythia Cap: Partially Conductive retweeted
Just now realized this, worth sharing. When Bessent buys heavily-discounted Covid-era long bonds instead of newer issues w/ higher coupons, he increases the margin to the debt ceiling. That's because, by the statute, the amount that must be held under the ceiling is the face amount. When he buys back a bond trading at 50 cents, he eliminates the full $1.00, and only has to issue 50 cents of new debt to do that.
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Power delivery risk
FT: "Oracle has guaranteed payouts to investors on a massive New Mexico data centre even if it fails to secure electrical power before the project is due to come online, according to people familiar with the matter."
"Oracle could be left paying for a site without electricity to run the facility if the power hook-up is not secured in time. “The power delivery risk sits with Oracle, not the investors,” one of the people said."
Weird. It's one thing to do force majeure on a bad hurricane or direct wars, but permits?
Bloomberg: "Oracle Corp. is moving to shield itself from racking up expenses on a massive data center being built in New Mexico"
Oracle "sent the project’s developer, a unit of Blue Owl Capital Inc., a notice citing force majeure, according to people familiar with the situation."
"has hit serious setbacks including the denial of a permit key to its plans for energy resources"
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Oil high → market all time highs
Yields high → market all time highs
Rate hike → market all time highs
Iran war → market all time highs
So I’m just wondering…
When exactly is that crash coming? 😂
Because what happens if some of these risks actually start to settle?
You already know what could happen.
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I suggest that you actually listen to this whole clip. @JensenHuang offers a straight forward argument against predictions made without evidence being very hurtful to not only the discussion, but to students (and radiologists) who are taking them seriously.
“Don't think for a second that because you are an alarmist that you are doing a social good.”
This sentence is just devastating for so many intellectuals who need everybody to presume that they’re “the good people”
Thank goodness we have Jensen! https://nitter.net/t.co/j7K4blVQSB
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KLA is up 6308.5% since 1999-12-31.
A $10,000 investment on 1999-12-31 is worth $640,854 today. You trade yourself out of life changing wealth when you confuse constant movement with progress.
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🚨 UPDATE: Only four of the 20 largest crypto treasury companies trade above the value of their holdings, weakening the model they used to raise funds and buy more crypto, DWF Ventures reports.
ct.com/news/crypto-treasury-…
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Manpreet Kailon retweeted
$MU Support held nicely at 1040 zone.. Broke this downtrend .. 1080 break and hold will be nice today
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Only a handful of shops make metal foil sensors precise enough for a robot wrist, and $VPG is one of them.
The worry is profitability: a 1% operating margin, a Q2 loss, and an ERP glitch that stranded ~$3M of KELK shipments.
Sensors still booked record orders from chip-tool and AI-infrastructure buyers, and long qualification cycles keep those buyers from switching suppliers.
Q2 revenue rose 11.7% to $83.9M, with net cash and a 39% gross margin.
I see the trough as an ERP fix, and I add more around $50.
If I'm wrong, margins stay stuck and 38x forward earnings deflate.
Is KELK a one-quarter glitch, or does the ERP mess run deeper?
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Quite possibly because the Chinese people are not subjected to continuing campaigns to scare the shit out of them concerning AI 🤷🏻♂️
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Ted Zhang retweeted
JUST IN: Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, Sam Altman, Tim Cook, Mark Zuckerberg, Sundar Pichai, & Jeff Bezos attend Trump’s White House state dinner for Chinese President Xi Jinping.
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This is wild
Situational Awareness became Goldman Sachs’ biggest hedge fund client this year
Goldman reportedly made more than $200M in fees from financing the fund.
A barely two-year-old fund became one of Wall Street’s biggest clients this fast
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Stock Talk retweeted
Just YESTERDAY I alerted my re-entry into $AKAM (after publishing my original thesis back on August 12th) citing that the relevance of their technology & infrastructure suite was increasing. Then, today, we get this Anthropic headline. Screenshot below. Talk about timing...
*AKAMI $AKAM SIGNS 7-YEAR, $11.6 BILLION DOLLAR DEAL WITH ANTHROPIC, UP TO $20 BILLION POTENTIAL
Akamai Technologies (NASDAQ: AKAM) announced a seven-year, $11.6 billion contractual commitment with Anthropic to support the AI company's CPU workload demands using Akamai Cloud's distributed infrastructure and software, according to a press release dated Sept. 24, 2026.
The agreement includes provisions for expansion of up to an additional $9 billion, bringing the total potential commitment to approximately $20 billion within the seven-year term.
As part of the deal, Akamai issued a warrant to Anthropic for the purchase of non-voting convertible Series B Preferred Stock representing 7.7 million shares of Akamai common stock on an as-converted basis, or up to approximately 5% of Akamai's common stock outstanding, at an exercise price of $111.33 per share. Approximately 2% of Akamai's common stock outstanding is expected to vest in connection with the initial $11.6 billion commitment. The remaining approximately 3% would vest as the commitment expands, with each additional $3 billion in cloud services purchases triggering the vesting of approximately 1% of common stock outstanding.
Total capital expenditures tied to the $11.6 billion commitment are estimated at approximately $5.5 billion. Akamai said it anticipates no impact to its 2026 revenue guidance but expects an increase of approximately $1.7 billion in capital expenditures in 2026 to secure and pre-purchase supply chain components, including memory.
The announcement adds to more than $2.8 billion in previously announced multi-year Cloud Infrastructure Services commitments across Akamai's customer base in 2026.
"Anthropic is advancing the AI revolution and we are thrilled they chose Akamai's capabilities for building and operating AI infrastructure at scale," said Dr. Tom Leighton, co-founder and CEO of Akamai.
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I don't often feel proud of an article I've written, but I am of this one.
It's about $NU. Title: "Even The Pope Can't Get Good Banking In The US"
Almost 7K words, the most extensive earnings analysis I've ever written (and I'm doing this over a decade already). But no fillers, all killers.
And talking about killers: there's a killer offer (which I will never give again after this).
What you will learn:
* The Q2 results in all details (and there were many important details!)
* The main bear arguments and their context and weight.
* $NU's expansion in the USA 🇺🇸 and why it may surprise many.
* My Potential Multibaggers Quality Score update.
* The valuation of the stock.
* Is the stock a buy now?
Link: potentialmultibaggers.com/p/…
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TBH it feels like the perfect time for the market to start caring about rates all the sudden.
This is how it always goes. Nothing matters until it matters.
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This is called resulting.
Predicting one day moves for stocks is a fool’s game.
Last night, I predicted $META would be flat to down today following Meta Connect. The stock closed up 4.5%.
What I missed was the significance of Zuck’s comment that Muse will be the centerpiece of Meta. That comment reveals Zuckerberg is in wartime CEO mode, willing to throw out the existing architecture and rebuild the company as an agentic, AI-first business. That drive raises the probability of success and lays the foundation for a re-rating of shares.
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AOT Top Pick Strategy +71.31% YTD!
A New All Time High close!
Week 38: $MU +4.12%
(Trade details in link below)
2026 YTD: +71.31%
2025: +10.19%
2024: +37.46%
2023: +131.86%
2022: +115.74% (Bear market year)
artoftrading.net/post/aot-to…
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Locked in on my creativity, equities, and work.
Family and friends the rest of it everybody can have
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Pythia Cap: Partially Conductive retweeted
Since 1300, long term government bond yields have averaged 5.8%.
The current 5.2% 10-year Treasury yield is 60bps below the 726 year average.
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